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Statistics and Policy Making
Transcript of Statistics and Policy Making
access to microdata
modern communication tools
7 x 24
distinction between observation and model Evidence based decision making participation in design
communication with modern tools
access to micro data
statistics - model?
Trust, Trust, Trust Oh, people can come up with statistics to prove anything. 14% of people know that. Homer Simpson
Do not put your faith in what statistics say until you have carefully considered what they do not say. W. W. Watt
The most important things cannot be measured. W. E. Deming
Any observed statistical regularity will tend to collapse once pressure is placed upon it for control purposes. Charles Goodhart
Statistical information can be used for trust building. It can also be misused. Statisticians are the guardians of quality. Walter Radermacher
from memory to dream statistics = necessary condition for good decision, however not sufficient good statistics cheaper than bad decisions!
better roughly wright than precisly wrong? Transparency participation of citizens
access to microdata Quality of Official Statistics three layers:
official with quality assurance
experimental official Fitness for purpose excluded:
model driven results
normative settings (targets)
researchers the truth €