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Nordic Energy Technology Perspectives 2016

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Nordic Energy Research

on 8 July 2016

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Transcript of Nordic Energy Technology Perspectives 2016

Visualisation of Nordic CO emissions, 2013
Tap into the positive momentum of cities in transport and buildings
Incentivise and plan for a more distributed, interconnected and flexible energy system
Three Strategic Actions
1.
2.

Global and Nordic CO emissions (indexed)
CCS critical in industry
Nordic CO emissions in the CNS
Thank you
2
2
Captured
Total
20 Mt CO
7 Mt CO
2
2
Nordic industrial emissions in 2050
Demand sectors most challenging
of utility-scale
heat pumps in 2050
3-4 GW
- Download figures, data and slides
www.nordicetp.org
Policy recommendations
2. Nordic cooperation on grids and markets
4. Utilise proven policies in transport
1. Strengthen incentives for flexibility
3. Ramp up industrial innovation
Ramp up decarbonisation of long-distance transport and the industrial sector
3.
7%
today
31%
in 2050
Presentation of key results
Partners
30 years ahead on electricity decarbonisation
Global carbon intensity of electricity (gCO /kWh)

2
Growth in Nordic transport demand
Process emissions as a share
of industrial CO emissions

Point sources of CO ,
2013
2
2
Tap into the positive momentum of cities
in transport and buildings
Incentivise and plan for a more distributed,
interconnected and flexible energy system
1.
2.
Ramp up decarbonisation of long-distance
transport and the industrial sector
3.
Tap into the positive momentum of cities in transport and buildings
Incentivise and plan for a more distributed, interconnected and flexible energy system
Three Strategic Actions
1.
2.
Ramp up decarbonisation of long-distance transport and the industrial sector
3.
2

More variable electricity supply
Nordic Total Primary Energy Supply in the CNS
Nordic stock of cars and light commercial vehicles in the CNS
Rapid electrification of transport
Transforming the energy system
Electricity trade:
2015
2050
5 GW
28 TWh
14 TWh
- Interconnectors to Europe -
- Trade activity with Europe -
- Net export to Europe -
23 GW
125 TWh
53 TWh
126
kWh/m in 2013
60
0.8%
2.2%
annual improvement, 2013-2050
annual improvement, 1990-2013
kWh/m in 2050
Space heating energy intensity
in Nordic buildings
Decoupling emissions from transport activity
Long-distance transport
15%
import dependency
for biomass in 2050,
up from 8% in 2013
in 2050
5-6 GW
in 2050
5-6 GW
in 2050
1-2 GW
2
2

Nordic nuclear capacity in the CNS and a fast phase-out sensitivity analysis
Early nuclear phase-out increases emissions
Oslo
Supply
Demand
System
3-4 GW
of utility-scale
heat pumps in 2050
(10x today's level)
Transport final energy demand
Urban leadership in transport electrification
Decoupling energy demand from floor area
www.iea.org/etp/nordic
Full transcript