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DEAL OR NO DEAL

Transcript: The Basics Contestants pick from numbered suitcases 26 suitcases total The values range from $0.01 to $1 million Banker frequently offers money to buy case MATH INVOLVED WITH THE GAME The banker averages the cases to find his offer. Lets do a practice Problem Someone has 5 cases left and $ on the board. $100, $400, $1000, $50,000, and $300,000 The banker offers her $80,000. Is that a good deal or not? Take 80,000/70,300=1.137. The offer is 13% higher than the mean Did you know? 403,291,461,126,605,635,584,000,000 Highest rejected $880,000 #6 and #17 - top value Over $25 million given away Works Cited "Deal or No Deal -- Math Fun Facts." HMC Math: Harvey Mudd College Department of Mathematics. N.p., n.d. Web. 1 May 2012. <http://www.math.hmc.edu/funfacts/ffiles/20002.6-8.shtml>. "Deal or No Deal Probabilities." Oracle Consulting, Oracle Support and Oracle Training byBC Oracle Consulting. N.p., n.d. Web. 1 May 2012. <http://www.dba-oracle.com/fun_deal_or_no_deal.htm>. "Deal or No Deal: Gambling With Math!." My Dollar Plan and Tax, Retirement and Personal Finance Tips. N.p., n.d. Web. 1 May 2012. <http://www.mydollarplan.com/deal-or-no-deal-gambling-with-math/>. "Deal or no deal." yahoo. N.p., n.d. Web. 27 Apr. 2012. <http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20061106173902AAc48qj>. way, the, does not take into account utility of wealth (that is, an individual would more likely take a sure $100, 000 than a 50% chance of winning $210, 000 along with a 50% chance of winning $0 even though the latter yields an expected value of $205, and 000.). "Deal or No Deal: A Statistical Deal." Pearsonified — Best Damn Blog on the Planet. N.p., n.d. Web. 1 May 2012. <http://www.pearsonified.com/2006/03/deal_or_no_deal_the_real_deal.php>. MLA formatting by BibMe.org. Those numbers averaged is $70,300. $100,000 5 5/20 = .25 = 25% No deal (20 cases left)

Deal or No Deal

Transcript: At the beginning of this game show, the contestant is presented with 26 suitcases that contain various amounts ranging from $0.01 - $1,000,000 Our goal is to apply statistical measures in order to declare a deal without making statistical mistakes. Probability At this point in the game, the contestant obviously has a 1 in 26 chance of obtaining $1 million. Forms of variation are also present. As the number of low valued cases revealed increase, the banker's offer increases, as well. However, as the number of high valued cases revealed increase, the banker's offer decreases. The Probability Theory The expected value, or the the value that you can expect to earn based on the number of remaining suitcases and their associated dollar amounts, can be found by the following sequence... while 1/26 defines the number of remaining cases in the game. so the denominator will obviously decrease as the number of cases dwindles. After calculating the equation, the arithmetic mean is found to be $131,477.54. http://www.nbc.com/Deal_or_No_Deal/game/flash.shtml Banker's Offer Take the average value of the remaining cases and multiply that by the round number The offers typically are much below the expected value through the first few rounds (usually less than 10% of the remaining average). However, this percent gradually increases to 100% in the later rounds. Matt Powers To acheive our goal, and avoid making a statisical error, once the bank offer nears or exedes the arithmetichttp://www.mofunzone.com/online_games/deal_or_no_deal.shtml mean, make a deal. 10 = (direct variation) http://www.mofunzone.com/online_games/deal_or_no_deal.shtml .01 represents the value of the case (indirect variation) (direct variation)

Deal or No Deal

Transcript: Opposed “[This] keeps Iran from developing and deploying nuclear weapons for 15 years (limits nuclear production for 10 years and access to equipment and fuel for 15 years) if it is adhered to.” says Tyler Rogoway from Foxtrot Alpha. Signing the deal will allow the centrifuges in the enrichment process decrease from approximately 19,000 to 4,000. Introduction Iran's Nuclear Plant Since its completion in July, the Iranian Nuclear Deal is in the hands of our government and and five other world powers as well. The future of Iran’s nuclear programs are in their hands. Deal or No Deal? by:Sierra Harmon p 4/5 11-2-15 The final decision has been made. Obama will sign the Iranian Nuclear deal. Now, Iran will get an atomic weapon in about 10 to 15 years. . Conclusion Supported Politicians are struggling to make a decision about signing the Iranian nuclear deal. Ben Rhodes, a deputy national security advisor says that signing the deal is essential because Iran cannot be allowed to obtain a nuclear weapon. Ayatollah Khamenei has been issuing lots and lots of warnings to the U.S that Mr.Ruhani, the president of Iran, cannot be trusted. “ ‘Ten or 15 years from now’, Obama added,’we have much better ideas about what it is that their program involves. We have much more insight into their capabilities. And the option of a future president to take action if in fact they try to obtain a nuclear weapon is undiminished.’ “ The Ultimate Decision At anytime, the Iranian people can back off the deal and make a nuclear weapon. Iran will obtain tons of uranium, enough uranium to build a nuclear weapon.

Deal or no deal

Transcript:  Fruit, which kinds+ from where? o Apple – Whole Europe, North-America, South-Africa, Chili, China and New Zealand. o Pear – Italy, Spain, Benelux, South-Africa, Chili, Australia and the VS. o Orange- Brazil, Spain, the VS, South-Africa. o Kiwi- Italy, New-Zealand, Chili, France and Greece. o Bananas- Latin-America, the Antilles, West-Africa, Asia and the Canary islands. o Citron  Vegetables, which kinds+ from where? o Cauliflower- Cold areas in the VS, France and Italy. o Paprika- Over the whole world in warm areas o Cucumber- Spain, Greece, the Netherlands and China. o Brussels sprouts- the Netherlands, France, Great Britain. o Carrots- France, Great Britain, Russia, Japan and the VS Deal Quiz Percentage -verkade 2009->fairtrade cacao and sugar -20% fairtrade cacao by Verkade -100g euroshopper = €0.35 -85g verkade = €1,00 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. No deal Fairtrade Chocolate Vegatables/fruit 1. Meat 2. Fruits 3. Vegetables What? Facts fairtrade worldwide R

Deal or No Deal

Transcript: How it's Played Deal or No Deal in 2 minutes! “Deal or No Deal” is a popular TV game show broadcasted on NBC since 2005 with host, Howie Mandel. “Deal or No Deal” is an intense game of probability. How do these probabilities affect the game? How it might shape our own strategies if we were the contestants playing the game? Probability that you selected the million dollar case initially. Calculated expected payout: At the start of the game or any point in the game. Probability the million dollar case is selected in the first round. Probability of selecting cases greater than or equal to 1,000 in the second round. Calculated the average values of each amount at any point in the game. The way “Deal or No Deal” is played is relatively simple. In each game there is one contestant trying to win up to $1,000,000. There are 26 cases of money to start. the contestant doesn’t know which amounts are in which cases. The contestant selects one case representing the hopeful million, which is set aside and not opened until the end of the game. The contestant then proceeds to select 6 cases to eliminate for the first round, after each choice the value of the selected case is revealed. Bankers offers, 1 less number of cases to choose each round. Until only 1 case is left. Expected Payout=Bankers offer Hypergeometric Probability calculation A calculation can be made at any point in the game! The Game Itself Deal or No Deal Let's walk through some calculations in a simulated game! Probabilities in the Game The End of the Game The banker offers the contestant one final price. The contestant can either accept the offer from the banker or they have the option to open the case they picked in the beginning or the one still left over. Whichever case they chose is the amount they walk away with. Banker offers?? By Kelsea, Ben, and Sam

Deal or No Deal.

Transcript: Contestant: Mitchell Zahn Deal or No Deal. Transcendentalism I agree with this precept. Physicalities are important and are a major part of our everyday life. However the mental portion o life is much greater. When something physically happens we think about it mentally. We also have the tremendous power to tell our body to physically do something. I believe that the mental aspect is much greater than physical aspect in life. I will have to say DEAL. 5 Precepts (1) "Within these plantations of God, a decorum and sanctity reign, a perennial festival is dressed, and the guest sees not how he should tire of them in a thousand years. In the wood, we returned to reason and faith." (Emerson 388) "In good health , the air is a cordial of incredible virtue." (Emerson 388) "In the woods is perpetual youth. Within these plantations of God, a decorum and sanctity reign, a perennial festival is dressed, and the guest sees not how he should tire of them in a thousand years." (Emerson 388) Nature is a virtue (2) The Final Offer There's more to life mentally than physically "My head is hands and feet." (Thoreau 407) (1) "I have frequent seen a poet withdraw, having enjoyed the most valuable part of a farm, while the crusty farmer supposed that he had got a few wild apples only." (Thoreau 404) The offer I completely disagree with this precept. I am a very spiritual individual this is definitely not in my beliefs. Being "one with God" is strictly between you and him. Nature has absolutely nothing to do with it. You can get inspiration and strength from nature's beauties but you can't get to be "one with God" through it. Therefore I strongly declare NO DEAL. "If a man does not keep pace with his companions, perhaps it is because he hears a different drummer. Let him step to the music which he hears, however measured or far away." (Thoreau 408) Well after I broke this all down into 5 precepts and defined what Transcendentalism really is I have a good understanding of what the Athens of America stand for. I was given 5 offers for 5 precepts, I had to decline 3 out of the 5. I did agree with a few but overall had little in common with this group. I know for a fact that my ideas and beliefs would not fit in that club. I here by declare, for the final offer, NO DEAL! "The virtue in most request is conformity. Self-reliance is its aversion. It loves not realities and creators, but names and customs." (Emerson 392) (1) (2) (2) (1) (1) "I become a transparent eyeball; I am nothing; I see all; the currents of the Universal Being circulate through me; I am a part or a parcel of God." (Emerson 389) I have a little trouble with this precept. I disagree that man must live as an individual in order to achieve happiness. If you live by yourself all your life there is no happiness there. It is important to find friends, find love, and associate yourself with your family. This is where happiness is found, not isolated and secluded by yourself. In conclusion I will have to say NO DEAL. (2) "There comes a time in every man's education when he arrives at the conviction that envy is ignorance; that imitation is suicide; that he must take himself for better, for worse, as his portion; that though the wide universe if full of good, no kernel of nourishing corn can come to him but through his toil bestowed on that plot of ground which is given to him to till." (Emerson 391) Nature is not a moral excellence. Nature is not connected with virtues connected to the people. Therefore I can not side with this precept. I believe strongly in virtues and how they contribute to our lives, Nature is not a virtue in my eyes. No Deal! "A man is relieved and gay when he has put his heart into his work and done his best; but what he has said or done otherwise, shall give him no peace. It is deliverance which does not deliver." (Emerson 391) Man must live as an individual in order to achieve happiness This precept I agree with more than any other one. Everybody sets goals and expectations for themselves of some kind. The only way to achieve those goals is that you have to work for them and the best way to achieve them is working hard. Achieved goals and good things just down fall into your lap, you have to work for them. Therefore I have to accept...DEAL. The Offer The Offer Man must work hard in order to reach his goals Transcendentalism was a philosophical and social movement that focused their beliefs on the belief that divinity pervades all nature and humanity. Both men and women equally have knowledge of what goes on in the world around them and what goes past their "5 senses." The Offer If man is one with nature, he is one with God The Athens of America, in honor of the Transcendentalist thinkers of the 19th century, are a group offering you a place into their club. I now have to break this down into a careful thought process in my mind. I will have to break it down into 5 precepts I find and determine whether I agree or disagree. First i must get a basic

Deal or No Deal?

Transcript: Mission Failed. Again. Independent Nation THANK YOU! After failing multiple times to get her Brexit deal through Parliament, May decides it's time for her to resign as Prime Minister. Boris Johnson is the new, incredibly dedicated, Prime Minister. Cooperating Nation Labour Membership fees Yes, leaving the EU would save billions of pounds, that's a fact. But will that weigh out the amount of money lost by multinationals moving out, fewer investments, the costs of trade and so on? Parliament needs to come up with a deal covering all of the above, and more, in order to save the billions of pounds they want to save. In case of a No-Deal Brexit, the country could love massive amounts of money. Business One of the main benefits within the EU, is the free trade law. This gives all members the freedom of trade without any extra tariffs. Also, the European Union has got deals regarding free trade with other non-EU countries, such as Japan and Canada. A (No-Deal) Brexit would take away these benefits. May is no more. Cons Deal or No Deal? A no-deal Brexit is off the table, and and Boris Johnson has failed to get his deal through Parliament. He is forced by law to delay the dealine, and he decides it's time for new elections. The new Brexit deadline is now 31 January 2020 The elections will take place on 12 December 2019 Parliament consists of three parts: The House of Lords, The House of Commons and The Monarch. The House of Commons is the elected part of Parliament. These people are voted into the House and they will debate about everything necessary. They will also propose new laws and edit existing ones. There are 650 Members of Parliament, also known as MPs. The Prime Minister picks 20 Ministers, who will work together with the Government. The rest of the parties form the Opposition. The Speaker keeps the house in "ORDER". The making and shaping of laws is done by The House of Lords. It consists of 800 people selected because of their knowledge. The Monarch will meet up with the PM every week, to catch up on what has been going on, and to formally agree new laws. April 2019 Border control Immigration is a huge deal for many European nations, not just for the United Kingdom. The EU has been trying to regain control of immigrants coming in and out of the Union. The immigrants are spread throughout the nations of the EU, providing them with issues such as proper housing and other services. An increase in workers however could stimulate demand in the economy, which will lead to more job opportunities for all. Safety Another big concern for many is the safety of their nation. How will the EU guarantee a safe environment for everyone? Criminal records and passenger information can be exchanged through the EU, so all participating nations can work together against terrorism and such. Cooperation is incredibly important in these instances. Costs Costs The Labour Party is the main left-wing party in the UK and it's lead by Jeremy Corbyn. Their main focus is the opposite of the Conservatives, as Labour is known as a progressive party rather than a conservative one. They are against Brexit Pros Theresa May becomes PM 16 July 2016 Prime Minister After two years of traveling back and forth between Brussels and London, May still hasn't got a deal through Parliament. She is unable to provide a proper Brexit, and she loses a lot of support and trust. The new Brexit deadline, deal or no-deal, will be 31 October 2019. Border control Laws of the EU state that a member can not prevent a citizen from coming to live in an EU-country. This law resulted in a hide increase in immigration into Britain, and there was no way to control it. Many Britons are afraid the immigrants will 'steal' their jobs, which will lead to higher unemployment rates among Brits. Safety Traveling in the EU is made incredibly simple thanks to the open borders. But, those open borders do not allow the UK to check and track individuals coming in and out of the country. Many believe this messes with the safety of the UK, leaving doors open to terrorists and other sorts of 'unwanted' people. Proper security checks and border control will prevent this from happening. UK votes to leave EU 31 October 2019 It was close, but the referendum resulted in 48.1% for Remain 51.9% for Leave A gap of 1.3 million voters. Membership Fees Currently, all nations within the EU pay a membership fee. This fee is based on the wealth of a country. For the UK, this is roughly 13 billion pounds. They do however get about 4,5 billion pounds from the EU, which makes their total contribution £8.5 billion pounds. Leaving the EU would save billions of pounds. Business The EU has a market of free trade. All nations in the EU can import and export without extra tariffs. If Britain were to leave the European Union, they could make up their own rules, and benefit smaller companies which otherwise could have never traded overseas. Brexit supporters state that there should be a deal allowing the free

Deal or No Deal

Transcript: To Qualify for trip... Where are we going? Mark Schoppe David Kodish Jimmy McNamara Mark Truesdell Noah Moquin Nick Luberger Chris Schons Zach McMurray Mela Moatz Chad Newsome Kent Kohlenberg Nate Kinkopf Scott McDonald c. Voice Recording Sergio Magallanes Dan Halley Mark Mazzagatti Marina Medic Justin Leahrbaum Julia McCormick Feb. 20 - Mar. 8 11% on Sales Payment/Monthly Membership IS PIF on any Full Membership and buyer receives All-Star Pricing. (i.e. 1yr - 3 yr) $2.5 M Hit $3.5 Million in Overall Sales Goal Weekly Captains STE 1. Terms & Conditions are discussed Goals $65,000 Top two teams in weekly Total (Group + EB) revenue get to play Deal or No Deal the Friday of the corresponding week First game of Deal or No Deal will be played February 7th. Feb. 6 - Feb 19 12% on Sales 1. Floors, Gold Straight, Baseline Straight = Best Available Seats $50,000 2014-2015 Early Enrollment Incentives 5 Teams Potential Winnings Sales Minimums Team Member Prizes Enroll by February 5th Entire rest of 2013-14 season FREE (17 games) How to play... In Overall Revenue Each Team has a Total of 5 Briefcases to play with. Both winning teams of the week will pick one initial briefcase to hold on to. (Top team in revenue picks option to go first or defer) After initial briefcases are picked both teams will take turns picking briefcases. 5 a. Receive signature on order form - submit into CRM Enroll between February 20th - March 8th Choose 7 free games Mar. 9 - Apr. 18 10% on Sales The team with the highest dollar amount in their briefcase, or deal from the banker, wins. Each team member on the winning team will win that dollar amount in cold hard cash! = Win a Trip to.... STE Top weekly revenue producer on both teams will be team captain for the Friday game. Additional team members will be on the sidelines helping make the RIGHT decision. EB + Groups Team Five Rules on Complimentary Seating How to play... #NickyJoel $50,000 Team Member Early Enrollment Goals PIF Prior to pick #4 the banker will give each team a deal…choose wisely! If the team takes the deal, they are done playing On the 5th pick each team can either keep the briefcase they have or swap for the remaining case on the board. This does not apply if the team took a deal from the banker. Potential Bonus Game Winnings $38,000 Game starts with four briefcases Player picks 1 briefcase They will win the prize in that briefcase Top team member in revenue for that week will play a bonus game. They don’t have to be on either of the winning teams $105,000 $100,000 How to win... PRM 2. All Remaining 100-Level/200-Level Seats = Club Seats IS Team Four $60,000 Payment Plans Sales board will track all weekly numbers. All team members must update the Early Enrollment and Group Sales board after each sale. 2. Complete one of these three items In Early Enrollment Revenue Commissions Craig Frederick Corey James Matt Korte Michael Drobnick Brian Wolfe Jessica Vella The Sale is not closed until: Characteristics Jan. 20 - Feb. 5 13% on Sales $500 Cash GES $3.5 M Early Membership Team Member Contest Deal or No Deal 2014-2015 Chance to Play Deal or No Deal Enroll after March 9th Choose 5 Free games (Fewer as we close out the season) QUESTIONS? $80,000 Team Two Credit/ debit/ check Goal Ken Meredith Andy Bradshaw Dan Maret Eric Sjogren Joanna Halls Buck Miller Kerri Nicol $500 Cash $140,000 GES $30,000 February 7th: $2 - $100 per person on winning team Hit $2.5 Million in EB Team Three MAS BDS Must hit Bonus Game $38,000 = $150 Spending Cash Keeping Score All teams are divided evenly amongst Premium, BDS, Suites, MAS, IS, GES February 14th - April 18th $1 - $50 per person on winning team Thank y'all If a Team Member secures a PIF Wine & Gold United Membership, they will receive a 2% bump on commission for that sale! Team One PRM Sales Goal How to play... MAS Enroll by February 6th -19th Choose 10 free games BDS Passion for your craft Positive Attitude Strong Work Ethic Leadership Openness to Learning $135,000 $2.5 M Team Member with Most Early Enrollment Revenue Team Member with Most Overall Revenue (EB + Groups) During Early Enrollment Campaign January 17 April 18 TIMELINE MONTHLY Credit/ debit b. Receive email confirming the acceptance of Terms & Conditions - Track in CRM

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