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POPULISM: ALLY OR THREAT TO DEMOCRACY?

What is POPULISM?

There is not an unique defnition, but we can find some elements that characterize it.

Pseudo definition of "ELITE": Who hold the power.

"THE PEOPLE": Who does not hold the power, but gives it.

PEOPLE

VS

ELITE

Populist LEADER:

1) He says that he can shortly resolve the problems that the elite does not solve because they are corrupt.

2) He is part of "the people" and not of "the elite".

3) He has legitimacy and democratic sustain.

LEADER

He has the power to change what is not justice according to him.

Roger STONE

  • Mass media
  • Silent majority
  • Hate agants aliens

PHILOSOFICAL APPROACH

Steve BANNON

1) More sovranity

2) Back to the borders between States

3) No immigration

4) Destruction of radical Islam

Popper and Hempel

method:

  • Communication and rethoric
  • Sociology
  • Psychology
  • Math and statistics

SCIENTIFIC APPROACH

COMMUNICATION

Frequently words:

  • Nation
  • our
  • their
  • migrants
  • good culture

SOCIOLOGY

  • Economic crisis
  • Fear of terrorism
  • Fear of immigrants

PSYCHOLOGY

1) First impression

2) Concept of one nation

3) Sentiment of fear

MATH and STATISTICS

Pr (POPi t = 1 Xi t ) = F(Xi tβ)

POPULISM

DEMOCRACY

and

CONSTITUTION

CONSTITUTIONAL DEMOCRACIES

Synthesis between

  • Rule of Majority
  • Rule of Law

CONSTITUTIONAL DEMOCRACY

CONSTITUTION

The populist

critiques of the liberal understanding

of the Rule of Law

THE POPULIST CRITIQUE OF THE RULE OF LAW

  • Populists critique the apolitical, neutral nature of Law.

  • Populists deny a strong separation between Law and Politics/Morality.

  • Populists counter the idea of the Constitution as a higher law.

  • Populists criticize the liberal approach of the Rule of Law for its emphasis on individualism and its eroding effect on unity.

Populist constitutionalism

  • Reduce the distance between ordinary Citizens and the Institutions
  • Claim to directly represent the People

POPULIST CONSTITUTIONALISM

Three populist critiques of liberal constitutionalism:

1) People and Sovreignity

2) Majority Rule

3) Instrumental Approach to the Law

The People and the Popular Sovereignty

Popular Sovereignty:

the main normative justification for the populist constitutional program

PEOPLE AND SOVEREIGNITY

Populists desire to create a more direct relation between the People and the Constitutional complex of norms and values.

Majoritarianism

Expression of the will of a cohesive majority

Political power

To govern in the name of majority

Political government

MAYORITY RULE

The liberal understanding of parliamentary politics and representation is rejected

Populist goal: realizing a more intimate relation between political institutions and larger society.

Instrumental approach to the Law

Predominant approach of populists with Public Law

Tendency in populist constitutionalism

To collapse the distinction between ordinary and constitutional politics

INSTRUMENTAL APPROACH OF THE LAW

Populist constitutional attitude

Result of populism's negative evaluation of liberal constitutionalism

Populist's instrumental approach

Populist's

instrumental approach

Frequency of Constitutional interventions

Crisis of the Rule of Law: increasing of the arbitrary nature of the political regime

Consequences of instrumentalism approach

Consequences

  • Rulers become less accountable due to the absence of institutional control
  • Law-making becomes increasingly unpredictable and non-transparent for wider society
  • Citizens find more difficulties to contest the Law and to voice their concerns regarding new legislation
  • Extreme majoritarianism: an attempt to turn the majority into a permanent majority

East Europe's Populism

2010

1998

04

06

02

1988

Parliamentary election; Fidesz at 28.8%

Foundation of FIDESZ

Parlamentary elections; central-right coalition at 52%; ORBAN II

HUNGARY

2002

1949-1989

2014

1990

Comunist period

05

03

01

Parliamentary election; Fidesz at 41%, but still lost

07

First free elections

Parlamentary elections. ORBAN III

East Europe’s general populist characteristics

1) Will of people as the only absolute power

2) Charismatic leader

3) People as a united community

4) No need for alternation between parties

5) Attack to the enemies of the people

Constitutional Reform

2011: New “fundamental law”

2013: End of the process of emendation

Main points:

1) Only procedural review

2) No reference to constitutional and European case law

3) No “action popularis”

4) 2/3 majority for voting on legislation on media’s and information’s freedom

5) Definition of family

6) Criminalization of those who occupies public spaces

2005

2010

02

04

Parliamentary and presidential election; PiS at 27%

Plane accident; presidential elections lost by Jaroslaw Kaczyński

POLAND

2001

2007

2015

01

03

05

Foundation of PiS ; parliamentary election with PiS at 9.5%

Parliamentary elections; PiS at 32.1% but lost; cohabitation

Parliamentary and presidential elections

Political ideas

1) Public security

2) Against homosexual unions and euthanasia

3) Economic intervention of the state

4) Against liberalization

Main points of the Reform

1) QMV of 2/3 for every decision and presence of 13/15 judges for critical issues.

2) Managers of public radio and TV appointed by the executive.

3) Minister of justice and parliament appoint Judges of the Constitutional tribunal, of the NJC and the presidents of ordinary tribunals.

In conclusion...

  • Charles de Gaulle 1959 - 1969

UNR - UDT

  • Georges Pompidou 1969 - 1974 UDR
  • Valéry Giscard d'Estaing 1974 - 1981

PR

  • François Mitterand 1981 - 1995 PS
  • Jacques Chirac 1995 - 2007 UMP
  • Nicolas Sarkozy 2007 - 2012 UMP
  • François Hollande 2012 - 2017 PS
  • Emmanuel Macron 2017 - incumbent

LREM

PRESIDENTS OF FRANCE

In 1972, a group of small extremist far-right parties converged into the new Front National, and Jean-Marie Le Pen became the leader of the party.

In 1984, the Front National obtained 10 seats in the European Parliament.

THE FRONT NATIONAL

1980s: support of a common European defense and currency.

1990s: antagonization of pro-EU elite.

2000s: the EU as a totalitarian jail.

EUROSCEPTICISM

Financial crisis: worst recession after WWII.

Refugee crisis: migrants from Syria as "disease carriers" and a "criminal threat".

Brexit: the EU as a "prison of peoples" and justification for a Frexit referendum.

THE EU CRISES

A constitutional program containing all the amendments that would give "greatness" back to the 1958 Constitution.

LE PEN'S CONSTITUTIONAL PROGRAM

Goals:

  • leave the EU
  • reform the organization of France and its institutions
  • strike down French liberal democracy in order to establish an almost absolutist presidential regime.

Introduction of NEW PRINCIPLES

in the Constitution:

  • defense of our identity of people
  • national priority
  • fight against communitarianism

POINT N°1

Art.1 of the Constitution: "France [...] shall ensure the equality of all citizens before the law, without distinction of origin, race or religion [...]"

PROCESS OF

EUROPEAN INTEGRATION

Use the referendum to restore the superiority of national law and erase Title XV of the Constitution, which organizes the relations between France and EU institutions.

POINT N°2

Art.55 of the Constitution:

"Treaties or agreements duly ratified or approved shall, upon publication, prevail over Acts of Parliament [...]"

INCREASE THE POWER

OF THE PRESIDENT

POINT N°3

President's mandate = Parliament's mandate = 5 years

This has weakened the President's role, therefore Le Pen proposes to go back to the 7-year term.

Paradox: cohabitation reduces the President's powers.

Reduce the number of MPs from 925 to 500.

Introduction of a 5% treshold in order to be represented in Parliament.

30% majority prime: it is a maximum limit, not a bonus.

The winning party would have to form a coalition in order to get a simple majority and pass laws.

FULL PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION

INCREASE OF THE USE

OF REFERENDA

POINT N°4

This reform would establish a plebiscite relation between the President and the people, to the detriment of national representation and parliamentary debate.

Impose the referendum as the only possibility to amend the Constitution and extend its field of application to all areas of the law.

However, a referendum is not a constitutional debate.

PROCEDURE TO AMEND THE CONSTITUTION

ART.89 OF THE CONSTITUTION

Power to propose an amendment: President and Parliament.

The National Assembly and the Senate must approve the text in identical terms.

The text is then adopted either through a referendum or by 3/5 of the votes of the two Houses gathered in one Congress.

Le Pen wants to use the referendum to have her program passed.

Is it legally possible? Technically, yes.

VOTERS OF THE FN:

  • lower social classes
  • uneducated
  • "losers of globalization"

2017 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

1st round of elections: Le Pen 21.7%

Macron 23.7%

2nd round of elections: Le Pen 33.9%

Macron 66.1%

RESULTS

Nowadays, Britain’s parliamentary democracy has rarely felt more under siege.

UKIP BREXIT

RISE OF POPULISM IN UK

2019, BORIS JOHNSON

04

UKIP, 2015, FARAGE'S LEADERDSHIP

01

deal or NO deal?

TIMELINE

2015, CAMERON, BREXIT REFERENDUM

02

29 March 2017, process of withdrawal (invoking Art, 50 TEU)

03

The vote to LEAVE THE EU, with NO INDICATION of its CONDITIONS, hit the parliamentary system

Having failed several times to get her agreement approved by Parliament, May resigned as prime minister (July 2019)

How populism came about in the UK, and with what strategies?

UK Independence Party (UKIP) led by Nigel Farage managed to combine Euroscepticism with populist nationalism.

He succeeded in representing the instances of the forgotten by politics, the white and elderly working class that feels oppressed by the political and foreign system in its own home, in the face of an increasingly multicultural society, the fear of an invasion of migrants, the European failure in the face of the Greek crisis and the more general crisis of the Euro and the political capacity of the European Union.

HOW RESILIENT IS BRITISH CONSTITUTION?

BRITISH CONSTITUTION

All democratic systems have within them protective mechanisms.

The UK lacks a ‘written’ constitution.

Under pressure, this could tend to constitutional implications.

MILLER/CHERRY (24 SEPTEMBER 2019)

BORIS JOHNSON’S DECISION TO SUSPEND PARLIAMENT IS UNLAWFUL

MILLER/CHERRY

because of "the effect of frustrating or preventing, without reasonable justification, the ability of Parliament to carry out its constitutional functions as a legislature and as the body responsible for the supervision of the executive"

let's explain

  • prorogation = the power of the Queen to prorogue the Parliament
  • the Queen is 'obliged' to accept the advice. Is this advice lawful?
  • is this a matter of a Court of Law? Yes. So Courts can make a decision on lawfulness
  • lawful = "if Parliament is sovereign because it was democratically elected and Government is accountable to them, then a prorogation of this length that stops Parliament from working must be unlawful”

CLOSING REMARKS

The court has ruled that a Prime Minister cannot simply suspend the democratically elected Chamber of the National Parliament as and when they like. Certainly, the attacks on the independence of the Supreme Court’s latest prorogation decision matters to all Britons, as it is also an attack on everyone’s rights to political representation in a parliamentary democracy.

Populism takes hold where it successfully engages “the people” in a narrative that contests the rule of law ideal, an ideal which is premised on the notion of an independent judiciary deciding without fear or favor.

Donald J. Trump:

an uncommon President

AN UNCOMMON PRESIDENT

  • He was a real estate investor

  • He had no political

or military

experience

  • He has no real roots

in or connections

with any major political party

  • Language and communication

The American

socioeconomic situation

when Trump became President

"THE FOGOTTEN AMERICAN"

  • Demographic changes
  • Economic inequalities
  • The rise of social media
  • High costs of political campaign
  • Strong polarization of the electorate

The "forgotten American"

Trump's strategy

"The forgotten men and women of our country will be forgotten no longer"

CONSTITUTION of the US

  • Supreme law of the land
  • Signed on September 17, 1787, in Philadelphia
  • Bill of Rights, December 10, 1791.
  • Fundamental principles: rule of law, democracy, human rights etc.

CONSTITUTION AND LAW

The Preamble to the U.S. Constitution

"We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America."

RULE OF LAW

The Supremacy Clause of the Constitution Article VI, Section 2

"This constitution, and the laws of the United States which shall be made in pursuance thereof; and all treaties made, or which shall be made, under the authority of the United States shall be the supreme law of the land; and the judges in every state shall be bound thereby, anything in the constitution or laws of any state to the contrary notwithstanding".

Let’s consider one question relating to the rule of law raised by the Trump presidency:

Faithful execution of the laws and the Affordable Care Act

RULE OF LAW

Faithful

execution of

the laws and the ACA

DJ. Trump, March 17, 2017: “I also want people to know that Obamacare is dead; it’s a dead health care plan. It’s not even a health care plan”.

The health care reform law is “gone”, “absolutely dead”, “finished”,“a dead carcass.”

Example: INDIVIDUAL MANDATE ELIMINATES

What is it?

The individual mandate is the requirement that all U.S. residents either have health insurance or pay a penalty.

What changed?

The 2017 Republican tax legislation reduced the penalty for not having insurance to $0.

What does the administration say?

"We eliminated Obamacare's horrible, horrible, very expensive and very unfair, unpopular individual mandate. A total disaster. That was a big penalty. That was a big thing. Where you paid a lot of money for the privilege [...] of having no healthcare." — President Trump, The Villages, Florida, Oct. 3, 2019.

What is the impact?

1) ACA became unconstitutional.

2) The rising of insurance premiums.

Did Trump violate

the Constitution?

Take Care Clause, Article II, section 3: “The President shall […] take care that the Laws be faithfully executed […]”.

Vesting Clause, Article II, section 1: “The executive Power shall be vested in a President of the United States of America […]”.

This provision means that the President has plenary executive power.

Does this include the power to exercise discretion in the application of the laws?

Is the Article II, Section 3 itself a limitation on presidential power or is it, rather, a provision which empowers the president with discretion in his application of the laws?

DEMOCRACY

The term "democracy" is not mentioned by the Constitution; however, there have been numerous amendments to the Constitution to advance democracy.

For example:

DEMOCRACY

Amendments XIV – Conferring citizenship on all persons born in the United States

Amendments XV – Right to vote for former slaves;

Amendments XVII – Direct election of United States Senators;

Amendments XIX – Women’s suffrage;

Amendments XXIII – Right to vote in presidential elections for citizens of Washington, D.C.;

Amendments XXIV – Banning the poll tax;

Amendments XXVI – Right to vote for citizens over eighteen years of age.

The ELECTORAL PROCESS

Amendment XV, Section I

"The right of citizens of the United States to vote shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or by any State on account of race, color, or previous condition of servitude".

Trump said that "millions of illegal immigrants had voted in the 2016 United States presidential election, costing him the popular vote".

Advisory Commission on Election Integrity, also called the Voter Fraud Commission.

(From May 11, 2017 to January 3, 2018).

Is this Commission a pretext for vote suppression?

EQUALITY and HUMAN RIGHTS

American Declaration of Independence

“We hold these truths to be self-evident: That all men are created equal; that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights; that among these are life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness [...]”

EQUALITY and HUMAN RIGHTS

Due Process Clause, Amendment V

"No person shall be held to answer for a capital, or otherwise infamous crime, unless on a presentment or indictment of a Grand Jury, [...] nor be deprived of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; [...]".

Equal Protection Clause, Amendment XIV, Section 1

"No State shall [...] deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws".

President Joe Biden wrote recently that “American democracy is rooted in the belief that every man, woman and child has equal rights to freedom and dignity”.

Minority groups (like Hispanics, blacks, Muslims, immigrants, environmentalists, persons with disabilities, etc.) have all been subjected to discriminatory actions.

Example: MUSLIM BAN

LASTLY...

1. Populism criticizes liberal or legal constitutionalism, but its alternative constitutional solution is highly different from a democratic approach.

2. The claim of the populist is made on the basis of the mobilization of people against a common enemy, that undermines the common good

However, populism does little to nothing to address the complexity of constitutional democracy in the contemporary European context and, rather, paves the way for what could be called a democratic dictatorship.

VALERIA AGUS

MARIA RAFFAELLA FIORELLA

LIBERO PIO MECCARIELLO

NIKOLA MIRKOVIC

GIOVANNI VACCARONE

EDOARDO SORO

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