Market Recap May 17th.

MS
by Michael Schellinger1 view·Updated May 17, 2021

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Audio TranscriptAuto-generated

  1. Hello Michael Shellenberger, one of the managing partners over here
  2. at Synergy.
  3. And this is the weekly market update video for the
  4. week of May 10th through May 14th 2021.
  5. While the markets had one of the more volatile and
  6. downward moving weeks and months, uh The S and P.
  7. 500 posted a negative 1.3% return last week, Bringing the
  8. year to date right around 11.7%.
  9. There have now been 25 daily market moves in which
  10. the S.
  11. And P.
  12. 500 moved 1% 1 way or the other.
  13. Although most of those have been in the positive direction
  14. so far this year, we have seen relatively modest volatility,
  15. although last week was certainly not the case.
  16. The Barkley us aggregate Bond index dropped by .4 last
  17. week, Bringing that year to date down to a negative
  18. 2.7 Russell 2000 also down two last week, but it
  19. remains up 13 for the year.
  20. So far, The energy sector remains the strongest performing sector
  21. of the year.
  22. Still, it was down .4 last week, but it is
  23. up 43.4 so far this year.
  24. The back and forth between growth and value continues.
  25. The Russell 1000 value up about 1.4%.
  26. In comparison to the 1000 growth.
  27. That brings the difference between the 2 to 13.6%.
  28. In the favor of value Inflation numbers were expected to
  29. start moving upward and the field from people is that
  30. inflation is already here.
  31. It's already present.
  32. But that CPI rose in April .8%, that's up .6
  33. from month over month in March.
  34. That's the largest monthly increase since June of 2009.
  35. That c.
  36. p. I.
  37. is now up 4.2 for the year over year.
  38. Uh that is compared to 2.6 for the year, over
  39. year, prior month.
  40. The C.
  41. P. I.
  42. E, which looks at inflation for seniors, has also been
  43. rising steadily for months.
  44. However, in 2021 the cola for Social Security is only
  45. 1.6%. Now, there have been calls to have higher inflations
  46. on Social Security, but nothing has been passed into law
  47. yet retail sales relatively flat last month from March to
  48. april, there was expected rise of 0.9% but that didn't
  49. come in.
  50. Stimulus checks seem to have flattened for at least a
  51. month. Electronics, cars, food and services, they also gains in
  52. april, but clothing, sporting goods and general merchandise, they also
  53. declines. Uh now, what we see here is jobless claims
  54. fell another 34,000 and economists believe that the heightened unemployment
  55. benefits are now starting to impact recovery.
  56. Job openings surged to 8.1 million with a majority into
  57. hospitality, manufacturing and construction.
  58. This kind of highlights the dual nature of the economy
  59. today, where we have millions of people uh that have
  60. open jobs and we have millions out of work at
  61. the same time.
  62. Well with everything and all the complexity going on the
  63. world, it's really easy to get distracted or caught up
  64. in what we call the emotion commotion.
  65. Of course, creating written plans will always help you keep
  66. your focus and keep towards your long term goals.
  67. Uh, and objectives.
  68. Remember, you can't control any specific investment outcome, but you
  69. can't help manage your expectation by creating guidelines and rules,
  70. monitoring those and inspecting them before something doesn't behave the
  71. way you want it to remember.
  72. If you aren't testing ahead of time, you're guessing and
  73. the outcome of awareness creates a lot more reliability than
  74. the outcome of assumption.
  75. If there are any specific areas of concern you want
  76. to discuss, please make a virtual appointment to do so.
  77. Nothing in this recap is intended to be specific advice,
  78. as it obviously doesn't take into account your unique situation
  79. until next week.
  80. Stay safe, stay ahead of the curve and please let
  81. us know what we can do to help.