Unemployment Rate vs. Crime Rate

• First graph showed strong relation ship between variables
• Consistent with original hypothesis
• Each individual variable on provincial level did not correlate with first graph data
• Then compared unemployment and crime in 1996, 2006, 2013 provincially
• Data showed that there was no correlated relationship between variables
• Rates may have other factors contributing

• choose a topic which allowed us to use more of our knowledge from the course.
• The data colllected only allowed for certain data to be collected
• this did not allow for us to incorporate other aspects of the course.
• did not allow us to perform proper regression analysis techniques to prove a correlation was present.

Unemployment and Crime rates in Canada

Crime rate in Canadian provinces

Unemployment Rate in Canadian Provinces

Unemployment rate and crime rate in Canada

• Wanted to see relationship between unemployment rates within provinces
• As years go by unemployment rate decreases
• Mean starts in 1996 at 10.64 decreases to 6.56 in 2013
• Interested in seeing unemployment rate in 1996,2006,2013

• NL,NS, and ON show slight decrease from 1996-2013
• Territories show increase instead of decrease
• 1996 mean was 13.04 increased to 13.58 by 2013
• Now we want to compare both variables

• Important to look at Crime and unemployment together
• Look for relationship between variables
• Both show steady decrease over time
• Strong positive correlation
• Must take closer look at data
• Compare data between provinces see if they share correlation

Introduction:

Unemployment and Crime rate

Results

Bias?

Main Questions:

• Is there direct correlation between variables?
• Unemployment increases, does crime increase?
• Unemployment decreases, does crime decrease?

How to answer these questions:

• Look at Canada as a whole, then provinces
• Look at variables individually, then combine them

Main goal:

• To understand relationship between crime and unemployment in Canada

Crime and Unemployment rates in 1996,2006, and 2013

• Wanted to come to accurate conclusion without bias
• Collected data that showed all aspects of our topic
• look at data in large span of time
• collect each province as a percentage
• look at it provincially instead of nationally

Third Variables

Correlation not Causation

What would we change?

Even though we focused on unemployment being the only factor affecting the crime rate, there are other variables that can contribute to the rise and drop in the data that we collected.

• In no way can we prove that the unemployment rate within Canada is the direct cause of high crime rates.
• We can only discuss that there may be a relationship between the two variables that should be further investigated.