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Scenario Based Risk Identification (Scenario Analysis)
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Scenario Analysis
Is the creation of different scenarios
That represent an alternetive way to achieve the objective or the interaction of forces to the project.
4
Steps
In
making a risk scenarios
1st
The creation of a possible out come
2nd
Creatting development in the path to it
3ed
The look for possible turing points
4th
The demonstrstion of the possible scenarios
The bros of the method
Is that it dont rely on the past events and experiences only but also on any other factor
The cons of the method
Is that experirnce show that three scenarios are the most effective, more can lead to unclearty.
References:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scenario_analysis