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NECE-2016 Scenarios

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Transcript of NECE-2016 Scenarios

The Process
Focus Group
"Visegrad"
Focus Group
"Mediterranean"
Focus Group
"Old Continental Europe"
Anticipating Change.
Migration and Integration - Europe in
2030

Online
Preparatory Process
Uncovering the drivers of Societal Change
What are the 3 most influential factors that drive the debate on migration and integration in your country
today
?

In 2030
:
What will be the 3 most influential factors that will determine your country's approach towards migration and integration?
Wild Cards

Which unexpected (but plausible) event
or yet unnoticed trend might change the attitude of the majority of your fellow countrymen and
-women on migration and integration?
Scenario: "European Nightmare"
Selecting Key Drivers
for 2030 Scenarios
Setup of Scenario Matrices
Scenario "Viktor's Kiss"
Scenario "Alice in Wonderland"
Lead Question
: Can we anticipate societal change to improve long-term planning for CE and to address upcoming trends early-on?
The STEMPLE-Plus Analytical Framework
&
Full transcript