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Complexity and Project Management

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Jon Whitty

on 30 November 2012

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Transcript of Complexity and Project Management

complexity science in-sights for managers Clock Thinking Newtonian Thinking Cause and Effect Success Factors On the average Cloud Thinking Evolution Platonic Thinking Linear Systems Additive Factors Scalability Not The Wisdom of Crowds Variation = Flaw or Noise The Ideal Form The Essential Rabbit The Ideal Project Manager Determinist Periodicity 1, 2, 3, 4 Rule=+1 Aperiodicity Rule A, then Rule B, then Rule C Linear Amplifier Impulse Response & Control Chaotic Behaviour Regular attractor Strange attractor Lorenz Water Wheel The Universal
is an illusion Fractal Dimensions Nothing is ever precisely the same Cellular Automata Game Theory The Mandelbrot Set The Cantor Set "Rule" Von Koch's Curve "Rule" von Koch's Snowflake Fractal (fractional) dimension – in-between a dot and a line Finite area with infinite length Menger Sponge "Rule" Application Infinite space with zero volume Bifurcation Small error Constraints Based Branching Rules Complexity from Very Simple Local Rules Emergent Behaviour Wisdom of the crowds Evolution Algorithm Natural Tools & Devices Genes & Memes Domestic Selection Human Tools & Devices Networks Distributed information Local Rules Problem Solving Distributed Information
Fractal Dimension
Local Rules – Acting Locally
Robust Structure
Coupled 'Clone' Components Beneficial structures (and therefore the rules)
are preserved by 'Selection' Biological and cultural replicators Co-Evolution Worker and task is inextricably linked Camouflage and mimicry Reductive Thinking pheromone trail Ant Nest Ants + Food "Distributed" Problem Solving Knowledge Acts on the group not the individual There's an issue with the definition of individual Superorganism Ethics & Cooperation Harsh Forgive defects and noisy interactions Fractal Dimensions Coupling / Synchronicity Low-Energy High-Energy Cartesian 1739 1776 1798 1816 1859 1867 1907 Complex System DVD References Complex Adaptive Systems Local Rules (Genes/Memes) are preserved To the survival of the replicator Local rules generate very complex behaviour Make behaviour Visible
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