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Conceivability,

Possibility, & the Inconsistent Triad

Three desiderata for modal epistemology

(i) distinguishing metaphysical possibility from other kinds of possibility within modal space

(ii) integrating the Kripkean essentialist principles & the necessary a posteriori

(iii) respecting the fundamentally a priori character of modal inquiry

Kripkean Challenge (KC):

Kripke's necessary a posteriori shows that what is a priori conceivable

may not be metaphysically possible

Desideratum (i):

focus on metaphysical modality

especially vs. epistemic modality

Epistemic possibility: open a priori to a subject independently of particular information about the world. Minimally logically constrained

Metaphysical possibility: concerns the nature or the identity of things or how actual things could have been or gone in a different way

Conceivability does not entail possibility as not everything we conceive is (metaphysically) possible

Desideratum (ii):

endorse Kripke's results

We can certainly conceive that Hesperus is not Phosphorus, although that is not a genuine metaphysical possibility

Certain necessities are rooted in the actual world and are only knowable a posteriori, via empirical investigation

Metaphysical possibility is constrained by the features of the actual world plus essentialist bridge-principles (the necessity of origins, composition/substance, fundamental kind, and identity)

Desideratum (iii):

close the gap between actual and non-actual

Empirical experience seems confined to only telling us about what is actually the case

An a priori step (inferential/intuitive) is required to explain how we can know the non-actual, i.e., what is not an object of experience

"Experience teaches us that a thing is so and so, but not that it cannot be otherwise"

The Kripkean bridge-principles are themselves a priori justified

Chalmers’ 2DModal Rationalism

is a promising attempt at satisfying desiderata (i)-(iii)

  • distinguishes different notions of possibility, thus satisfying (i)
  • aims to respect the Kripkean principles & data,

thus satisfying (ii)

  • defends an a priori route to metaphysical modal knowledge, thus satisfying (iii)

Conceivability

Chalmers's Strategy:

- a conceivability-based route

Usually involves a variety of epistemic activities such as a priori reasoning, imagining, visualizing, supposing...

Alleged to entail or at least be evidence for possibility

Traditionally, our rational representational capacities can cast light on modal reality

Might not be confined to our actual capacities, but denote those of an ideal reasoner

distinguishing different notions of conceivability as well as possibility and connecting a kind of conceivability with a kind of possibility

Chalmers's Modal Rationalism

boosting conceivability & restricting possibility

I'll give you an account of how

conceivability entails

possibility that meets

KC!

(CP) Ideal Primary Conceivability Entails Primary Possibility

IDEAL CONCEIVABILITY

Virtual stance of a reasoner “free of all contingent cognitive limitations”

A kind of reasoning that cannot be weakened by further reasoning

No modal error & no counterexamples from cognitive limitations

PRIMARY CONCEIVABILITY

particular way we evaluate an expression’s primary intension

Pure 2-Dimensionalist

Combining two-dimensionalism (1) with modal monism (2)

Chalmers Vs. Kripke on modal metaphysics

the relevant notion of metaphysical modality is non-Kripkean and independent of the actual nature of things (how strange!)

Chalmers claims that

Kripkean metaphysics

“will put constraints on the space of possible worlds that are brute and inexplicable”

SECONDARY INTENSION

WHY??

only option for the two-dimensionalist who does not want to give up modal monism

The Kripkean constraints derive from the fundamental nature of our world. Its factual makeup + the essentialist bridge-principles determine the range of genuinely

metaphysical possibilities

PRIMARY INTENSION

Pure Two-Dimensionalism & Chalmers' commitment to Conceptual Metaphysics

Questions for Conceptual Metaphysics

This is just how nature is

“the concept of metaphysical modality itself has roots in the epistemic domain"

How are counterfactual possibilities “rooted a priori”

in the epistemic domain?

metaphysical modality itself has to be

a priori rooted in those primitive logico-conceptual structures and relations that hold regardless of how the actual world is

The idea of intensional structure may entail that modal truths are already somehow built into our expressions

How are the actually-factually constrained Kripkean possibilities ultimately an a priori matter?

The nature of the actual world as revealed by empirical investigation draws the boundary between the epistemic and metaphysical space—it justifies and explains that boundary

Why should

epistemic possibilities

be themselves

metaphysical possibilities?

For Chalmers, it is constitutive of an expression’s intensional structure that the referent of that expression have certain modal features...

where the relevant notion of modality is metaphysical

Anti-Realism?

taking a world W as counterfactual....

This allegedly guarantees cognitive access to the metaphysical realm via ideal a priori conceivability

taking a world W as actual....

What seems really “brute and inexplicable”

is granting that logical-conceptual coherence, however idealized, generates metaphysical possibility

and considering a sentence S...

Evaluating PRIMARY intensions

is a purely a priori exercise based on considerations of logical & conceptual coherence of the hypotheses under examination

Evaluating SECONDARY intensions involves considering a counterfactual world given

a posteriori info about how our world has turned out

2D Kripkean

When we consider a world as actual

we put aside empirical info about our world & virtually take the perspective of a speaker within the world under consideration

Monistic Kripkean

When we consider a world as counterfactual we reason along the familiar dimension of Kripkean or metaphysical possibility,

granting things at our world as they actually are

Two different strands of Kripkeanism emerge from the encounter with

two-dimensionalism

Combining Kripkean metaphysics (3) with two-dimensionalism (1)

Combining Kripkean metaphysics (3) with modal monism (2)

Two ways a Kripkean can respond to

Modal Rationalism, one closer and one farther from the 2D insights

Perhaps showing tensions within N&N itself?

Monistic K

Suspicious of the 2D framework,rejects its take on a posteriori necessities

Relevant examples are possible only in the loose sense that it is

not a priori that,e.g.,

Hesperus is Phosphorus

The possibility of Hesperus not being Phosphorus is illusory: it only corresponds to a subjective state of ignorance about certain astronomical facts

There is no distinct primary modality, no further dimension of possibility besides the metaphysical one

Epistemic possibility: merely a subject’s lack of information

not objective possibilities

“out there”

in the metaphysical realm

From the point of view of

the philosophy of language...

"is W a counterfactual possibility in which S would have been the case?”

For the Monistic K sentences expressing a posteriori necessities do not carry the extra-content needed to build the typical surrogate primary possibilities

"if W is the case, is S the case?"

The Kripkean Challenge itself seems misguided, since for the Monistic K there is no real way to conceive that Tully is not Cicero

Conceiving a case where Cicero is not Tully would be conceiving a case where that very individual fails to be himself. But how could that be?

Common ground between the two-dimensionalist and both the Monistic & the 2D Kripkean that cases like “Hesperus is not Phosphorus”,

“Cicero is not Tully”, “Water is not H2O”, etc.

are metaphysically impossible

While the two-dimensionalist is trying to press a de dicto reading of the case, the Kripkean pushes back the de re

How can you conceive that Cicero is not Tully?

Within the 2D framework

We struggle to deny the necessity of identity, and every time we seem to be doing it, we realize there is a shift in content

Logico-conceptual possibility:

empty structure that could be filled with any factual content as long as the resulting scenario is ideally coherent (after the ideal reasoner’s evaluation and approval, anything goes)

2D intensions should

preserve the modal distinctions that otherwise blur at the level of worlds

2D K has some sympathy for

two-dimensionalism. She is more flexible as to the philosophy of language and engages with Modal Rationalism

Would a Kripkean concede that they are still possible in some other sense?

Still, those distinctions do blur at the level of worlds

The Monistic K has a point here: since it is metaphysical modality that is at stake,

it is hard to see how the de re reading should not be the right one

"if W turns out to be actual, will it turn out that S?”

If metaphysical=logical modality,

then primary logical-conceptual possibilities become as such metaphysical possibilities

Metaphysical possibility:

governed by a number of additional constraints, i.e., principles of the Kripkean metaphysics

(what is metaphysically possible is determined by what is actually the case, given essentialism)

Inacceptable from a Kripkean point of view

Expressions may have some extra descriptive content and that opens up a further dimension of possibility

"if W had obtained, would S have been the case?"

That's why a priori conceivability does not

really help cast light onto metaphysical possibility

Similarity

Those are alien and unrelated to the actual world

The closer a world is, the more similar its metaphysical configuration to the actual world’s,

& the stronger the modal notions involved.

The farther we move from the actual world, the more

a posteriori features fade away,

leaving only superficial logical modal structure

Logical necessities as world-independent:

they hold regardless of how the actual world happens to be.

The very logical-formal conditions for a world to exist

(Fine's transcendental truths)

One needs to know how things really are and the relevant bridge-principles to grasp metaphysical possibilities

No clear sense in which those would embody

some possibility of Cicero not being Tully

Where Monistic K only sees a misdescription, 2D K sees an epistemic possibility

What one conceives as verifying a scenario doesn't really falsify an

a posteriori necessity

Degrees of modal force/

closeness to the actual world:

LOGICAL possibility weaker &

can handle scenarios far removed from the actual world

MONISM is a dangerous thesis for 2DK

The actual world with its properties, laws, and population retains complete priority in determining the space of metaphysical possibility

METAPHYSICAL possibility is loaded with the a posteriori deep features of the actual world. Stronger, but only ranges over the worlds close by

Although more flexible with

the philosophy of language,

2DK does not negotiate the metaphysics

Different objects, different content

The possible is constrained by the actual

For 2D K we can still speak of e.g. ‘Hesperus’ and 'Phosphorus' when considering controversial primary possibilities, since relevant descriptions or Fregean senses are part of the content of expressions.

Those give individuation-conditions for the referents (or determine the truth-values) of expressions along the primary dimension

2DK accepts a version of (CP) where primary possibility captures nothing more than a priori hypotheses, without further metaphysical commitments

By constrast...

2D rationalist metaphysics has purely a priori character

Qualitative difference between

logico-conceptual and metaphysical possibility

Rational logical-conceptual structures and relations

constrain the space of possibility a priori.

These are primitive or prior to the actual world (& to any possible world)

But also maximally permissive as to what is possible

Take "Cicero is not Tully".

In the 2D pic you need to admit that there are two people, Cicero and Tully,

at the world where this is verified

2DK expands the space of possibility, but keeps firm what is really the case given how things have turned out. Metaphysical possibility is still rooted in the actual world

Both the intrinsic & structural features of the actual world and the Kripkean essenialist bridge-principles are irrelevant to the content of primary possibilities

They have different sources, which excludes reductios and identifications

METAPHYSICALLY

POSSIBLE

WORLDS

LOGICALLY

POSSIBLE

WORLDS

MODAL DUALISM

Ideal a priori primary conceivability still does not give us access to the metaphysical modal realm

Evaluating different intensions is looking at

different possibilities

We conceive a sentence as T/F depending on how

the world at which the sentence is evaluated looks like

We conceive possibilities that could make

that sentence T/F

MODAL UPGRADING

Monistic K rejects

(1) two-dimensionalism, while retaining (3) a strong notion of metaphysical modality.

The space of possibilities for her covers only metaphysical possibilities, thereby her monism (2)

Answer to KC

Modal monism gives the unwanted result that even merely epistemic possibilities are verified by metaphysically possible worlds,just like any genuine possibility

"Cicero is not Tully"

1-INT

2-INT

logically = metaphysically possible worlds

(1) two-dimensionalism and (3) a Kripkean metaphysics cannot be conjoined with (2) modal monism. From the point of view of 2D K, two-dimensionalist modal rationalism can only be viable if paired with modal dualism

Kripkean sentences express multiple propositions

Primary intensions will be verified by worlds that are theoretically-qualitatively indistinguishable from all the other worlds

A posteriori necessities are secondarily necessary but primarily contingent

Ideal primary conceivability captures a priori ideally rational hypotheses verifying sentences' primary intensions, i.e., primary possibilities

(CP) Ideal Primary Conceivability Entails Primary Possibility

[2D Kripkean]

[Monistic Kripkean]

(CP)

but given modal DUALISM

}

(CP)

KC

Kripkean Metaphysics

KC

A priori access to Metaphysical Modality

An Inconsistent Triad

(CP) seems to meet the

Kripkean Challenge:

A moderate thesis?

Primary possibility is qualitatively different from secondary-Kripkean possibility

Given the refined notions of conceivability and possibility, (CP) seems plausible and even straightforward

No conflict between dimensions

& no (longer) conflict between our modal intuitions

Ideal a priori conceivability guides us reliably to perfectly coherent logical-conceptual possibilities (primary possibilities)

Modal rationalism fails

Severed Modal Rationalism

Possibility & necessity

are de re, in things

—-the things of our world.

The very nature of the

properties, laws, and population surrounding us determines their modal profile

But still metaphysically impossible that

Phosphorus is not Hesperus

Metaphysical modality is constrained by

the factual makeup the actual world plus the Kripkean essentialist bridge-principles

two-dimensionalism

A scenario verifies the primary intension of “Hesperus is not Phosphorus”

We can access a priori only epistemic possibilities

So from a Kripkean perspective, the 2Dist

The long-established Kripkean

a posteriori necessities are secured to belong

to a whole other dimension

Accordingly, modal inquiry begins empirically, informed by observation and scientific investigation

either gets the surrogate possibilities that he wants

-- but those are not metaphysical , merely epistemic (2DK)

expressions are modally complex and capture two dimensions of possibility: epistemic and metaphysical

“Hesperus is not Phosphorus” is primary possible

or gets some metaphysical possibilities, but with a different content

(not relevant intension) (Monistic K)

Either way, conceivability does not entail metaphysical possibility

From an ontological point of view, within the 2D-framework

logico-conceptual and metaphysical possibility are indistinguishable

Still, the 2D framework works with that very distinction

Only two can be

true at a time

For Chalmers,

2-dimensionalism

will restore the

golden triangle of

constitutive connections between meaning, reason, and modality

that was built by the progressive efforts of Kant, Frege, and Carnap—

and later crashed by Kripke

Kripke's necessary a posteriori

A two-sided idea

those necessities are grounded in the way the world is or in its intrinsic nature

empirical information needed to know certain necessities

metaphysical thesis

(our world generates necessity)

epistemic thesis

(not everything that is necessary is a priori)

there is only one modal space or source of necessity

metaphysical possibility & necessity are constrained by the

a posteriori features of the actual world + Kripkean bridge-principles

A new source

of necessity vs.

traditional conventional, logico-linguistic

(analytic) necessity

Kripkean metaphysics

modal monism

Different sources of necessity?

But if metaphysical modality is Kripkean and de re,

primary possibilities cannot be themselves metaphysical

...Why is the

Kripkean

unhappy?

2-dimensionalism has a more

'generous' attitude to what is possible and enriches modal space

with further possibilities

Not an option for Chalmers.

For he endorses

modal monism (2):

there is only one

source of necessity & logical-conceptual possibility is coextensive with metaphysical possibility

From a certain point of view, it does seem so

But those are descriptive a priori possibilities entailed by the content of the primary intensions, that only depend on language + logical entailment

Primary modality is de dicto modality

and it is largely independent of how things actually are

The scenario depicting “Water is not H2O” that both Chalmers and the Kripkeans conceive has probably the same features:

a world with some sort of liquid substance that looks exactly like water & has the same role as actual water

But for Monistic K this is horrific.

What a possible world could look like both intrinsically & structurally is determined by how the actual world looks like

Chalmers wants to say that we can call that “water” and still deny that it is H2O

The Source of the Inconsistency

Two-dimensionalists and Kripkeans work with opposite criteria for metaphysical possibility

But 2D modal rationalism tries to satisfy both criteria

The Kripkeans, instead, either do not want to call it “Water” but something else, whatever it is (Monistic K), or accept to call it “water” but only insofar as the described scenario is not a metaphysical possibility (2DK)

A terminological issue?

We cannot just associate familiar

words to different things

when that involves a deep metaphysical change

Perhaps a misunderstanding concerning the term “metaphysical”?

(a change in the structure of a fundamental kind, or that leads to give up transworld identity—the necessity of identity)

From Chalmers’ point of view,both primary and secondary possibilities are metaphysical

In this sense, Chalmers’s modal metaphysics is purely a priori and quite flimsy

And primary conceivability only tells us that if things are so and so,

then certain counterfactuals follow,

without addressing the issue of

how the modal realm 'really' is

...But this rather reveals a world-view

Is it just that Chalmers is willing to call

e.g. “water” something that

the Kripkean is not?

For Chalmers,the metaphysical structure of possible worlds can change

as long as

the scenario that verifies this modified world

is coherent

In the 2D monistic metaphysics

modal distinctions belong

to the semantic domain

We can just call those different things at the

modified world with the same old words,

as long as we are careful not to fall into

a contradiction

Whether something is

primarily/secondarily possible

depends on where an intension is

verified/satisfied

within the same space of worlds--

--not on which worlds are genuinely metaphysically possible as opposed to mere epistemic possibilities

Modal dualism could provide the qualitative distinction between sources of necessity & corresponding possibilities that would help reconciling two-dimensionalism (1) and Kripkean metaphysics (3)

The inconsistency

But Chalmers'

two-dimensionalism comes instead with modal monism (2)

two opposite notions of metaphysical modality:

Chalmers' (combining (1) + (2)) vs. the Kripkean (3)

(3) can only be compatible with either (1) or (2) not both

2D modal rationalism does not accommodate the Kripkean notion of metaphysical modality that aims to integrate at the level of the secondary dimension

A further issue for 2D Modal Rationalism

2-D MODAL RATIONALISM...

May give us a general 'formula' to construct perfectly coherent hypotheses but those might have very little to do with how the modal realm 'really' is

Playing the game at the semantic level with the 2D intensional apparatus

does not answer the Kripkean worries.

We cannot just reduce metaphysical modal differences to semantic-linguistic ones

Primary conceivability only casts light on primary possibility...

For the Kripkean(s), there is a whole world blocking that reductio-

the actual world as we know it

...but we are interested in secondary possibility!

two-dimensionalism

Pure Two-dimensionalist

2D Kripkean

modal monism

Kripkean metaphysics

Monistic Kripkean

Thank You!

Antonella Mallozzi - The Graduate Center, CUNY

The 2D conceivability-based route to modal knowledge either

(a) fails to meet the Kripkean Challenge: conceivability does not entail possibility (Monistic Kripkean),or

Isn’t this why a Kripkean picture of de re modality is

so attractive and consolatory?

(b) meets the Kripkean Challenge but fails to access metaphysical modality, by only accessing possibilities having merely logical-conceptual content

(2-D Kripkean; Pure Two-Dimensionalist)

What we (Kripkeans and non-) are mostly interested in is how things actually are empirically and how they might have gone counterfactually

We are interested in how our world might have been different

Neither (a) nor (b) satifies Modal Rationalism

That the familiar Kripkean-counterfactual dimension of modality is always beyond a priori reach seems not the ideal outcome for a purported Modal Rationalism

Issues on the (Im)Possible IV Bratislava, August 31st 2016

Antonella Mallozzi

The Graduate Center, CUNY

If monism is false,

primary conceivability will not give us knowledge of metaphysical reality

(it will only entail knowledge of epistemic possibilities).

If monism is true,

primary possibilities will be verified by metaphysically possible worlds.

But those ideally rational, purely a priori logical-conceptual possibilities may tell us nothing much about metaphysical reality.

A posteriori info is needed.