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Impact of crypto-anarchy & sharing economy to our future
Transcript of Impact of crypto-anarchy & sharing economy to our future
Thanks for your attention!
Consider the following presentation to be my cryptoanarchistic vision
Based on inspiration of our Parallel Polis speakers (Frank Braun, Smuggler, Paul Rosenberg) and many cryptoanarchists / anarchocapitalists
Sometimes my predictions are true (I described the concept of Uber sharing taxi and sent it to my friends 3 years before Uber was started)
I am techno-optimist - everything is happening slower / later than I usually predict
Thanks to Paul Rosenberg, Mike Gogulski & Juraj Bednár for their feedback / comments
The end of 2015
A lot of anti-Uber and anti-Airbnb demonstrations around the world will continue, new government regulations
The rise of the first anonymous cryptocurrencies (ZeroCash, Zerocoin, Dashcoin, Monero)
The bitcoin is more stabilized and legalized in most Western countries, but highly regulated (New York bitcoin regulation)
Bitnation provides a virtual citizenship to many refugeees
The prohibition of anonymous transactions (because of "threat of criminals and terrorists") for legal purposes, the sender and recipient have to be always identified (happened just for certain limits)
The beginning of financial offshore based on cryptocurrencies (thanks to increasing regulation of the traditional (fiat) offshore)
Bitcoin is not trusted anymore because of public blockchain - the biggest exchanges (Kraken) & services (uquid,bitwa.la) have started to accept true anonymous cryptocurrencies (Monero & other altcoins)
CALEA II (or a similar law) will be approved (mandatory government backdoors in all crypto solutions offered in the US), similar legislation will be approved in other developed countries
Threat of Cyberterrorism will be highly overestimated
Anonymous cash will be prohibited in the most Western countries - the rise of street racketeers offering different cryptocurrencies
Cryptomarkets will go mobile - UX / Usability of cryptomarkets will be significantly improved, most people can afford to visit and use decentralized cryptomarkets without technical knowledge
Increased criminalization of cryptomarket's users
Availability of anti-government insurance (in case of cryptomarket use, drug possession, bypassing surveillance laws, using cash, ..) thanks to decentralized and anonymous insurance companies
Providers of Tor exit nodes and OpenBazaar nodes will be cruelly criminalized
Massive increase of decentralized Internet solutions (funkfeuer, Serval Mesh, ..) that will be out of the government control
Many Tor/OpenBazaar nodes will be placed in the air (anonymous still-flying drones) or in still poor countries with old-school legislation
The first proved documented assassination of a politician using the concept of anonymous collaborative murder (Jim Bell's 'Assassination politics') - politicians will start to fear ... being a politicians is more risky job than was ever before
Universal sharing economy mobile application allowing anyone to provide his/her services to anyone without government control / taxation will be available
This will be fully decentralized solution impossible to shutdown by the government (like Bitcoin) with use of anonymous crypto-currencies
First anonymous crowd-sourced drone strikes
The government will start to have difficult times (see Paul Rosenberg's book - A lodging of wayfaring men)
The governments will lose their business license monopoly - people start to prefer a decentralized DAOs instead of the traditional government-licensed companies
The governments will radically change the taxation model - no taxation for virtual/Internet services, high taxation for real-world properties and real-world businesses, some countries will switch to head-tax
Massive people immigration to seasteading islands / free ancap-based countries
The authoritative government will survive in the following 20 years and will be even more authoritative
The people using crypto technologies and crypto markets (trying to avoid the government rules, like taxation) will be criminalized, there will be many exemplary lawsuits against many innocent people (Ross Ulbricht, ..)
The existing financial system will break / collapse
The new financial 100% controlled system will be introduced with fear after breakdown of the existing system
Free Banking based on colored satoshi (?!)
Seasteading-based free countries will be invaded by the US/UK/Western countries
Strong separation of the real world and cryptoanarchistic world ("the second realm"), average people will switch to this world after they see cryptoanarchy succeeds
Fundamental events in our future
For the governments it will be impossible to shutdown decentralized cryptomarkets (Openbazaar, Shadow project)
New kind of financial freedom thanks to true anonymous cryptocurrencies
Decentralized anonymous insurance against the government
Anonymous prediction markets that makes corruption perfect
Crypto-markets (and DAOs with the anti-government insurance) become much more competitive compared to the government's regulated e-shops even for the non-illegal products and services thanks to this insurance
Free-markets are more effective and cheaper than the government's regulated ones
People will switch to crypto-markets not because they respect freedom or privacy, but because a price - everything will be cheaper in crypto-markets than in the real world (anti-government insurance will reduce this price)
ANALOGY - slavery was abolished because it was less effective than market-driven free capitalism (free people are just more productive than slaves)
The rise of "the current authoritative system" problems:
Impossibility to cope with sharing economies (Uber, Airbnb, ..) that avoid the government regulations
War on drugs
These problems DO NOT EXIST in the free society, the real problem is the current political system which is not stable and is undermined / threaten by all new technologies
Cryptoanarchy / Anarcho-capitalism is less vulnerable / more immune system
War on drugs cannot be won
Crypto-markets technically cannot be prohibited
Despite the precedents like Ross Ulbricht's case,
politicians cannot win their fight, they HAVE TO ADAPT to the crypto-anarchy / free-market rules.
Unfortunately, a lot of innocent people will be sacrificed during this battle.....
Be strong, protect yourself
Extremely huge asymmetry between the government and individual
It is difficult to really protect your privacy in the real world (physical security is the weakest point)
Most government attacks against cryptoanarchy will use social engineering, few of them using 0-day exploits, the least will be against crypto
They can always destroy you / compromise you, if they want and have a budget
Avoid the system, be agorist, do not be personal, do not create enemies
The current social system will collapse, the rise of virtual states with social / protection benefits
Despite the fact virtual states (like Bitnation) are still not legitimized by the countries/governments, they start to be commercially attractive and offer many advantages/citizenship protections replacing the current governments
Let me introduce myself
Cryptoanarchist and voluntaryist / anarchocapitalist focused on technology and society hacking
Owner of IT security ethical hacking company Nethemba & bug bounty company HackTrophy & contemporary art creation company Satori
Organizer of the biggest cryptoanarchistic conference Parallel Polis in Prague (www.hcpp.cz)
Co-founder of Bratislava and Prague's hackerspaces
Member of Czech contemporary artistic group Ztohoven
And I almost forgot!
Paul Rosenberg has just finished his new mind-changing anarchistic novel - "The Breaking Down".
Available at amazon.com.
The Beginning of 2016
The stable version of OpenBazaar (the concept of decentralized free cryptomarkets) is released
The first open-source implementation of Uber-like taxi sharing service & Airbnb-like sharing service is released - in Uber/Airbnb regulated countries, people start to use cryptoanarchistic version of Uber/Airbnb with anonymous cryptocurrencies through Tor/i2p (Check Arcade.city and libretaxi.org projects)
The first proposal of decentralized legal system PAX based on Ethereum (see Codex - a legal scripting language for smart contracts)
Decentralized Borderless Voluntary Nation (DBVN) Holocratic Constitution https://bitnation.co/
The release of OpenBazaar v2 based on IPFS (with Tor support) - this already happened!
The first stable release of Shadow project (fully decentralized marketplace with own anonymous cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin lightning network (providing a significant relief of bitcoin blockchain with anonymization properties)
Anonymous cryptocurrencies (Monero, ZCash, ZCoin, Dash, Shadow coin) becoming more popular
Monero becomes a default for most dark-markets
Anonymous decentralized crowdfunded whistleblowing
Imagine that whistle-blowers (like Snowden) can be fully funded by an anonymous crowd!
People will bet on the date of the leakage of the specific document (e.g. the date of the leakage of TTIP)
This basically means
a total decomposition of all government secret agencies and government "classified" agencies
-> secret agents may be significantly economically motivated to earn anonymous money and leak a sensitive information in an anonymous way.
Towards perfect corruption: the rise of anonymous prediction markets
Do you want smaller taxes? Bet your cryptocurrency that there will be unchanged or higher taxes in the next two years.
Do you want to have legalized drugs? Bet your cryptocurrency that there will be a prohibition for next years
If you are a politician with the real power to change it, you have an economical incentive to make the opposite bet and win a lot of money in cryptocurrency:)
We are real!
Welcome in Parallel Polis & Institute of Cryptoanarchy!
Parallel Polis in Prague / Central Europe
real cryptoanarchy freedom think tank
3-floors building with more than 1000m2
The first world bitcoin coffee & coworking space that accept Bitcoin only (not fiat)
Institute of Cryptoanarchy responsible for organizing the unique cryptoanarchist conference
"Hacker's congress - Parallel Polis"
Don't miss the unique HCPP cryptoanarchistic conference!
6-8.10.2017 in Prague / Central Europe
this year's topic: "Liberate! Towards your financial freedom"
focused on true-anonymous cryptocurrencies, decentralized marketplaces & exchanges