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Thesis

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by

Ibrahim Sabah

on 12 August 2014

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Transcript of Thesis

M.Sc. Thesis Presentation
Thesis Question
How is the Solar PV Market in Turkey going to develop?
Economy & Energy
Macro-economic Indicators in Turkey
Economic Overview
Recent Economic Progress
Economic Projection
Doing Business
Country Comparison, Economy

Energy Profile in Turkey
Energy Production
Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES)
Import & Export
Total Final Consumption (TFC)
Energy Mix
Electricity Mix

Solar Energy in Turkey
Solar Irradiation in Turkey
Country Comparison, Solar Energy
Global Solar PV Capacities
European Solar PV Capacities
Solar Collectors
Policy
Energy Targets in Turkey
Electricity Sector
Legislation Related to Solar PV
FIT Mechanism
Additional FIT for Domestic Product Use
Incentives

Licensed Segment: P>1 MW
License Types
Process
Stages and Durations
Network and Grid Connection
Unlicensed Segment: P<1 MW
Legislation
Application
Combined Consumption
Public Land Usage and Acquisition
Grid Connection
Operation
Project Stages and Durations
Country Comparison, FITs
Market
Prices, LCOE and Grid Parity
Country Comparison, Market
Current Market Size and Expected Growth
Licensed
Unlicensed
Current Investments
Installation
Grid
Stakeholders
Local PV Industry
Conclusion (Key Findings)
1. Turkey's economy is growing, but interest and inflation rates are high. Also, it is unstable due to politics.
2. Turkey is the 6th largest electricity market in Europe.
3. Solar panels covering 0.5% of Turkey's land could supply all electricity consumption.
4. Turkey is an emerging market for Solar PV businesses from Europe.
5. Solar energy is not prioritized in the policy and thus a fast development is not expected.
6.FIT prices in Turkey are lower than in Europe, yet feasibility of the projects is comparable with payback periods of 8-10 years.
7. Solar electricity is around grid parity in Turkey. Increasing electricity prices would boost the market: BOTAS, politics.
8. The expected market growth is not high. No boom is expected as it happened in European markets; due to the political instability and immature regulative environment.
Sub-questions
Objective
This thesis aims to study how suitable the economic, regulatory and energy market conditions in Turkey are for a solar PV market to develop
1. How suitable is the economic situation in the country for energy investments?
2. What is the situation of solar energy in country's energy profile?
3. How applicable are the solar energy related policies?
4. How well are the processes and the responsibilities of the governmental offices defined and functioning?
5. What do the investors and the sector players think/do?
6. What are the major drawbacks preventing the development?
7. What are the positive and negative transformation pressures?
Thank you
Chapter
Economy & Energy
Chapter
Chapter
Analysis of the Expected Development of Solar PV Market in Turkey
by
Ibrahim Sabah
Technology:
Photovoltaic Electricity
Ground mounted and Rooftop
Scale:
P < 1 MW
P > 1 MW
Methodology:
Analyzing the topic under 3 aspects:
1. Economy & Energy
2. Policy
3. Market
the objective of this presentation is to explain the structure and contents of this thesis study
And:
Determine a main thesis question
Divide it into sub-questions
Gather information for answering the sub-questions
Compare the current situation with selected countries
State arguments, comment and discuss on the current situation to draw conclusions towards the thesis question
Details related to the study are given in the report
Policy
Market
Conclusion 1.
Turkey's economy is growing, but interest and inflation rates are high. Also, it is unstable due to politics.
Conclusion 2.
Turkey is the 6th largest electricity market in Europe.
Conclusion 3.
Solar panels covering 0.5% of Turkey's land could supply all electricity consumption.
Conclusion 4.
Turkey is an emerging market for Solar PV businesses from Europe.
Conclusion 6.
FIT prices in Turkey are lower than in Europe, yet feasibility of the projects is comparable with payback periods of 8-10 years.
Conclusion 7.
Solar electricity is around grid parity in Turkey. Increasing electricity prices would boost the market: BOTAS, politics.
Conclusion 8.
The expected market growth is not high. No boom is expected as it happened in European markets; due to the political instability and immature regulative environment.
2023 solar target is 3000 MW,
which corresponds to 3% of targeted total installed capacity.
Conclusion 5.
Solar energy is not prioritized in the policy and thus a fast development is not expected.
Full transcript