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Revolution or Coup? Egypt's Fraught Transition

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Mihai Borcan

on 30 May 2013

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Transcript of Revolution or Coup? Egypt's Fraught Transition

Revolution or Coup? Egypt's Fraught Transition Strategic Views of the US Divisions within Egyptian Politics Role of External Players/Factors in Egyptian Politics SCAF encompasses many sectors of the economy:
-Live Stock Production
-Heavy Industry
-Oil and Gas
-Waste Water Treament
-Food Production Article focuses on the key players in the current Egyptian political scene.

Main want's of the revolutionaries: "bread, freedom, social justice and dignity." 1) Mubarak a valuable and loyal ally. Some

elements of the US government were aware that

the protests had islamic elements behind them.

2) Mubarak should abdicate and hand over power

to military. The US was just as close to the

military as to Mubarak. Constitutional amendments on 21 February 2011 allowed for formation of opposition parties.

The Muslim Brotherhood formed the Freedom and Justice Party.

The Salafists formed the Nour Party. Mainly US, EU and G8 nations.

Both Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) and the FJP utilized external forces to their advatange.

SCAF reliant on US aid money.

FJP utilized parliament to block IMF funding. Economic Politics of SCAF and FJP/Brotherhood Revolution or Coup? Egypt's Fraught Transition Muslim Brotherhood commands a large economic empire consisting of good and services. Also consists of parts of the financial sector. Revolutionary Forces Still present in Egypt Labour Movements (Unions, 1.6 million strong)

Youth Groups (lack organization and structure) Reference Stein, Ewan. (2012). ‘Revolution or Coup? Egypt’s Fraught Transition’, Survival:
Global Politics and strategy, 54(4): 45-66. Questions 1) How will be FJP & Islamic Brotherhood be able to maintain their core Islamic values while also embracing a democratic pluralistic society?

2) Will more secular parties emerge and come into the mainstream enough to offset the Brotherhood, or will the future of Egypt be dominated by Islamist parties?
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