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Current Status

Banks

Banking Industry

Overview

Current Scenario

  • Number of Banks:
  • PSU Banks - 20
  • Private Banks - 22
  • Foreign Banks - 44
  • Regional Rural Banks - 44
  • Co-operative Banks:
  • Urban - 1,542
  • Rural - 94,384
  • As on March 31, 2019, ATMs in India increased to 2,21,703 and the number of debit and credit cards issued were 925 million and 47 million, respectively.

Statistics

Statistics

  • Assets of public sector banks stood at Rs 72.59 lakh crore (US$ 1,038.76 billion ) in FY19.
  • As per RBI, as of January 10, 2020, India recorded foreign exchange reserves of approximately US$ 461.21 billion.
  • Deposits as of Jan 2020, stood at Rs 133.24 lakh crore (US$ 1,906.45 billion).
  • The NPAs (Non-Performing Assets) of commercial banks has recorded a recovery of Rs 400,000 crore (US$ 57.23 billion) in FY2019, which is highest in last four years.
  • Debit cards have radically replaced credit cards as the preferred payment mode in India, after demonetization.
  • Transactions through Unified Payments Interface (UPI) stood at 1.2 billion in November 2019 worth Rs 1.89 lakh crore (US$ 27.08 billion).

PSU vs. Private Banks

An overview of the Indian Banking Sector with respect to Public Sector and Private Sector Banks.

(Note: For the comparison, top 5-6 banks in both the segments have been taken into consideration. Top 5 PSU banks account for ~60-65% of total PSU bank advances, and top 5 private banks account for ~80% of the total private bank advances.)

PSU vs. Private Banks

Market Shares

Market Shares

Credit Growth

Credit Growth

  • Private banks have managed to grow their credit at much higher rate than their PSU peers.
  • The credit growth for PSU banks suddenly dropped from 22% CAGR (1994-2014) to 2% CAGR (2014-2018). Whereas, the private banks continued to grow at 18-20% rate.
  • Major Reason: Heavy Corporate lending by PSU Banks

Return on Assets

Return on Assets (RoA)

  • Private Banks Enjoy Higher Return on Assets.
  • ROAs have turned negative for PSU banks in last couple of years due to higher provisions because of their higher NPAs.
  • Other Reasons: Credit Cards, Retail Lending Etc.

Deposits

Deposits

  • The aggressive expansion of branch networks by the private banks has benefitted them by increasing their share in the pie of deposits.

Banks are the backbone of every economy. It is very important that banks remain healthy financially. Otherwise, a financial crisis can hit a country leading to recession. This is especially true for developing countries like India. However, India's banks face different kinds of problems, which have affected their profitability and financial stability.

Major Problems

NPA's and Frauds

Non Performing Assets and Frauds

  • The non-performing asset (NPA) pile up happened because of a credit boom between 2006 and 2011 when bank lending grew at an average rate of over 20 per cent.
  • NPA's in the country crossed 10 Lakhs lately, out of which more than 70% are from the corporate sector. On the other hand, farmers have been recorded to default on 8% of the total NPAs.
  • Primary sector has defaulted on 6% of the total amount borrowed.
  • Only 12 companies from the corporate sector constitute more than 25% NPAs in the country which is mainly due to intentional mismanagement of funds.

Rural Markets

Rural Markets

  • 69% of India’s population resides in rural areas.
  • Government initiatives to give access to bank accounts to all the households of the country.
  • Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana, August 2014
  • Deposits under Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY) stood at Rs 1.06 lakh crore (US$ 15.17 billion) with 37.34 crore accounts registered.
  • Despite this, inadequate infrastructure to reach out to the market at the bottom of the pyramid (BOP).

Lending to MSME's

Lending to Micro, Small & Medium Enterprises (MSME's)

  • Need for credit increasing.
  • Credit allocation has not been upto the mark.
  • Pradhan Mantri Mudra Yojana, April 2015
  • In May 2018, the Government of India provided Rs 6 lakh crore (US$ 93.1 billion) loans to 120 million beneficiaries under Mudra scheme.
  • Micro-Units Development and Refinance Agency (MUDRA) scheme not successful.
  • Loans majorly for well performing sector with concrete business plans.
  • Jobs created only in 20% of the cases (i.e. only one in five Mudra loans has led to job creation).

Capital Adequacy Ratio

Capital Adequacy Ratio

  • CAR is the ratio of a bank's capital to its risk.
  • CAR has declined steadily for Indian banks, especially for public-sector banks.
  • If banks do not shore up their capital soon, some could fail to meet the minimum capital requirement set by the RBI. In such a case, they could face severe issues.
  • As per RBI norms, Indian scheduled commercial banks are required to maintain a CAR of 9% while Indian public sector banks are emphasized to maintain a CAR of 12%.

Scams

Overall, 3,766 incidents of frauds were detected in FY19, a 15 percent spike from a year ago, while the losses incurred saw an 80 percent rise from the FY18.

Scams

Punjab National Bank Scam

On February 2018, state-owned Punjab National Bank (PNB)

disclosed that it has discovered around Rs 11,400

crore worth of fraudulent transactions at one of its Mumbai

branches. In a complaint to the Central Bureau of Investigation, the

bank had named the firms and people associated with billionaire

jeweler Nirav Modi to have caused this massive fraud using the

bank officials.

PNB Bank

How?

How it happened

  • The LoU is issued by PNB to the foreign bank through SWIFT messages.

  • Normally the bank issuing the LoU asks for a cash margin. In this case, there was no scheduled credit limit and no margin was demanded.

  • The entries in respect of LoUs issued were not recorded in PNB’s core banking system (CBS)

  • Colluding officials sent SWIFT messages from one of PNB’s Mumbai branches to overseas banks offering unauthorized LoUs.

  • Under the RBI guidelines, buyer’s credit for import of gems should not exceed 90 days from the shipment date; in this case, however, they were rolled over repeatedly.

  • Not knowing Nirav Modi or his credit history, the overseas bank extended credit bases entirely on PNB’s LoU. In case of default, PNB would have to make good this amount to the overseas bank.

  • Overseas bank remits funds to Nostro account of PNB, backed by the LoU.

  • In the normal course, on the due date, PNB should have remitted the funds to the overseas banks and recovered the amount from Nirav Modi.

  • But in the Nirav-PNB case, LoUs kept getting rolled over.

  • The scam went on for shocking seven years; 151 LoUs were issued in 2017 alone

Measures

Measure

  • In March 2018, the government approved the Fugitive Economic Offenders Bill, to deter economic offenders from evading the process of Indian law by giving powers to the government to confiscate assets of a fugitive, including Benami assets of absconding loan defaulters.

  • The Reserve Bank of India scrapped banking instruments such as the Letter of understanding (LoU) and Letter of Comfort (LoC) .

Punjab and Maharashtra Cooperative Bank Crisis

Founded in 1984, Punjab & Maharashtra Cooperative (PMC) Bank is a Scheduled Urban Co-operative Bank with its area of operation in 137 branches across seven states and stands among top 10 co-operative banks of the country.

What happened?

  • The PMC issue came to light when a whistle blower from the bank wrote to the RBI on September 17 warning about the bank’s hidden exposure to the HDIL group.
  • On September 24, 2019 RBI placed curbs on the activities of the bank for 6 months. Customer withdrawal was limited to Rs 1,000 at first, and later to Rs 25,000.

PMC Bank

Why?

Why it happened

  • PMC’s results in FY19 show no issues with the bank, with net NPAs of 2.19% and capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of 12.62% — above the RBI’s 9% threshold.

  • It was among the top five co-operative lenders in India, with a loan book of Rs 8,383 crore.

  • This excluded the bank’s Rs 6,500-crore hidden loans to HDIL as of March 2019, which was facing insolvency proceedings in the NCLT. In other words, PMC’s official exposure to HDIL constituted more than 75% of the bank’s total loans. The bank management replaced 44 loan accounts with 21,049 dummy accounts

Measures taken

Measures taken by the RBI

  • Introducing the Banking Regulation (Amendment) Bill- The proposed law seeked to enforce banking regulation guidelines of the RBI in cooperative banks while administrative issues will still be guided by the Registrar of Cooperative.

  • Revised exposure norms- The Large Exposure Framework (LEF), effective from 1 April 2019, seeks to reduce concentration risk in the banking industry, already saddled with bad loans. It aims to align with the standards on a supervisory framework for measuring and controlling large exposures issued by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.

  • Heightened supervision-The central bank said that it intended to build a framework like CRILC for UCBs with assets of Rs 500 crore or more.

  • Strengthen cyber-security

The YES Bank Crisis

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on March 5 placed Yes Bank under moratorium and restricted withdrawals to a maximum of Rs 50,000, sending its customers into a wave of confusion and panic.

Shares of the lender fell to its lowest, at Rs 5.65 a share, and closing at Rs 16.15 on the NSE. Depositers queued up to withdraw their money and fintech platforms partnered with the bank suffered outages and suspended their services.

YES Bank

Why?

Why it happened

Bad Loans

It went on a loaning spree with advances rising by 334% between Financial Year 2014 and 2019

Customers withdrew large amounts, resulting in the credit-deposit ratio crossing 100% in 2018-19. That is, it lent more than it received.

Governance issues

The bank has experienced serious governance issues and practices in recent years that led to its downfall. The bank under-reported Non-Performing Assets to the tune of Rs 3,277 crore in 2018-19.

Measures taken

Measures taken by the RBI

  • Implementation of Section 45 of the Banking Regulation Act .

  • The RBI said that the State Bank of India (SBI) will own 49 per cent of Yes Bank’s shareholding for its revival.

  • Apart from fixing the share price to Rs 10, the RBI also said that all those who invested in the bank’s 81 additional tier 1 capital bonds — which pay back a higher rate of interest — will have no value.

REFORMS

Reforms

INSOLVENCY & BANKRUPTCY CODE, 2016

Insolvency & Bankruptcy Code

""

An Act to consolidate and amend the laws relating to reorganisation and insolvency resolution of corporate persons, partnership firms and individuals in a time bound manner for maximisation of value of assets of such persons, to promote entrepreneurship, availability of credit and balance the interests of all the stakeholders including alteration in the order of priority of payment of Government dues and to establish an Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India, and for matters connected therewith or incidental thereto.

""

What & Why?

What is the IBC & Why was it needed?

  • Passed on 11th May 2016
  • It was done to consolidate all the existing laws related to insolvency in India and to simplify the process of insolvency resolution.
  • Insolvency is the inability of the individuals or corporates to repay their debts. Bankruptcy is nothing but a legal declaration of insolvency.

Reasons-

  • No single law
  • Overlapping of jurisdiction
  • Complex structure incurring high cost
  • Need to reduce resolution time ( estimated 4.3 years for 1 company)

Salient Features

STRUCTURE & PROCESS

  • Adjudicating authority
  • National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) for companies and LLPs
  • Debt Recovery Tribunal (DRT) for individuals and partnership firms.
  • The insolvency resolution process can be initiated by any of the stakeholders of the firm

Benefits & Impact

BENEFITS

  • Allows an easy exit for businesses and leads to optimum allocation of capital in the free market
  • Improve India’s ranking in the World Bank’s ‘Ease of Doing Business’ index
  • Promote investment and entrepreneurship in the economy
  • Resolve India’s bad debts problems
  • Timely resolution of companies
  • Banks can clean up their books
  • Helps all the stakeholders involved in an insolvent company

BANKING REGULATION (AMENDMENT) BILL, 2017

Banking Regulations Act

""

35AA. The Central Government may, by order, authorize the Reserve Bank to issue directions to any banking company or banking companies to initiate insolvency resolution process in respect of a default, under the provisions of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, 2016.

35AB. (1) Without prejudice to the provisions of section 35A, the Reserve Bank may, from time to time, issue directions to any banking company or banking companies for resolution of stressed assets.

(2) The Reserve Bank may specify one or more authorities or committees with such members as the Reserve Bank may appoint or approve for appointment to advise any banking company or banking companies on resolution of stressed assets.

""

Banking Regulation Act, 1949

BANKING REGULATION ACT, 1949

  • Regulates all banking firms in India
  • Supervision of commercial banks
  • Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has power to-
  • license banks
  • regulate shareholding
  • operations of banks
  • banking policy
  • impose penalties

Reasons

REASONS FOR AMENDMENT

  • INR 9.64 trillion stressed assets
  • Identified more than 50 large loan defaulters (2016)
  • High risk of bankruptcy - Credit Suisse estimates, about 40% of debt lies with companies with an interest coverage ratio of less than 1

Implications of the Amendment

IMPACT

The Banking Regulations (Amendment) Ordinance, 2017 enables the RBI-

  • To initiate insolvency proceedings according to the IBC, 2016
  • To issue directions on stressed assets
  • Appoint committees to advise banks

Impact-

  • Structured mechanism and timelines for exercising IBC, 2016
  • Gross NPAs as a share of gross advances was 11.2 per cent as on December 31, 2018 and 9.1 per cent as on December 31, 2019.
  • The net NPA has come down to 3.7 per cent from 6 per cent during 2018-19

AMENDMENT TO SARFAESI AND DEBT RECOVERY TRIBUNAL ACT

SARFAESI and Tribunals Act

Objectives

OBJECTIVES

The main aim of the amendment of the Sarfaesi and DRT Act are-

  • Faster recovery and resolution of bad debts
  • Easy functioning of asset reconstruction companies (ARCs)
  • Support the IBC, 2016
  • Create an enabling infrastructure to effectively deal with NPAs

Key Features

KEY FEATURES OF THE AMENDMENT

  • The bill gives RBI powers to audit and inspect ARCs
  • RBI can remove the chairman or any director and appoint central bank officials to its board
  • Central bank can impose penalties for non-compliance with its directives
  • Central Bank can regulate the fees charged by these companies to banks at the time of acquiring such assets
  • Enable non-institutional investors to mandate a timeline for possession of secured assets.
  • Increase in penalty amount from Rs. 5 lakh to Rs. 1 crore
  • Centralized database of all loans against properties given by all lenders.
  • Electronic filing of recovery applications, documents and written statements.
  • The debtor will have to deposit 50% of the amount of debt due before filing an appeal at a DRT
  • Time-bound process

Future of the Industry

Banking has witnessed a significant change in recent times. Owing to the increasing consumer expectancies, regulations, economic changes and constant competition, modern banking has embraced technology. Digital platforms, mobile, internet banking, and payments bank have revolutionized the sector in a substantial way. “The Digital India Moment” has also given the much-needed impetus to the digitization efforts in the banking sector.

Future of the industry

Payment Banks

Payment Banks to pave the way..

  • In India’s cash based economy, digital payment instruments will drive growth in non-cash payments. PBs will have long term implications on the syntax of large financial institutions as they disintermediate the value chain, by leveraging innovations in “Financial Technology”, investing in innovations, and lowering transaction costs.
  • “Digital footprint” will be the way forward for all PBs.

Markets at BOP

Targeting Markets at the Bottom of the Pyramid

  • Targeting the poor is difficult for any industry and innovations are required to penetrate the rural market.
  • The opportunity that is waiting to be exploited is digital banking in rural areas.
  • The dominant logic of the banks that the rural population does not want to be equipped with the technology must be kept aside in order to come up with some innovative way to use these opportunities.

Blockchain

Blockchain

  • Blockchain provides a high level of safety in storing and transmitting data, eases the KYC process, has an open and transparent yet secure infrastructure, is decentralized and lowers the operation costs.
  • According to Accenture, the world banking sector will save up to $20 billion by 2022 by implementing blockchain.
  • Banks like Kotak Mahindra Bank, Axis Bank, and Yes Bank have partnered with global blockchain firm, Ripple to provide near-instant cross border remittances. Currently, these remittances take anywhere between half a day to 3 days and banks are hoping to reduce the transaction times and the costs too will reduce by 10-40%.

P2P Lending

Peer-to-Peer Lending

  • P2P lending is a method of debt financing that enables individuals to borrow and lend money without using an official financial institution as an intermediary.
  • As per RBI, P2P lending service providers are classified as NBFCs and currently comprises seven platforms like Faircent, LenDenClub etc.
  • Although P2P lending removes the middlemen from the process, it involves more time, effort and risk than the conventional methods. The underlying principle is “high return, high risk”.
  • The cap on the amount of borrowers / lenders, in single or in aggregate, would keep high net-worth individuals away from participating.
  • The trend of default rates in India will be clearer after a lending cycle.
  • Overall, the situation for this market is optimistic with some caution.

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence

  • AI is a fast evolving and go-to technology for companies across the world to personalize experiences. The banking sector is one of the first adopters of this technology and is exploring and implementing technology in various ways.
  • The fundamental applications of AI include bringing smarter chatbots for customer service currently used by HDFC Bank, SBI, ICICI and Axis Bank.
  • Personalizing services for individuals and placing AI robot for self-service at banks. For example, Canara Bank has placed two AI robots named Mitra and Candi at their branch in Bengaluru.
  • Some common uses of AI in banks are:
  • Fraud Detection
  • Risk Management
  • Digitization and automation in back office processing
  • Wealth Management for masses
  • Image/face recognition enabled ATMs

DFIs

Development Financial Institutions

Current Scenario of DFI

Current

status

  • Line between commercial banks and DFIs got blurred
  • Concept of universal banking was pushed
  • ICICI and IDBI merged with their commercial bank operations
  • DFIs having a lot of NPAs
  • Original purpose got lost
  • Traditional business model of DFIs has become redundant
  • Accumulation of private profit rather than social benefit

Premature Decision

Decision to move away from DFI - perhaps premature

  • With recommendations and new policies introduces DFIs forced to tranform
  • While equity market had expanded the bond market has not
  • Flow of credit choked with commercial banks
  • Major issue of managing NPA for all FIs

Fresh look at long term finance

  • Development finance plays a pivotal role in a growing economy
  • Necessary to achieve the dream of becoming a USD 5 Trillion economy
  • Necessary for new investments needed:
  • For new businesses
  • For more jobs to be created

Proposal making rounds in last 3 years

  • To establish an organization to provide credit enhancement for infrastructure and housing projects
  • A development bank that would enhance debt flow towards such projects
  • The overall aim is to improve acess to long term finance

Recent Development

An important item on the finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman's agenda :

Setting up development finance institution in India

Key considerations to be addressed

  • Two key questions are:
  • Sources of finance for DFI
  • Governance model for DFIs / long term financing activities

  • Other questions:
  • Should select FIs be identified to engange in development finance e.g SBI
  • Should it be limited to few institutions or allow many financial institutions to operate and compete

Expert Views and Questions

  • Concept of a wholesale DFI must be assessed
  • Using the past model of DFIs probably an error
  • Create a hybrid model between an investment bank and a commercial bank
  • Establish the right product mix for DFIs
  • Is Government ownership or guarantee necessary?
  • Is a seperate regulatory body required or should current framework be modified

Conclusion

NITI Aayog has announced the plan to establish a DFI soon

Soon India will have a DFI to meet its long term needs and achieve its goals

Challenges

Challenges

  • Measuring the fulfillment of their mandate.
  • Formulating an actionable strategy.
  • Making good credit decisions.
  • Attracting private Sector funds, not competing with them.
  • Cooperating with other national and international development banks.
  • Reaching out to SME's.
  • Local currency lending.
  • Striking a balance between supporting the private and the public sectors.
  • Determining the right level of capital.
  • Attracting and retaining the best staff.

Scams

UTI

SIDBI

Scams

SIDBI Loan Scam

  • The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI), Mumbai on September 27th, 2011 filed a charge sheet against 13 suspects including three top officers of Small Industries Development Bank of India (SIDBI), Shivajinagar branch, for allegedly cheating the bank to the tune of Rs 1.64 crore in a loan scam.
  • The court admitted the charge sheet and remanded all 10 suspects present in the court into judicial custody, rejecting their bail applications.

UTI Controversy

  • The 1991 liberalization of the economy indirectly led to the liberalization of the UTI. The US-64 scheme was converted from debt based fund into an equity based fund as a result.
  • Within one year of the reforms to the UTI, in 1998, it crashed.
  • Out of all the capital market scams in the post-liberalization era, the Unit Trust’s US-64 has been the worst.

Non-Banking Financial Company

NBFC

Quick overview

Overview

  • They are financial institutions that provide bank-like financial services but do not hold a banking license.
  • NBFCs are companies engaged in the business of loans, advances, acquisition of shares/stocks, etc.
  • They do not take demand deposits.
  • Not all NBFCs are regulated by RBI.

Nbfc Boom

NBFC Boom

Factors that led to Growth

Reasons

  • Deep understanding of the customers segment.
  • Customized product offerings by NBFC’s.
  • Leveraging technology for improved efficiency and enhanced experience.
  • Wider and effective reach.
  • Co-lending arrangements.
  • Robust risk management.

Top NBFC's in India

Success stories

  • Power Finance Corporation Limited
  • Rural Electrification Corporation Limited
  • Bajaj Finance Limited
  • Shriram Transport Finance Company Limited
  • Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited
  • M&M Financial Services Limited
  • HDB Financial Services Limited
  • Muthoot Finance Limited

Bajaj Finserv

  • Originally incorporated as Bajaj Auto Finance Limited.
  • Focused on providing two and three wheeler finance.
  • In 2010 the company changed its registered name to Bajaj Finance Limited.
  • At the turn of the 20th century, the company ventured into the durables finance sector.
  • In the subsequent years, Bajaj Auto Finance diversified into business and property loans as well.
  • The company’s assets under management is currently at Rs.52,332 crore.
  • Since Sanjiv Bajaj took over as BFS’s managing director in 2008 the company has seen meteoric rise and grown to the giant that it is today.

Muthoot Finance

  • India’s largest gold loan company
  • Founded in 1939
  • Subsidiary of Muthoot group based in Kochi .
  • Specializes in personal and business loans secured by gold jewelery
  • Primarily caters to individuals who possess gold jewelery but do not have access to formal credit.
  • Target market include small businesses, farmers,vendors, SME business owners and salaried individuals too.
  • Loans range from Rs 1500 to Rs 10000000.
  • Highest rated gold loan company in India.
  • It has expanded to the UK, USA and UAE

What is NBFC crisis?

  • NBFC borrow money from banks, or sell commercial papers, or from mutual funds for short term period and issues long term loans.
  • When NBFCs face liquidity crunch, it leads to NBFC crisis.

NBFC Crisis

IL&FS Crisis

  • The group with at least 24 direct subsidiaries, 135 indirect subsidiaries, six joint ventures and four associate companies is sitting on a debt of about Rs 91,000 crore.
  • It defaulted in payment obligations of bank loans (including interest) and

its investors.

IL&FS

  • The defaults sparked panic amongst equity investors and several non-banking financial companies faced turmoil amid a default scare.

DHFL Crisis

  • A housing finance company DHFL disburses housing loans.
  • It is a safe bet as the loans are always secured, which is why NPAs do not affect the NBFC.
  • The problem that caused the downfall of DHFL was Asset Liability Mismatch following the downfall of IL&FS.

DHFL

  • An asset–liability mismatch occurs when the financial terms of an institution's assets and liabilities do not correspond.

What changed?

Future of

NBFCs

  • RBI introduced a new liquidity risk management framework to holistically counter future risks in the sector.
  • Under the new framework, non-deposit taking NBFCs with asset size of more than INR 10,000 crore and all deposit taking NBFCs will have to maintain a liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) requirement of 50 per cent by December 1, 2020
  • Similarly, non-deposit taking NBFCs with asset size between INR 5,000 crore and INR 10,000 crore would be required to have a minimum LCR of 30 per cent by December 1, 2020.