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A recent survey of 50 executives who were laid off during a recent recession revealed it took a mean of 26 weeks for them to find another position. The standard deviation of the sample was 6.2 weeks. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the population mean. Is it reasonable that the population mean is 28 weeks? Justify your answer.
Robert Koeppel
Is it reasonable that the population
mean is 28 weeks?
Robert Koeppel
Confidence interval for the population Mean
_
s
n
X + t
-
X = sample mean
t = t-distribution
s = sample standard deviation
n = the number of observations in the sample
To determine the confidence limits when the population standard deviation is known, we use the z distribution.
Robert Koeppel
_
_
_
X = 26 + (2.010) 6.2
_
50
n = 50
X = 26
Standard deviation = 6.2
Degree of freedom: 50-1= 49
Confidence interval: 95%
t-table: 2.010
Mashaam Latif
=
_
26 + 1.762
=
27.762
26 - 1.762
=
24.238
Mashaam Latif
26 + 1.762
27.762
26 + 1.762
=
26 - 1.762
=
24.238
It is not reasonable that population mean is 28 weeks since 28 does not lie within the confidence interval
The American Restaurant Association collected information on the number of meals eaten outside the home per week by young married couples. A survey of 60 couples showed the sample mean number of meals eaten outside the home was 2.76 meals per week, with a standard deviation of 0.75 meal per week. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the population mean.
Construct a 99% confidence interval for the population mean
Confidence Interval for the Population Mean Formula
X = sample mean
t = t-value for a particular confidence level
s = sample standard deviation
n = number of observations in sample
FIND T-VALUE
With the Confidence Interval and the degree of freedom we are able to find the T-Value:
the Degree of freedom
"df=n-1"
n=60
60-1=59
Confidence Interval=99%
t=2.662
_
0.75
2.76 + 2.662
=
2.76 + 0.258
X = 2.76
t = 2.662
s = .75
n = 60
√60
3.018
2.76 + 0.258 =
2.76 - 0.258 =
2.502
The 99% confidence interval for the mean is
3.018 and 2.502
During a national debate on changes to health care, a cable news service performs an opinion poll of 500 small-business owners. It shows that 65% of small-business owners do not approve of the changes. Develop a 95% confidence interval for the proportion opposing health care changes. Comment on the result.
Develop a 95% confidence interval for the proportion opposing health care changes.
Confidence interval for a population proportion formula
P(1-P)
P + Z n
P = Sample proportion (p=x/n)
z = the z value for particular confidence level
n = number of observations in sample
Level of significance = 0.95
P = x/n
x=500/.65=325
325/500= 0.65
z = 0.9500/2= 0.475 = 1.96
N = 500
= 0.6082
95% CL =
0.65(1-0.65)
0.65 + 1.96 500
= 0.6918
0.65 (1-0.65)
95% CL = 0.65 - 1.96 500
Population proportion is between 0.6082 and 0.6918.
This means that the sample probability 95% of opposing
health care changes is in between 61% to 69%
You are to conduct a sample survey to determine the mean family income in a rural area of central Florida. The question is, how many families should be sampled? In a pilot sample of 10 families, the standard deviation of the sample was $500. The sponsor of the survey wants you to use the 95% confidence level. The estimate is to be within $100. How many families should be interviewed?
How many families should be interviewed?
Sample size for estimating population mean
n = Zs 2
E
E= Margin of Error
S= Standard Deviation
Z= Z-Distribution
n = 1.96 x 500 2
100
Z= 0.9500/2 =0.475
Find: 0.475 on table= 1.96
s= 500
E= 100
2
n = (9.8)
n = 1.96 x 500 2
100
n = 96.04
Round up to whole number
97 families should be interviewed
You plan to conduct a survey to find what proportion of the workforce has two or more jobs. You decide on the 95% confidence level and state that the estimated proportion must be within 2% of the population proportion. A pilot survey reveals that 5 of the 50 sampled hold two or more jobs. How many in the workforce should be interviewed to meet your requirements?
How many in the workforce should be interviewed to meet your requirements?
Sample size for the population proportion formula
z
2
n=p(1-p)( -- )
E
Z = 0.9500/2= 0.475= 1.96 (CL = 95%) (standard normal value)
E = 0.02 (estimated proportion)
p = 5/50 = 0.10 (sample proportion)
2
= 865
= 864.36
(1.96)
(0.10)(1-0.10) 0.02
Out of the workforce population, the data shows that 865 people should be interviewed to meet my requirements