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m200-Ch04-1
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Ray Lapuz
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Updated Aug 10, 2022
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Math 200 Statistics Section 4.1 Overview OpenStax Text Ray Lapuz Cañada College
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Audio Transcript
Auto-generated
00:02 - 00:06
Hello and Welcome to Math 200 Statistics Online here Kenyatta College.
00:06 - 00:07
My name is Ray Lappas.
00:08 - 00:12
In this video we will take a quick dive into section 4.1
00:12 - 00:15
where we study the probability distribution
00:15 - 00:18
functions for discrete random variables.
00:21 - 00:25
First of all, let's recap what a discrete random variable is.
00:25 - 00:29
First of all, a random variable describes the outcome of a statistical experiment.
00:29 - 00:34
Now these outcomes could be qualitative or quantitative.
00:34 - 00:39
And the values of the variable can vary within each repetition.
00:39 - 00:46
So we would run an experiment collect the information and so the information that
00:46 - 00:50
we're collecting would be the random the general name for a random variable.
00:50 - 00:54
As a notation. We use upper case letters such as X. And Y.
00:54 - 00:58
To denote a random variable in general.
00:58 - 01:04
And then lower case would describe the specific value of a random variable.
01:05 - 01:06
Uh
01:07 - 01:10
They give an example here where they let X be the number
01:10 - 01:13
of heads you get when you toss a coin three times.
01:14 - 01:20
And so if you toss a coin three times. They list down the possibilities here the T. T.
01:20 - 01:26
T. Stands for tales for all the three tosses that you had the second th H.
01:26 - 01:30
Is the scenario where we toss the tails first
01:30 - 01:32
and then the heads and then the heads again.
01:32 - 01:35
And that should be different from the third scenario
01:35 - 01:38
where you toss ahead Tales and a head etcetera.
01:39 - 01:43
So if you look at these possibilities,
01:43 - 01:51
how many possible uh tosses that you get would where X would be the number of heads.
01:51 - 01:57
That would come out. So in the first scenario the T. T. T. There are no heads there.
01:57 - 02:04
So that would be zero. So one possible value for our random variable would be zero.
02:04 - 02:07
And then further along the line
02:07 - 02:15
the H. T. T. The th T. And the T th all have one heads in it. Uh and two tails.
02:15 - 02:21
And so there are three of those scenarios but uh we're counting the exes there so X.
02:21 - 02:24
Is equal to one in that particular case.
02:24 - 02:28
Uh And then you just go on and count the rest of the information.
02:28 - 02:32
So that is a reminder of what of random variable is.
02:32 - 02:34
And since we are talking about discrete random
02:34 - 02:38
variables are outcomes for our X values.
02:38 - 02:40
Should just be whole numbers.
02:40 - 02:44
In other words we're not gonna get any fractions and it's not qualitative data
02:44 - 02:49
where we're not gonna be expected to look at words for these things.
02:50 - 02:56
Now a discreet probability distribution is a a
02:56 - 03:00
scenario or distribution that has the characteristics where
03:00 - 03:05
each of the probability that you get uh is going to be between zero and one.
03:05 - 03:08
And we know that probabilities are between zero and one.
03:08 - 03:10
So that should be pretty straightforward.
03:10 - 03:14
But the idea here is that the probability distribution
03:14 - 03:16
you have a collection of all your X.
03:16 - 03:16
Values
03:17 - 03:20
and then you have an assigned probability to your X values.
03:20 - 03:26
And those assigned probabilities if you add them all up should equal to one.
03:26 - 03:29
So the sum of all the probabilities is equal to one.
03:29 - 03:35
So the idea here is that you get you get an X. Value for your random variable.
03:35 - 03:39
And then for each of these X values for your random variable,
03:39 - 03:41
you're gonna get assigned a probability.
03:41 - 03:45
And those probabilities are of course gonna be between zero and one.
03:46 - 03:49
And then when you add up all those probabilities you should get one.
03:52 - 03:53
So here's an example.
03:53 - 03:56
Child psychologist is interested in a number
03:56 - 03:59
of times that uh newborn babies crying,
03:59 - 04:01
wakes the mother after midnight
04:02 - 04:07
and here's a random variable uh where X is going to be equal to the number
04:07 - 04:12
of times a week and newborn babies crying wakes up its mother uh after midnight.
04:13 - 04:19
So it could be zero uh crying baby might not wake up the mother at all, or crying,
04:19 - 04:23
baby might wake up a mother once and in 2345 et cetera.
04:23 - 04:28
So X is going to be the number of times that uh that
04:28 - 04:34
the that the mother wakes up after they hear the baby crying.
04:34 - 04:43
And then for each of those values there is an assigned probability. So the capital X.
04:43 - 04:48
Um would represent the the general
04:48 - 04:50
random variable.
04:50 - 04:54
And the little excess that they're showing here would represent the actual value.
04:54 - 04:59
So X is equal to zero. There's a probability of two out of 50 X is equal to one.
04:59 - 05:03
There's a probability probability of 11 out of 50 X
05:03 - 05:07
is equal to there's a probability of 23/50 et cetera.
05:08 - 05:10
Okay, so this is a random variable
05:11 - 05:15
and this is a discrete random variable because the X.
05:15 - 05:19
Values are all um all whole numbers.
05:20 - 05:23
So the probabilities are all between zero and one and if we add
05:23 - 05:27
them all up you should get the whole thing to equal to one.
05:29 - 05:33
Okay so each of the p of excess are between zero and one
05:33 - 05:37
inclusive and the sum of all the probabilities is equal to one.
05:41 - 05:43
Alright let's look at another example,
05:43 - 05:48
suppose nancy has uh classes three days a week attends.
05:48 - 05:53
She attends the class three days a week um 80% of the time.
05:53 - 05:58
And she only goes twice on the two days 15% of times.
05:58 - 06:05
And there's a chance that she only makes it one of the days at 4% of the time.
06:06 - 06:10
And there's a possibility that she doesn't go to class at all.
06:10 - 06:13
And that would be uh 1%,,
06:13 - 06:18
suppose the one week uh
06:18 - 06:23
suppose one week is randomly selected. Uh So X.
06:23 - 06:27
Is equal to the number of days uh that nancy attends class
06:27 - 06:34
so she can either attend class 3 to 1 or zero D.
06:34 - 06:35
Days that particular week
06:36 - 06:41
X takes on the value of what So remember X.
06:41 - 06:47
Is gonna be the random variable that takes on the values of whatever X.
06:47 - 06:52
Is to be describing. And that's the number of days that nancy attends class so that is
06:52 - 06:56
321 or 00123.
06:57 - 07:00
And I suppose one week is randomly chosen construct.
07:00 - 07:04
The probability distribution called the pdf table uh shown
07:04 - 07:06
in like the previous example that we saw.
07:06 - 07:08
So here are the results.
07:08 - 07:12
So x is going to be the number of days that nancy attends a class per week.
07:12 - 07:16
And then the possible values for X. R 012 and three.
07:16 - 07:19
And then here's your probably distribution table
07:19 - 07:21
based on the scenario that they gave.
07:21 - 07:27
So she will attend or she might attend zero days and that happens 1% of the time.
07:27 - 07:30
She could attend one day the week in the whole week.
07:30 - 07:33
And that's, that would happen 4% of the time.
07:33 - 07:36
She would attend two days per week at 15% of the time. And
07:37 - 07:43
She would be attending all four days or all three days of that of her classes,
07:43 - 07:45
80% of the time.
07:47 - 07:48
Okay,
07:48 - 07:54
So that's the quick scenario, quick overview of Section 4.1,
07:54 - 07:58
where we start studying PDFs for discrete random variables.
07:59 - 08:00
Okay, I hope that helps
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