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Conclusion

How do Demographics Affect Voting?

In the 2016 election, we can predict that variation in sexual orientation, age, race/ethnicity, gender, and geographical location will be important factors that pull votes to the right or left side of politics. Each individual's demographic says something about their ideology, which directly affects which party/faction that they will vote in favor of.

Geographical Domain and Ideology

How does religion affect voting?

• Protestant: 53%

42% Democratic

57% Republican

• Catholic: 25%

50% Democratic

48% Republican

• Other: 7%

74% Democratic

23% Republican

• None: 12%

70% Democratic

26% Republican

Prediction: Based on the results for the 2012 election, Protestants will be the majority of the voters. And for the Protestant majority, there will be more Republicans than Democrats.

- Geographical domain refers to domain names that are the same of those of geographic places such as cities and countries.

- In Colorado, a more Democratic state, roughly 40% of the people in rural populations voted democratic and 57% voted republican. In the suburbs, 50% voted democrat and about 46% voted republican

- In North Carolina, a more Repulican state, 37% of people in rural areas voted democrat and 63% voted republican. In the suburbs, 45% voted democrat and 54% voted republican.

-Ideology is the system of ideas or beliefs that forms the basis of economic or political theory and policy.

- 86% of the liberals who voted, voted for Obama while 82% of conservatives who voted, voted for Romney. In the moderate vote, 56% voted for Obama and 41% voted for Obama.

Age

In the race between Obama and Romney in 2012, ages

  • 18-29: 60% voted for Obama, 37% for Romney
  • 30-44: 52% voted for Obama, 45% for Romney
  • 45-64: 47% voted for Obama, 51% for Romney
  • 65 and older: 44% voted for Obama, 56% for Romney

We can predict that most younger people will tend to be more progressive, and thus vote Democratic in the next election. Older voters will most likely pick the Republican candidate.

How does gender affect voting results?

- In every election year between 1980-2012, women have outnumbered men in voting Democrat, and men have outnumbered women in voting Republican

- The first female nominated for Vice President was part of the Democrat party, running with Presidential candidate Walter Mondole in 1984

- Women tend to prefer (liberal) Democrats

- During the 2012 election, 55% of women voted for Obama (Democrat) as opposed to a mere 44% who voted for Romney (Republican)

- Males tend to prefer (conservative) Republicans

- During the 2012 election, 52% of men voted for Romney as opposed to 45% who voted for Obama

Issues that men and women have disagreed on include:

- Increased role of government

- US Military Intervention

- Healthcare/welfare

- Affirmative action

How does race affect voting?

Ideology of voters

  • People may choose candidates based on prior beliefs about the role of the state, personal responsibility, importance of religion.
  • For example, although many African Americans voted for Obama based on his race, many others still voted for Romney based on their political ideology.
  • Ideology of parents and teachers contributes to political socialization
  • This is the process by which children learn political beliefs, values, and attitudes. Political Socialization is a dominant predictor of voter behavior.
  • Based on the results of the 2012 election, we can assume that the minority groups (African American, Latino, and Asian) will vote for the Democratic candidate
  • Caucasian people make up for 72% of the vote, but they do not vote as a uniformed block. The differences in the Caucasian vote are more likely to be determined by the states in which they live.
  • African Americans mainly vote for Democrats because throughout history, the Democrats supported Civil Rights for African Americans
  • Latinos often identify with the Democratic candidates because they tend to take a more liberal stance o immigration
  • Asian Americans are more heterogeneous group. Some tend to vote democratic, while others vote republican based on their country of origin
  • Caucasian
  • 39% Obama
  • 59% Romney
  • African American
  • 93% voted for Obama
  • 6% voted for Romney
  • Latino
  • 71% Obama
  • 27% Romney
  • Asian
  • 73% Obama
  • 26% Romney

Detail 2

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Individual's Sexual Orientation-How does it affect their votes?

Works Cited

"President: Full Results." CNN. Cable News Network, 12 Dec. 2012. Web. 09 Oct. 2013.

Magleby, David B., and Paul C. LIght. Government by the People. 23rd ed. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Pearson Education, 2009. Print.

Giacomo. "Why Do So Many Women Vote for Liberal Democrats?" Godfather Politics. N.p., 31 Mar. 2012. Web. 09 Oct. 2013.

The Associated Press. "2012 Election Exit Poll Shows Voter Demographics." The Sacramento Bee. N.p., 6 Nov. 2012. Web. 09 Oct. 2013

"Voting Gender Gap." Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 09 Jan. 2013. Web. 10 Oct. 2013.

CNN election results showed that in the 2012 Presidential election....

  • 5% of voters confirmed they were gay, lesbian, or bisexual
  • Of this 5%, 76% voted for Obama, 22% voted for Romney and 2% were unavailable (LGB community voted democratically)
  • 95% of voters confirmed they were straight
  • Of this 95%, 49% voted for Obama, 49% voted for Romney, and 2% were unavailable (split half and half)
  • Based on these results, voters who are gay, lesbian, or bisexual will tend to vote democratically, because of their liberal and progressive views
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