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Permanent + Culture = Permaculture

today 409.95

Global Temperatures

Global Warming

350ppm = the target

NASA.gov video youtube.com/watch?v=gGOzHVUQCw0

Do The Math

learn more: Joanna Macy 'www.youtube.com/watch?v=LwlXTAT8rLk

A sense of scale:

We are currently experiencing the third great Revolution in the history of mankind.

Bill McKibben, Distinguished Scholar at Middlebury College, Vermont

youtube.com/watch?v=5KtGg-Lvxso

David Holmgren, co-founder of the Permaculture Movement

learn more at http://permacultureprinciples.com/

CLIMATE CHANGE

must quit burning fossil fuels

Carbon Countdown Clock

a.k.a. "radical climate disruption"

  • more at www.co2.earth

drought

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/datablog/2017/jan/19/carbon-countdown-clock-how-much-of-the-worlds-carbon-budget-have-we-spent

Powerdown

wildfires

The Great Turning

paths forward

It's got to be a

DESCENT

If our goal is to keep the Earth’s temperature from rising more than two degrees Celsius —

the upper limit identified by the nations of the world —

how much more new digging and drilling can we do?

Here’s the answer: zero.

-- Bill McKibben, Distinguished Scholar at Middlebury College, Vermont

"Recalculating Climate Math," New Republic, Sept 2016

from 5-planets-worth-of-consumption, to something much more in line with 1

learn more: http://www.resilience.org/stories/2013-12-09/powerdown-let-s-talk-about-it

LINGO banner painted by youth for Rio+20

Joanna Macy, eco-philosopher

storms / sea level rise

Greater

Faster

1

How to create change

Energy Descent

The Triple Crisis

Sources

  • Allmendinger, R W. “Peak Oil?” Cornell University Energy Studies in the College of Engineering, Cornell University Department of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences , 2007, www.geo.cornell.edu/eas/energy/the_challenges/peak_oil.html. Accessed 18 Sept. 2017.
  • CO2earth.com, Atmospheric CO2, https://www.co2.earth/
  • Global Footprint Network, "Ecological Footprint - nations" webpage, http://www.footprintnetwork.org/content/ecological_footprint_nations/
  • Evershed, Nick, "Carbon Countdown Clock," The Guardian, January 2017 https://www.theguardian.com/environment/datablog/2017/jan/19/carbon-countdown-clock-how-much-of-the-worlds-carbon-budget-have-we-spent
  • Hall, Charles, Jessica Lambert and Stephen Balogh, EROI of different fuels and the implications for society, Energy Policy, Volume 64, January 2014, Pages 141-152 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.05.049 (http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421513003856#bib45)
  • Heinberg, Richard, Peak Everything, 2010
  • Holmgren, David (co-founder of Permaculture Movement), "Future Scenarios" webpage, http://www.futurescenarios.org/content/view/12/26/index.html
  • NASA.gov, "Earth's Long-Term Warming Trend" video http://www.footprintnetwork.org/content/ecological_footprint_nations/
  • Macy, Joanna (eco-philosopher), "Joanna Macy on the Great Turning" talk, 2007 www.youtube.com/watch?v=LwlXTAT8rLk
  • McKibben, Bill (Middlebury College), "Bill McKibben Does the Math" video, 2013, youtube.com/watch?v=5KtGg-Lvxso
  • McKibben, Bill, "Recalculating the Climate Math," New Republic, Sept 2016, https://newrepublic.com/article/136987/recalculating-climate-math

Humanity is facing a "triple crisis" that defines the new future.

Biocapacity

a.k.a. "Peak Everything"

What is

3

Peak Oil

You are here-->

Sustainable

2

David Holmgren, co-founder of the Permaculture Movement

more info http://www.futurescenarios.org/

"sustainable solutions"

"greener"

sus·tain·a·ble

adjective

1. able to be maintained at a certain rate or level.

2. able to be upheld or defended.

Oil is not the only resource for which

we are hitting "peak."

ASPO & Cornell University

http://www.geo.cornell.edu/eas/energy/the_challenges/peak_oil.html

learn more at Global Footprint Network http://www.footprintnetwork.org/

The Economy

Energy Returned on Energy Invested (EROI)

Infinite growth is impossible

on a finite planet.

Peak oil

NINE planets worth of consumption ...

EIGHT planets worth of consumption ...

early 1900's 100:1

today 19:1

SEVEN planets worth of consumption ...

Charles Hall, Jessica Lambert, SUNY (State University of New York) http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421513003856

SIX planets worth of consumption ...

FIVE planets worth of consumption ...

more info: Joanne Poyourow "What Everyone Ought To Know About Today's Economy"

If everyone on the planet tried

to live like we do in the U.S.,

it would take 4-5 PLANETS

to provide the resources for it all.

.

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