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Global Futures

Globalisation & Future Studies
by

Kenny Lynch

on 27 February 2012

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Transcript of Global Futures

Global Futures
To respect history (Glouberman et al., 2003).
To understand interactions with the natural, built and social environment (Glouberman et al., 2003).
To look for linkages in unusual places (Ruitenbeek and Cartier, 2001).
To place efforts in determining significant connections rather than measuring everything (Holling, 2001).
To understand local conditions and strengths and assets (Glouberman et al., 2003).
Mapping the Present and the Future
Anticipation the Future
Timing the Future
Deepening the Future
Creating Alternatives to the Present
Transforming the Present and Creating the Future through visioning
Pulls
Drivers
Weights
probable
possible
preferable
Example:
Contribution to
Global Climate Change
Trends Analysis
Linear
Cyclical
Pendulum
Bifurcated
Spiral
Recognize and build on climate-friendly policies
Foster technical cooperation programs to assist poor countries in adapting to climate change and reducing emissions.
Promote climate protection in developing countries that is supportive of economic and social development.
Create an open dialogue on the criteria for more formal developing country involvement.
Preferable Global Futures
‘‘The future is there to be made. It is something shaped by people through their
purposeful acts
and through the
unintended consequences
of their acts. As such, the future is not there to be ‘predicted’ but to be socially constructed’’
European Commission, 2002)
Dr Kenny Lynch
Full transcript