Introducing
Prezi AI.
Your new presentation assistant.
Refine, enhance, and tailor your content, source relevant images, and edit visuals quicker than ever before.
Trending searches
Loading content…
Loading…
Rational Actor Model
8
Transcript
Rational Actor Model
Group 1
By: Brian ten Broeke, Casper Kastelein & Tom Smit
Course: Skills Lab 3
Tutor: J. Dowling
Introduction
Research question: To what extent does the
RAM explain the events during the Fukushima disaster?
Introduction
Theory
- Optimal outcome
- Unitary actor
- Coherent utility function
Theory
About the RAM
- Decision model
- Behaviour of actors
- Three aspects of the RAM
- Decision model
- Behaviour of acto...
Game theory
Game theory
- Goal
- Alternatives
- Effects of possible actions
- Optimal choice
Rationality
- Herbert Simon
- Bounded rationality
- Comprehensive rationality
Rationality
Assumptions of RAM
Assumptions of RAM
- Game theory
- Coherent utility function
- Unitary actor
Case
Case
- TEPCO
- Six reactors
- Level 7 INES
Earthquake
- 9.0
- External powerlines
- Succesfully switched to on-site emergency power
Tsunami
- Second wave
- Shutdown of emergency power
- Nuclear meltdown
Analysis
Analysis
- Period: start until hydrogen explosions on March 12 3.35 p.m.
- Decision 1
- Decision 2
- Decision 3
Decision 1
Government take-over of crisis response
- Initially conflicts with unitary actor
Decision 2
Prime Minister Kan sends battery trucks to Fukushima Daiichi Plant
Decision 2
- Personified actor
- Cuban Missile Crisis
Decision 3
Prime Minister Kan's visit to the plant
- Lack of information
- Bounded rationality
- Decisionmaking
Decision 3
Conclusion
- Multiple actors
- Government had to act
- Relatively far extent
Conclusion
Sources
Images
Sources
- Demetriou, D. (2011, 2 April). Japan's prime minister Naoto Kan visits earthquake zone as his political fortunes rise. retrieved on 12 March from https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/japan/8423349/Japans-prime-minister-Naoto-Kan-visits-earthquake-zone-as-his-political-fortunes-rise.html
- Demetriou, D. (2011, 12 December). Wild monkeys to measure radiation levels in Fukushima. Retrieved on 12 March from https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/japan/8950513/Wild-monkeys-to-measure-radiation-levels-in-Fukushima.html
- Reynolds, D. (2011, 13 March). Q&A: What has quake done to Japanese nuclear reactors? Retrieved on 12 March from http://edition.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/03/12/japan.nuclear.quesions/index.html
- Famous Psychologists (n.d.). Herbert Simon. Retrived on 13 March from http://www.famouspsychologists.org/psychologists/herbert-simon.jpg
Sources
Images
Sources
- Apkmos (n.d.) 'picture of chess'. Retrieved on 13 March from https://apkmos.com/wp-content/uploads/Chess.jpeg
- Brainpop (n.d.) 'picture of game theory'. retrieved on 13 March from https://cdn.brainpop.com/math/probability/gametheory/screenshot1.png
- GovernmentBookTalk (2012). Hawks vs. Doves: The Joint Chiefs and the Cuban Missile Crisis. Retrieved on 13 March from https://govbooktalk.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/cuba-blockade-headlines.jpg
- UNC School of Information (n.d.) Essence of Decision, Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. N. retrieved on 13 March from https://ils.unc.edu/courses/2013_spring/inls285_001/images/Allison.1971.jpg
Sources
Literature
- Allison, G. T. and Zelikow, P. (1999). Essence of Decision, Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. New York, NY: Longman.
- Kushida, K.E. (2016). Japan's Fukushima Nuclear Disaster: An Overview. In Blandford, E.D., Sagan, S.D. (eds.), Learning from a Disaster: Improving Nuclear Safety and Security after Fukushima. Standford, CA: Standford University Press, pp. 10-28.
Sources
Choose a template
Presentations from around the world
Learn more about creating dynamic, engaging presentations with Prezi