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Probability Project: Design Your Own Carnival Game
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Probability Project: Design Your Own Carnival Game
Tearron Smith
Intro
~ basketball shooting game
~basketball court or somewhere with a goal.
~the cost to play is $2
~the prize is a basketball themed after the winners favorite team.
Instructions
1.) you spin a wheel twice, with the chance to land on the numbers 1-4
2.) if the numbers that you get add up to 5 or above you get to shoot your shot. to win the prize.
Instructions
Game description
~you will need a basketball, a basketball court or a basketball goal, and a spinner with the numbers 1-4, with the same chance of landing on either or.
Game description
Probability Analysis
Probability Analysis
So, since you have to spin twice with a 25% chance to land on the numbers 1-4.
there are 16 outcomes in total, and there 10 outcomes that equal up to 5 or more. you will have to divide 10/16 and that will equal up to 0.625 then multiply that answer by 100 then you will end up with 62.5%. you will have a 62.5% of landing on two numbers that will get you a number that is 5 or more.
Probability Analysis extended
Probability Analysis extended
So, an average person shoots about 40% at the free throw line. to calculate your probability of winning the entire game would be to multiply the probalitity of spinning two numbers that add up to a number 5 or more (62.5%) by the average person at the free trhow line (40%). (0.62.5)(0.40)= 0.25(100)=25%
the average person has a 25% chance to win the game. so your chances are pretty bad unless your a NBA player.