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South China Sea the place of rivalry

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by

Agata Ziętek

on 11 September 2015

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Transcript of South China Sea the place of rivalry

Two hypotheses
1. South China Sea has become the area of rivalry between People’s Republic of China and United States.
2. Today there is a low risk of military conflict, but there is probable danger of the military confrontation in the future.


Geographic Setting
Three main questions
If that disputes may lead to war between the contending states?
Whether the instruments of conflict management used in the disputes are suited for resolving it?
Whether stated claims corresponded to legitimate principles of international law, or whether the claims are in violation of these principles?
Outline

1. Geographic setting.
2. What is the subject of disputes?
3. Who are the claimants?
4. The main dimension of the dispute.
5. Where this disputes will bring us?
6. Conclusion.

South China Sea the place of rivalry
and power management
Dr Agata Zietek 艾佳妲

Dimensions:
Historical legacies
Legal aspects
Geopolitical and geostrategic
Resources
Legal aspects:
1982 - UNCLOS (international recognition of the 200-mile Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ)
International Tribunal on the Law of the Sea
San Francisco and Taipei Treaties
Scenarios:

Conflict between China and USA
Cold war scenario
Balance of power scenario
ASEAN Declaration on the South China Sea 1992
ASEAN Regional Forum
Declaration of Conduct 2002 (China and ASEAN)
Workshop "Managing Potential Conflicts in the South China Sea"
Council for Cooperation in Asia-Pacific
Shangri-La Dialogue
International arbitration
Full transcript