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Impact of COVID-19

COVID-19 has transformed the economic and consumer landscape

COVID-19 has transformed the economic and consumer landscape

A new normal will emerge, as fears of a pandemic or other destructive events remain palpable.

Profound impact on economies, businesses and consumers worldwide, changing the way consumers live, work and shop.

Economy

Economy

Global economy to enter it's worst recession since the 1930s

Businesses are facing huge challenges in navigating through the turbulence, while coping with disrupted supply chains and rapidly changing consumer needs and habits.

Consumers

More households are expected to fall into lower-income segments.

Consumer

Consumers re-evaluate their life priorities

Behaviour shifts are expected to last a long time

Impact of Covid-19 on Market sizes

The impact of COVID-19 on market sizes

With the exception of fresh food, packed food and home care, Covid-19 will have a negative impact on market

Consumers refocus on health and financial security

Consumers refocus on health and financial security

Consumers have been forced to develop new habits

Consumers of all ages, income levels and cultures deal with two major crises in one: health safety and recession.

Significant shifts in who is shopping where, and how often.

Telehealth will be instrumental in healthcare.

Six Themes Transforming Consumer Markets

Six key Coronavirus era themes

From Sustainability to Purpose

A more holistic approach that aims to create social, environmental and economic value.

From Sustainability to Purpose

Pursuing purpose over profit

Putting purpose first, while protecting the triple bottom line.

How “From Sustainability to Purpose” impacts consumer markets

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Pursuit of the greater good

Brands must invest more in locally produced goods

Concentrate on their brand heritage, transparency, safety and provenance.

How “From Sustainability to Purpose” impacts consumer markets

Drinks and Tobacco

Drinks and Tobacco

Companies are keen to be seen supporting local communities

Planet-before-profit mantra

Purpose-driven action

How “From Sustainability to Purpose” impacts consumer markets

Food and Nutrition

Food and Nutrition

COVID-19 is expected to realign consumers’ priorities

Food waste, animal welfare and food security, will be front-lined

Packaging sustainability and sustainable sourcing, will lose out

Sustainability is initially taking a back seat to health

How “From Sustainability to Purpose” impacts consumer markets

Home and Technology

Home and Technology

COVID-19 has both refocused and reclassified sustainability

Sustainability to co-exist with primacy of hygiene and serving consumers during economic hardship.

How “From Sustainability to Purpose” impacts consumer markets

Services and Payments

Services and Payments

The pandemic has decimated some service and payments whilst accelerating others

Gives industries a chance to reset and build back better

Putting people first to achieve the triple bottom line

Hometainment and the New Experiential Consumer

Consumers redefine and adapt their daily routines

Hometainment and the New Experiential Consumer

Experiential customers creates strategic opportunities across products and services,

How “Hometainmentand The New Experiential Consumer” impacts consumer markets

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Online shopping transformation - Quasi physical store conditions

Focused on the at-home universe

Brands will need to secure high-quality and meaningful experiences with all channels

How “Hometainmentand The New Experiential Consumer” impacts consumer markets

Drinks and Tobacco

Drinks and Tobacco

Development of Countertop commerce

Desire to take control of the preparation process

Sedate, solitary aspect to experiences

More of a focus on health and mental wellbeing

How “Hometainmentand The New Experiential Consumer” impacts consumer markets

Food and Nutrition

Food and Nutrition

Meal occasions are coming into the home

New found love for cooking

Multitude of new social forums and free online cooking classes

How “Hometainmentand The New Experiential Consumer” impacts consumer markets

Home and Technology

Home and Technology

Digital education, gaming and online esports events to further strenthen

Toy companies are further repositioning as entertainment companies,

Expecting digitalisation of play and pastimes to strengthen.

How “Hometainmentand The New Experiential Consumer” impacts consumer markets

Services and Payments

Services and Payments

New approaches to reaching consumers and building consumer relationships

The need to justify any and all consumer visits will intensify

Where and How Consumers Shop

COVID-19 accelerates trends, such as the rise of online, click & collect, frictionless retail and D2C

Where and How Consumers Shop

How “Where and How Consumers Shop” impacts consumer markets

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Health, Beauty and Fashion

COVID-19 has emerged as the ultimate retail disruptor

Potential to accelerate e-commerce adoption, expand click & collect formats

Catalyse frictionless retail and D2C operations worldwide

How “Where and How Consumers Shop” impacts consumer markets

Drinks and Tobacco

Drinks and Tobacco

Decimation of foodservice and on-trade in the beverages sector

Alternative consumer channels including D2C and B2B2home.

Recovery will be slow

How “Where and How Consumers Shop” impacts consumer markets

Food and Nutrition

Food and Nutrition

A turning point for e-commerce and a boost for meal kits is tempered

Adverse impact on impulse channels

D2C opportunities could emerge

How “Where and How Consumers Shop” impacts consumer markets

Home and Technology

Home and Technology

D2C brands come to the forefront

Click & collect also sees a significant boost across markets

How “Where and How Consumers Shop” impacts consumer markets

Services and Payments

Services and Payments

Click & collect and alternative check-out options have become expected

Social selling, super apps and marketplaces have grown drastically in importance

Significant shifts in who is shopping and how often implies changes

Wellness Redefined

From Sustainability to Purpose

A more holistic approach that aims to create social, environmental and economic value.

Wellness Redefined

The wellness movement is set to witness another paradigm shift causing leaders to rethink strategies through a renewed lens

Pursuing purpose over profit

The primary aspects of optimal health, health in its purest form and the adoption of a holistic approach are being reinforced.

Putting purpose first, while protecting the triple bottom line.

The notion of happiness becoming a more tangible commercial prospect

How “Wellness Redefined” impacts consumer markets

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Beauty and wellness convergence becomes even more prominent

Digital health solutions are reinforced

Luxury wellness brands move into mental, emotional and spiritual health

How “Wellness Redefined” impacts consumer markets

Drinks and Tobacco

Drinks and Tobacco

Outcome-based products will evolve

Even more emphasis on mental wellbeing; mindfulness and preventative health

Responsible stimulants will be more pronounced

How “Wellness Redefined” impacts consumer markets

Food and Nutrition

Food and Nutrition

Fundamental balance of exercise vs nutrition becomes disrupted by even more sedentary lifestyles

Accelerates the shift towards more holistic wellness and eating

How “Wellness Redefined” impacts consumer markets

Home and Technology

Home and Technology

"Home as health hub” resurfaces and is reinforced

Consumers ramp up their at-home cleaning and hygiene routines

How “Wellness Redefined” impacts consumer markets

Services and Payments

Services and Payments

Travel industry will look to health and wellness as a key driver

Need to bring an impression of calm, comfort and serenity to the consumer experience

Trust and transparency will become even more important

Innovation and the New ‘Core’

Coronavirus Era has led to a rapidly changing operating and consumer environment and left the appetite for experimentation diminished.

Innovation and the New ‘Core’

How “Innovation and the New Core” impacts consumer markets

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Prominent innovations involve providing home-based services for customers

Companies are reorienting around simpler, more cost effective product lines

How “Innovation and the New Core” impacts consumer markets

Drinks and Tobacco

Drinks and Tobacco

Demand for immunity / health-boosting ingredients

Consumers will pay a premium

Insurgent brands will struggle to survive

How “Innovation and the New Core” impacts consumer markets

Food and Nutrition

Food and Nutrition

'Value’ likely to become the single most important factor

Products that can replicate the restaurant experience in the home

D2C channel will develop from a low-base

How “Innovation and the New Core” impacts consumer markets

Home and Technology

Home and Technology

Innovation refocuses on agility of consumer reach and communication, efficiency and costs to consumers

Value for money surges forward

Strategies will likely combine a mix of premium quality and a well-communicated value-for-money approach.

How “Innovation and the New Core” impacts consumer markets

Services and Payments

Services and Payments

High-end e-commerce and live streaming events to expand as launchpads for new brands and new products

Domestic travel could expand

The ‘New Normal’: What’s Here to Stay?

How consumers work, shop, eat, drink and play will be driven by lingering home seclusion and ‘risk dread

The ‘New Normal’: What’s Here to Stay?

An increase in working-from-home will be matched with an increase in hometainment–cooking, eating and socialising at home.

How “The ‘New Normal’” impacts consumer markets

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Creates opportunities related to therapeutic properties and mental wellbeing

Companies will work to diversify supply chains

Continuing to invest in digital tech and virtual experiences to maintain engagement

How “The ‘New Normal’” impacts consumer markets

Drinks and Tobacco

Drinks and Tobacco

Social distancing knocks the very concept of group consumption

Consumers will be jaded, less prone to want to post on social media about their drinking preferences

Healthy in the first instance, happy second

How “The ‘New Normal’” impacts consumer markets

Food and Nutrition

Food and Nutrition

Packaged food industry is doing well

Stockpiling bringing purchases forward in some cases

How “The ‘New Normal’” impacts consumer markets

Home and Technology

Home and Technology

Tech brands that focus on low-cost strategies will benefit by proving to offer the biggest bang for buck

Companies operating in traditionally more premium spaces like Apple will not likely be impacted as much due to their loyal bands of affluent diehard fans.

How “The ‘New Normal’” impacts consumer markets

Services and Payments

Services and Payments

Retailers will focus on their value proposition and technology

Sales will disproportionately go to the adopters, resulting in a more consolidated retail landscape globally

Shopping centres, Inherently social, will have to work hard to draw shoppers

The outlook for consumers

Contraction in spending will clearly impact the performance of consumer markets

The outlook for consumers

Retailers and consumers becoming increasingly risk averse

Health and value seem likely to be key priorities.

Per capita consumer expenditure to fall by 5.2% in real terms in 2020 globally, and to not return to 2019 levels until 2022.

The evolution of consumer markets

The evolution of consumer markets

Acceleration of e-commerce adoption and frictionless retail

Ethical values to the fore

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Luxury under pressure

Health, Beauty and Fashion

Experiential consumer a particular challenge

Drinks and Tobacco

The concept of drinking occasions has been dealt a hammer blow

Further development of countertop commerce

Drinks and Tobacco

Food and Nutrition

Big players focus on what sells now and core line

Food and Nutrition

Meal occasions coming into the home

Online forums and cooking classes

Sustainability shifts to highlighting economic value of premium hygiene and integrated smart technology

Home and Technology

Home and Technology

D2C, marketplaces and subscription models enhanced

Home as health hub

Restaurants will increasingly experiment with groceries, supporting home meal prep and delivery

Services and Payments

Need to justify consumer visits will intensify

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