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Module 8
IA
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Ishmam Ahmed
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Updated Oct 20, 2020
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00:02 - 00:03
Hey there, everyone minus Islam Ahmed.
00:04 - 00:05
And today we to presenting you.
00:05 - 00:08
DeLay for small redevelopment site for Module eight.
00:09 - 00:11
Now, without further ado, let's get into the presentation.
00:16 - 00:19
So on our agenda today we have our site overview
00:20 - 00:24
and three different market analysis, including office, residential and retail.
00:25 - 00:27
These things will be used to see the impact of
00:27 - 00:30
mixed use and also helped determine the development timeline along
00:31 - 00:38
with some conclusions now a little bit more about the
00:38 - 00:41
like. For small site, it sits on about 100 acres,
00:42 - 00:45
which has been marked for redevelopment by the Montgomery County
00:45 - 00:51
Planning Division and offers 632,000 people within a 10 mile
00:51 - 00:56
radius. The area also boasts 100 $40,000 average household income,
00:57 - 00:59
and a daily traffic car account is 45,000.
01:01 - 01:04
We also have access to Mark Metro and other public
01:04 - 01:08
transportation options, so the direct access to highways include I
01:08 - 01:12
to 70 and I 3 70 offering lots of mobility
01:13 - 01:15
and hired traffic counts to make sure that we have
01:15 - 01:17
a successful place to build.
01:18 - 01:20
We also see that this location is a prime location
01:20 - 01:24
for mixed use and offers great potential for residential and
01:24 - 01:31
retail options moving forward.
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Here's some of the market overviews now into our office
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market. We find that there is 4.6 million square feet
01:39 - 01:41
available in the manga recounting office inventory.
01:43 - 01:45
Off that 17.9% is vacant.
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We also see a negative 92,000 square foot absorption rate
01:50 - 01:54
and along with a $24.82 average rent per square foot
01:54 - 01:58
cost. We also see a slow, incremental growth of inventory
01:59 - 02:00
at only 0.7% per year.
02:01 - 02:04
We also see the pre leasing figures are roughly 60%
02:05 - 02:07
when looking at are comparable properties around the site.
02:08 - 02:11
When government planning also said it an interesting thing, they
02:11 - 02:14
said that as Class B and C spaces continue to
02:14 - 02:16
age, they require extensive maintenance and improvements.
02:17 - 02:19
Which is true since most of those buildings are quite
02:19 - 02:22
old, used to pre dating to the 19 seventies and
02:22 - 02:22
19 eighties.
02:24 - 02:27
Based on these findings, we recommend that the lake for
02:27 - 02:30
small invest in class a office space and offer many
02:30 - 02:35
on site nearby amenities such as a gym, restaurants, sauna,
02:36 - 02:38
green spaces and a little bit more to make sure
02:39 - 02:41
that we're able to cater to millennial workforce and create
02:41 - 02:44
a better mental well being as we continue to move
02:45 - 02:47
back into offices in a post pandemic world.
02:52 - 02:53
Now for a residential market.
02:54 - 02:56
The total population within a three mile radius is roughly
02:57 - 03:02
203,000 people of that discontents of 66,000 households with an
03:02 - 03:03
average age of 35.8.
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We also see that 2.74 people reside in each household
03:09 - 03:13
and the 65 plus demographic is expected to grow from
03:13 - 03:17
the current 15% to over 21% of the total population
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by 2040 now.
03:20 - 03:21
This presents a couple of different deficits.
03:22 - 03:25
Within the housing market, we see that there's a deficit
03:25 - 03:28
of 20,000 affordable housing units currently alone.
03:29 - 03:32
We also see that senior dwelling units are short by
03:32 - 03:35
22,000 and that number is only expected to grow by
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86,000 units by 2040.
03:38 - 03:42
Surprisingly, we also see that people the average median income
03:42 - 03:44
has 110% above the average.
03:46 - 03:49
I mean luxury housing units and this market shows that
03:49 - 03:51
there's over shortage of 13,000 units alone.
03:53 - 03:57
We also see the people recommend and want having parks
03:58 - 04:02
nearby, great walk ability and also social space spaces to
04:02 - 04:03
interact with their neighbors.
04:04 - 04:07
Based on these findings, we recommend that our new residential
04:08 - 04:13
neighborhoods in the redevelopment site should offer pools, parks and
04:13 - 04:16
outdoor theater, which would be free to residents along with
04:16 - 04:19
fire pits, social spaces to kind of spend time during
04:19 - 04:23
the cooler months and green walkways to connect all these
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different housing options Together.
04:26 - 04:29
We also recommend that 1250 units are built, of which
04:30 - 04:32
we would have mid rise apartment course.
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This would consist of 225 affordable units, 250 senior units
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and 600 million millennial and family units in the fringes.
04:44 - 04:47
At the development site, there would be luxury town homes
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of 100 which would be built, and 50 luxury single
04:50 - 04:57
family homes to tackle the luxury demand Now for a
04:57 - 05:02
retail market but having office spaces and residential markets, we
05:02 - 05:05
want to make sure that the retail options cater to
05:06 - 05:06
her current new neighborhood.
05:07 - 05:10
We see that turned data shows the total aggregate sales
05:10 - 05:14
of sub market area total to $1.5 billion off which
05:15 - 05:18
ngn SS 5 89 million F and B has 389
05:19 - 05:22
million. CAFO is 55 15 million.
05:23 - 05:25
We also see this oversupply of gaffe oh square footage
05:26 - 05:28
by almost 500,000 square feet.
05:28 - 05:32
But there's also shortage of engineers categories by well over
05:32 - 05:33
400,000 square feet.
05:34 - 05:37
We also estimate that the site will capture about 26%
05:38 - 05:40
of the engine s category, 20% of the food and
05:40 - 05:43
beverage category and 4% of the Catholic category.
05:44 - 05:47
We also recommend that the site B a destination theme
05:47 - 05:52
and have focused on luxury shops, high end options, extensive
05:52 - 05:54
gaming, entertainment and multicultural options.
05:55 - 05:59
We also recommend that 375,000 square feet of space is
05:59 - 06:07
built. Yeah, based on all these market overviews now, we'll
06:07 - 06:10
see how this impacts makes use.
06:12 - 06:14
So the general impacts that we see that makes you
06:14 - 06:16
cite is they can reduce long term building and maintenance
06:16 - 06:21
costs. Offering investors I really did up advantage when it
06:21 - 06:22
comes to building a mixed use property.
06:23 - 06:26
We also see that through higher densities like we've seen
06:26 - 06:30
in our plan, residential analysis that reduce land consumption can
06:31 - 06:34
occur, allowing for more people to stay in an area.
06:34 - 06:37
We also see that having these different types of uses
06:37 - 06:39
creates a continuous flow of people throughout the day.
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You have commuters that come in for work.
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You would have tourists and shoppers during the weekends.
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You'd also have residents throughout the night.
06:48 - 06:49
However, there are some negatives.
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Financing is a little bit more difficult.
06:52 - 06:55
Maintenance scheduling can be difficult to, especially a different occupancy
06:56 - 07:00
times. Parking conflicts may arise if we don't build in
07:00 - 07:02
a parking and allow them to be designated for residents
07:02 - 07:03
and guests.
07:04 - 07:07
Planning and development stages also do take longer, which will
07:07 - 07:08
see in our development timeline.
07:10 - 07:13
But when it comes to cite specifics, we see if
07:13 - 07:14
the lake for small is developed as a full mixed
07:15 - 07:18
use area, we can expect to increase, thank the population
07:18 - 07:23
to increase by 3500 residents alone and capture an average
07:23 - 07:26
of 22% market share for retail residential demand.
07:27 - 07:30
We also would see a boosting tourism and increasing land
07:30 - 07:33
valleys and also see tax revenues go up for the
07:33 - 07:35
county and the municipal government as well.
07:38 - 07:41
So how long does such a project take?
07:42 - 07:45
Well, here's some of the things to expect pre planning
07:45 - 07:47
face could take roughly 12 to 18 months.
07:48 - 07:50
We also see that fundraising could take an additional 12
07:51 - 07:55
months to make sure that after things are planned out,
07:56 - 07:58
investors are willing to put in money for this project,
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which is expected to cost well over $500 million.
08:02 - 08:05
We also would see a planning phase a 12 12
08:05 - 08:08
months after fundraising and pre planning just to make sure
08:08 - 08:12
permits and construction and all the other things associated with
08:12 - 08:14
developing such a massive project would ensue.
08:15 - 08:18
We see the development timelines could be roughly 60 months,
08:18 - 08:19
if not longer.
08:20 - 08:22
In closing would take six months, making sure contracts or
08:23 - 08:24
proper and everything else is set in stone.
08:26 - 08:30
Overall, we expect any from 7 to 10 years of
08:30 - 08:33
development times, and that's excluding the maintenance that comes afterward.
08:42 - 08:44
But here's some conclusions as well.
08:49 - 08:52
The overall mix of the neighborhood, which we now what
08:52 - 08:56
we're calling lake forest reserves would be unequal, friendly, multi
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cultural and entertainment destination that caters to young families, millennials
09:01 - 09:02
and senior citizens.
09:03 - 09:05
Not only that, we would also offer affordable and luxurious
09:06 - 09:10
residential spaces, high end retail and world class office space,
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but a little bit more in a residential neighborhoods.
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We plan on having four different neighborhoods built in three
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different stages, with one being luxury single family in town,
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homes of which would be 150 units to meet the
09:25 - 09:29
demands of highest paying families, along with 225 affordable housing
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units built into a mid rise park.
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In between, we also have our senior Ville and Millennial
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park, which would be two distinct neighborhoods that focus on
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being equal, friendly and also catering to different age groups
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and some of the amenities.
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We want to include our free access to our movie
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theater and multicultural pavilion so that we can cater to
09:53 - 09:55
different demographics in the area, including Asians and Hispanics.
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Restaurant options nature trails in walkable boulevards to help connect
10:01 - 10:04
all these residential neighborhoods together and make sure that everything
10:05 - 10:05
is within walking distance.
10:13 - 10:15
As for our retail, we wanna call this retail center
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the lake four shops, where you'll have 300,000 square feet
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to shop till you drop, and genus options would include
10:24 - 10:27
whole foods, target, ethnic groceries, drugstores and even clinics.
10:29 - 10:31
We also see the food and beverage options should include
10:31 - 10:35
Starbucks local restaurants and bakeries, and Gasol options could include
10:36 - 10:40
Louis Vitton, Gucci, Fendi products and other luxury goods.
10:43 - 10:46
As for office space, we have a couple of things
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we wanna have.
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Classic office space with over 40,000 square feet, offering the
10:51 - 10:53
best space in the area with on site amenity, says
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a gym, an outdoor green space for employees to take
10:57 - 11:00
a break asana to detox and also a food court
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to make sure that they have many food auctions without
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having traveled too far, increasing productivity and also reducing transit
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times. But to kind of go on our entertainment and
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gaming focus, we wanna be able to bring in E
11:16 - 11:19
A Games, which is a gaming company, and create a
11:19 - 11:20
regional headquarters in the area.
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This only creates high paying jobs, but also makes Lake
11:25 - 11:28
for Small, an introduction to being a tech corridor for
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the area.
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We also want to partner up with public universities such
11:33 - 11:36
universe of Maryland among them in college to create public
11:36 - 11:39
private partnerships from Medical Style campus, which would feature healthcare
11:40 - 11:43
companies such as UnitedHealth Group and Embarrassed, which is a
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micro hospital company toe offer health care options for aging
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population and also our families and other groups within the
11:51 - 11:58
area. Yeah, here's general look at our site plan and
11:59 - 12:02
also a rendering how it might look like where you
12:02 - 12:07
see that there is waterfront accessibility with the artificial pond.
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Extensive greenery toe help create a cleaner environment and also
12:13 - 12:16
increase mental well being and have higher density as shown
12:16 - 12:22
here but to close.
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I wanna thank you guys for your time and having
12:27 - 12:27
a great semester with you guys.
12:28 - 12:30
It's been unfortunate that haven't been a chance to meet
12:30 - 12:32
many of you guys by digging a chance to meet
12:32 - 12:33
you guys on linked in.
12:34 - 12:35
If you have any questions, please leave them in the
12:36 - 12:38
questions below and I'll be more than happy to answer
12:39 - 12:42
them and accumulate discussion in our discussion posts until next
12:42 - 12:43
time guys take care
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