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Trend Conversations and Foresight - A Presentation to the LGMA Conference Sept 2016
Transcript of Trend Conversations and Foresight - A Presentation to the LGMA Conference Sept 2016
Experimention or Diversity
Most large organizations embrace the idea of invention, but are not willing to suffer the string of failed experiments necessary to get there. Outsized returns often come from betting against conventional wisdom, and conventional wisdom is usually right. Given a ten percent chance of a 100 times payoff, you should take that bet every time. But you’re still going to be wrong nine times out of ten. We all know that if you swing for the fences, you’re going to strike out a lot, but you’re also going to hit some home runs
Will Value Proposition
be the Same?
of Capabilities Do
We Need to Deliver?
"the business never loses context about who you are and your past purchases. It removes all the friction."
"fewer than 5 percent of occupations can be entirely automated using current technology. However, about 60 percent of occupations could have 30 percent or more of their constituent activities automated" - Mckinsey
Different Value Proposition?
Change in Capabilities?
n a world of Constant
Change How do You Determine
the Right Strategy?
What is Your Value Proposition?
What customer pain do you address?
What customer gain do you provide?
What customer Job do you do?
Mapping to Strategy
Create a List of Trends
and Possible Disruptions
Put People in Functional
Map Against Importance
and Level of Uncertainty
Compare and Contrast
3d model of Beddgelert, Wales
"fewer than 5 percent of occupations can be entirely automated using current technology. However, about 60 percent of occupations could have 30 percent or more of their constituent activities automated"
Talk to your neighbour
Which is most important for
future of councils?
What level of uncertainty do you have?