Customer Optimization (AMGT350) - vol. 2

RM
by Ryan Malm171 views·Updated May 18, 2021

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Audio TranscriptAuto-generated

  1. Okay. Welcome Back to Volume two groups.
  2. I did not mean that, that one.
  3. Okay. We were talking about customer equity and its effect
  4. effect on loyalty or really, it's loyalties effect on customer
  5. equity. So we're definitely as marketers and as managers, we're
  6. definitely concerned with retention.
  7. Right. How many of our customers are retaining?
  8. That's what loyalty really is.
  9. So there's really a couple of different ways that we
  10. can look at.
  11. This first is the progressive variable, which says, you know
  12. what, losing customers is more like a volume dial rather
  13. than on an off switch.
  14. Right. It's not like we lose a bunch of customers
  15. today and then none tomorrow.
  16. I mean, that could happen, but that's not normal.
  17. Right? We don't, we don't say, okay.
  18. We lost no customers in january, lost a bunch in
  19. february. That's not usually the way retention works.
  20. Right. It's progressive.
  21. It's a variable that changes pretty often.
  22. Right? So, um, we're always losing some customers.
  23. Uh, this could be various reasons, right?
  24. We're not saying we know the reason necessarily but we're
  25. always losing some customers just to measure, it's just a
  26. matter of like does the dial turned down and we're
  27. just losing very few customers right now?
  28. Or is the dial turned up and we're losing more
  29. customers than usual?
  30. And then that's like wow something's wrong.
  31. The fact that we're always losing some customers really is
  32. you know kind of brings me back to the I.
  33. D. C.
  34. Model and says like hey even though we should be
  35. focusing on developing the value of current customers, this is
  36. why acquiring new customers is still an important factor.
  37. You can't just rely on your current customer base.
  38. You still have to be acquiring new customers because you're
  39. always losing some customers, right?
  40. But it's important to measure whether the dial is turned
  41. up or is the measure is a damn right.
  42. You got to compare this because you need if if
  43. the dial is turned up and you're losing to cost
  44. too many customers over a given period of time than
  45. what you're used to or what you expect, something's wrong.
  46. And you need to investigate it right now.
  47. A multifaceted variable that we could need to look at
  48. too, is that it's a possibility that customers are leaving
  49. based on different relationships across business units, right?
  50. They it's possible that um I guess it just means
  51. that it's difficult to track why people stay or why
  52. people go right.
  53. Maybe they had a bad interaction with customer service.
  54. We could probably track that.
  55. But maybe not.
  56. Maybe they never called customer service.
  57. Maybe they had a bad experience with the product or
  58. maybe they didn't like the way they were built.
  59. And so they actually had they called in the accounting
  60. department had a bad experience there.
  61. It's really difficult to understand why people stay, why people
  62. go um, Right?
  63. We can survey them, but like most time people aren't
  64. going to want to be serving on why you're staying
  65. with the company.
  66. And a lot of times people don't, we can't really
  67. reach out to a customer who's left us unless they
  68. leave us some really nasty feedback, which does happen quite
  69. a bit.
  70. So it's just defining retention.
  71. You just need to understand that there's some difficulties here,
  72. right? Um, It's also important to understand this idea of,
  73. so customer attrition is kind of the rate at which
  74. we're losing customers, right?
  75. But and so attrition and defection are two different things.
  76. So a customer.
  77. So if we're talking about retention, how many customers we
  78. keep attrition and defection are more of like, well, how
  79. many are we losing?
  80. So it's different way of measuring it, right?
  81. So we should look at attrition is saying like, okay,
  82. well, how many customers are we losing based on results
  83. from circumstances that are kind of out of our control,
  84. Right? Um Maybe it's uh, maybe they've retired.
  85. Maybe they've moved out of the area.
  86. Those are not things that we control as a company,
  87. but we've lost some customers.
  88. So again, if we're looking at the dial, if the
  89. dials up, but then we investigated and find out, well,
  90. it's just nutrition.
  91. A lot of people just moved out of the area
  92. because of their retirement age.
  93. Um then we would know that like there's, which is
  94. nothing wrong that we did in the strategy, right?
  95. That's a good example of like around here.
  96. I know there's like, I know like out of the,
  97. the Hanford site with all the different contractors, they were
  98. definitely worried in the last few years that the population
  99. of workers is really high and they are all going
  100. to a lot of them, a big population of them
  101. will retire in the next couple of years, probably you
  102. guys are going to school so you can build their
  103. roles right now.
  104. So, so if they retire and leave the area, businesses
  105. are going to want to know like, oh, we've lost
  106. customers. Well, why?
  107. And if that's part of the, why, then you can
  108. live with that, right?
  109. But if it's defection, meaning the customer chooses to move
  110. to a different business or to move to your competition
  111. or to never buy from your period again, that is
  112. more concerning.
  113. So if you can figure out a way to measure
  114. attrition versus defection, that can be very valuable.
  115. Um, so when you're looking at retention and you say,
  116. Okay, we're retaining, on average, we're retaining 70 of our
  117. customers. It goes up and down based on the volume
  118. dial gets moved up a couple percent down, a couple
  119. percent each month.
  120. And then you take a look at that at 30
  121. that you've lost.
  122. And you say, well, how much of it was due
  123. to attrition, how much of it was due to defection.
  124. And that would be very, very helpful.
  125. Right? The key is to make sure that when you're
  126. looking at this stuff, you don't have to measure everything.
  127. You just need to measure what matters, right?
  128. Maybe maybe measuring attrition is not really that important or
  129. maybe just getting an attrition number is good, but we
  130. don't need to dig in too much to figure out
  131. why they, why they moved out of the area, Right?
  132. But measure what matters.
  133. I think I've got a graphic here.
  134. I think this is a cool yes, sir.
  135. So, um, this is a really good example of why
  136. measuring what matters is so important.
  137. Okay. We're basically talking about there's efficiencies and like what
  138. helps the overall bottom line of the company the most.
  139. And this is like a win for marketing.
  140. Right? So we've got four companies here, amazon, Ameritrade, E
  141. Bay and E Trade.
  142. Okay. And what we're saying here is that the customer
  143. equity is in this first column, right under my chin,
  144. right? 2.5 billion.
  145. 1.4 billion.
  146. 2.1 billion.
  147. 1.8 billion.
  148. Um, and then what it says after that is says,
  149. okay, If we get a 10 improvement in one of
  150. these areas, that's how much it will change.
  151. Um, our customer equity and right.
  152. And we said customer equity is basically what the company
  153. is worth.
  154. So if the cost of a new customer, let's look
  155. at this column right here.
  156. If the cost of a new customer is reduced by
  157. 10%,, right?
  158. That sounds awesome.
  159. It's like, whoa!
  160. We got new cut, we're bringing in new customers and
  161. it's costing us 10% less to bring them in than
  162. it used to.
  163. It sounds great, Right?
  164. But what we find out is that customer equity only
  165. increases by about half a percent to 1.5%.
  166. It's pretty small, Right?
  167. So it's like, Okay, that sounds like a good number
  168. that we reduce customer acquisition by 10%.
  169. But it doesn't really help the economic value of the
  170. firm as much as we would think it would.
  171. The other one is margin, right?
  172. And margin.
  173. We're all super like aware of it and understand that
  174. it's important, right?
  175. So if product margins right, our profit are difference between
  176. the price and the cost.
  177. If if we could increase that margin by 10%, which
  178. is huge.
  179. I mean keep in mind that like costco's margin is
  180. 11 on things.
  181. If we could raise the product margins by 10%,, the
  182. customer equity level basically goes up by that same amount.
  183. Okay. It says, hey, if we have, um, you know,
  184. $2.5 billion in, in customer equity at amazon and we
  185. increase our margin by 10% which would be a lot
  186. right, amazon not to start charging you 10% more or
  187. reducing their cost 10% more, Then they could actually increase
  188. that 2.5 billion by about 10 by about that same
  189. amount of margin.
  190. So that's a lot better than so.
  191. So right there will tell you, wow.
  192. If you only have those two choices, where should you
  193. spend your money figuring out a way to increase your
  194. margins or figuring out a way to make it cheaper
  195. to find new customers would be an obvious answer to
  196. go for the margin easier said than done.
  197. Right? People are gonna be super stoked when you start
  198. raising their prices.
  199. Now, the last column there says, what about if we
  200. get a 10 improvement in retention?
  201. What if we do 10 better in keeping our already
  202. current customers?
  203. Okay. So if we can increase customer loyalty by 10%.
  204. It multiplies Customer equity.
  205. Big time.
  206. And now we're talking about like if we can increase
  207. retention by 10%, we're looking at about 30 of a
  208. boost to our customer equity base.
  209. Right? That's huge.
  210. Um Right.
  211. So, Uh well let me just reset miss restate that
  212. one more time.
  213. A 10 boost in customer loyalty.
  214. 10 boost in customer loyalty For these four companies showed
  215. that it would increase the company's overall value by about
  216. 30%. That's pretty mind blowing.
  217. In my opinion.
  218. These are billion built, multibillion dollar companies.
  219. If you could increase The value of those companies by
  220. 30%, if their stock went up by 30%.
  221. Oh my gosh, you're talking about billions and billions of
  222. dollars. Right?
  223. So, you know, because traditionally, um, everybody talks about the
  224. importance of acquisition, acquiring new customers, right?
  225. We talk about mergers and acquisitions.
  226. All of these companies here have bought out other companies.
  227. They've acquired other companies and they do that so they
  228. can acquire other customers.
  229. But look at how little of a difference that makes.
  230. So what it says is, it says, measure what matters
  231. and probably understand here that save your money on acquisitions
  232. and instead take that money you are going to use
  233. to buy out another company and instead sink that money
  234. into retention and creating loyal customers and you could really
  235. build the value of the company.
  236. So I just think that's a fascinating graphic.
  237. Um, so what are some of the main factors then
  238. in customer equity?
  239. Because forecasting customers future behaviors and estimating the financial impact
  240. that they're going to have is never going to be
  241. simple. Right?
  242. But at least there's some straightforward factors, these factors that
  243. at least contribute to increases or decreases in that customer
  244. equity number.
  245. Right? So like right off the bat, we know that
  246. hey, if we can acquire more customers or customer equity
  247. should go up.
  248. Now. I've, I've a talent put italicized.
  249. I put italics on like kind of the ones I
  250. would. This is a longer list.
  251. But I think if I was you, I would focus
  252. more on the one like they're all important.
  253. But the ones that are in italics or even the
  254. ones that I feel like are the most important.
  255. So not just acquiring more customers but acquiring customers who
  256. are more valuable.
  257. Right? So that's marketing's job is to say, oh, I
  258. got some hot leads for you and I would focus
  259. your time on these ones because I think they've got
  260. long term customer lifetime, long term, strong lifetime value.
  261. If you increase your profit per customer, right?
  262. The margins that will help your customer equity.
  263. Just as we saw, if you can reduce the service
  264. cost per customer, that will help, right?
  265. Because that will actually help your margin if you can
  266. reduce the cost.
  267. We talked about that a little bit where we're talking
  268. about interacting with the customer and how we can actually
  269. find people who don't even work for us to help
  270. the customer sometimes.
  271. Um Or we could sell the customer additional products or
  272. services. We talked about that.
  273. We talked about the I.
  274. D. I.
  275. C. Model and customization.
  276. The last two are super important, reduce the rate of
  277. customer attrition, keep people from leaving.
  278. That's going to make the huge bump, right?
  279. If you can increase that by 10%.
  280. We saw those other companies.
  281. Their value is going to go up by 30 and
  282. last but definitely not least because I put this one
  283. in italics as well improve the willingness of the customer
  284. to recommend us.
  285. The term that I use here.
  286. Net promoter score.
  287. This is not something that I made up.
  288. This is a term that's out there for marketing for
  289. for for companies.
  290. It was developed by a company called SAT metric systems.
  291. Um, and well, it was a common, it was, it
  292. was a conglomerate between set metrics and a company called
  293. bain and company.
  294. And then this, this guy named fred Reichelt.
  295. And what they did is they said, let's figure out
  296. a measure that we can use to say, well, what
  297. is the difference between customer satisfaction and dissatisfaction based on
  298. the customer's willingness to recommend our products or to recommend
  299. our company or to recommend our brand?
  300. Right? So it takes a look at customer satisfaction or
  301. customer dissatisfaction and said, but, but it's, but it's all
  302. based on it's trying to get a is trying to
  303. take the temperature of the customer and saying how willing
  304. are if these questions that you've seen in surveys, how
  305. willing are you to recommend our product?
  306. How willing are you to recommend our brand to one
  307. of your friends or your acquaintances?
  308. That's a net promoter score And it's super, super important.
  309. And if you can basically say, is that if our
  310. net promoter score goes up, if people are more willing
  311. to recommend us, our customer equity goes way up because
  312. the long term value of those customers who are recommending
  313. us just went way up.
  314. Okay, Okay.
  315. I'm running up against the clock again.
  316. I'll come right back with volume.