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Impact Of Renewable Energy Investment On Man-made Air Pollution

Achva Lederer & Tehila Atlan

Supervisor: Dr. Zohar Barnett-Itzhaki

Background

  • Human activity is responsible for most of the world’s air pollution, both indoors and outdoors.
  • The burning of fossil fuels such as coal and gasoline is the single largest source of air pollutants.

Background & Purpose

  • Renewable energy is energy that is collected from renewable resources, which are naturally replenished on a human timescale. Included in the definition is electricity and heat generated from solar, wind, ocean, hydropower, biomass, etc.
  • Investing in renewable energy can improve air pollution.

Our Purpose

Green Energy Investment

Pollutants

Purpose

To predict emissions of air pollutants as a function of renewable energy investment

Our Data

  • Data from the OECD website about various air pollutants emissions and different energy investments.

Features & Goals

  • Arranging the data. Using KNN algorithm to remove Nans.

  • Dividing the data on each of the pollutants, by area of each country.

Features

Our Features

The features are different investments in energy, both in the financial and development sectors.

Mean Feed-in Tariff for Solar PV electricity generation

Development of environment related technologies

Total ODA for climate change mitigation

Environmentally related taxes - Total tax revenue

Total ODA for environmental issues

Diesel Tax

Goals

Goals

SOx- Sulphur Oxides

CO- Carbon Monoxide

NOx- Nitrogen Oxides

Particulates(PM25)

Tools & Results

Tools & Results

Tools

  • pandas
  • os
  • Bioinformatics Toolbox
  • Econometric Toolbox
  • linear regression
  • SVM

Linear Regression

  • Building a linear regression model with all the features on each of the pollutants.

Linear Regression

  • Testing the model on the test set showed relatively good prediction and low RMSE.

Coefficients

RMSE

Bold - The most significant features from all the features.

Goal Function - PM2.5 pollutant

  • Run the model on the most significant features found in the general model and on all features except significant.
  • Testing the model on the test set showed relatively good results and RMSE similar to the general model.

significant features

  • In model without significant features the range of coefficients is lower.

Correlations between the six significant features

The regression results on the six most significant features

Results and comparisons

Comparison of the range of RMSE scores

The range of coefficients (thetas) values.

X-axis - The features

Y-axis - Coefficients values

RMSE of all features

The coefficients of all the features

RMSE of the six significant features

RMSE of the other features

All the features

the significant features

The coefficients of the other features

The coefficients of the six significant features

SVM algorithm

  • Classification using the SVM algorithm. The distribution was based on the median of each pollutant.

SVM

  • Testing the success rates on the test set showed success in 72% of predictions.

Conclusions

The results of the models are good and can predict relatively well the emission of air pollutants as a function of green energy investments.

Conclusions

It is interesting to build models that predict the impact of investments on future years.

Report of World Energy Outlook shows the effect of energy investment on air pollution

From the world

Thank you!

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