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F20AEC16- Part 1
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Thomas Webster
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Updated Oct 14, 2020
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00:00 - 00:03
Hi. Welcome back to less than 16 now, Part one.
00:04 - 00:07
We were talking just before the end of the last
00:08 - 00:12
part about the robots in this picture of this movie
00:13 - 00:13
with Will Smith.
00:14 - 00:15
Have you seen this thing?
00:15 - 00:17
This movie I robot?
00:18 - 00:20
And if you look, if you haven't seen the movie,
00:20 - 00:22
you can go look at it online.
00:22 - 00:24
But even in the picture, you can see this line
00:24 - 00:28
of robots stretching into the distance and you can see
00:29 - 00:31
if you focus in just a little bit on them.
00:31 - 00:35
They look kind of serious, You know, their expressions, even
00:35 - 00:38
in this, you know, out of focus image here or
00:38 - 00:40
low quality resolution image.
00:41 - 00:43
You can see that There, there, there they don't have
00:43 - 00:46
bright cheeks and and the pictures all kind of, you
00:46 - 00:47
know, cold gray.
00:48 - 00:51
Look at his expression and he appears to have something
00:51 - 00:55
in his hand here on, but he's definitely not in
00:55 - 00:56
such a happy mood.
00:56 - 01:00
So it compared that just by contrast to the image
01:00 - 01:03
that they used in our article about the you know,
01:03 - 01:06
with that, that the red cheeks and the kind of
01:06 - 01:09
big I'd kind of, you know, happy looking.
01:09 - 01:11
You know, or at least friendly enough looking robot.
01:12 - 01:13
Very different image there.
01:14 - 01:15
So that paints a very different picture.
01:16 - 01:19
Um, you have to be careful, though, because sometimes, oftentimes,
01:20 - 01:23
the author of the article is not choosing the images
01:23 - 01:25
that go with it or the even the title.
01:26 - 01:29
Often those air editorial decisions done by the editor.
01:29 - 01:31
So you can't always read too much into the author's
01:32 - 01:36
intent from the headline, sometimes can be even the headline
01:37 - 01:39
could be problematic because someone else chose it for specific
01:41 - 01:43
kind of sensational or click bait reason.
01:44 - 01:47
Okay, we're gonna talk about that at another point, But
01:48 - 01:51
okay, again, I'm going to narrate the story for you.
01:51 - 01:53
And I'd like you to pay attention to these, uh,
01:53 - 01:54
toe are five general questions.
01:55 - 01:58
And also to the to the tone and the emphasis
01:58 - 02:00
that I put here when I'm, you know, when I'm
02:00 - 02:02
going through the story, because that can really help you,
02:02 - 02:06
especially with the attitude question number two, um, to understand
02:07 - 02:11
the attitude of the writer, Um, this story, I should
02:11 - 02:14
say If I go back over to hear this story,
02:14 - 02:18
uh, I'd like you to, as I read to to
02:19 - 02:20
talk about these.
02:20 - 02:22
You know, the plus five questions here on the on
02:23 - 02:24
the discussion page while we're doing it.
02:25 - 02:26
Okay, All right.
02:27 - 02:29
This article begins with the again.
02:30 - 02:32
The title is It's make or break time for artificial
02:32 - 02:35
intelligence. Here's how we can make it work.
02:36 - 02:42
Um, artificial intelligence is the next technological frontier, and it
02:42 - 02:45
has the potential to make or break the world order.
02:46 - 02:49
The A I revolution could pull the bottom billion out
02:50 - 02:53
of poverty and transform dysfunctional institutions.
02:54 - 02:59
Or it could entrench injustice and increase inequality.
03:01 - 03:03
The outcome will depend on how we manage the coming
03:04 - 03:09
changes. Unfortunately, when it comes to managing technological revolutions, humanity
03:10 - 03:12
has a rather poor track record.
03:13 - 03:17
Consider the Internet, which has had an enormous impact on
03:17 - 03:22
societies worldwide, changing how we communicate, work and occupy ourselves.
03:23 - 03:29
And it has disturbed some economic sectors, forced changes to
03:29 - 03:34
long established business models and created a few entirely new
03:34 - 03:38
industries. But the Internet has not brought the kind of
03:38 - 03:41
comprehensive transformation that many anticipated.
03:43 - 03:46
It certainly didn't resolve the big problems, such as eradicating
03:47 - 03:49
poverty or enabling us to reach Mars.
03:51 - 03:55
As PayPal co founder Peter Thiel once noted, we wanted
03:56 - 03:59
flying cars instead we got 140 characters.
04:02 - 04:04
In fact, in some ways, Thean Turn ET has exacerbated
04:05 - 04:06
our problems.
04:07 - 04:11
While it has created opportunities for ordinary people, it has
04:11 - 04:15
created even mawr opportunities for the wealthiest and most powerful.
04:16 - 04:21
A recent study by researchers at the LSC reveals that
04:22 - 04:26
that the Internet has increased inequality, with educated high income
04:27 - 04:32
people deriving the greatest benefits online and multiple, multiple sorry
04:32 - 04:39
and multiple and multinational corporations able to grow massively while
04:40 - 04:41
evading accountability.
04:43 - 04:46
Perhaps, though the A I revolution can deliver the change
04:46 - 04:51
we need already a I, which focuses on advancing the
04:51 - 04:55
cognitive functions of machine so that they can learn on
04:55 - 04:57
their own, is reshaping our lives.
04:59 - 05:02
It has delivered self driving, though not but though still
05:03 - 05:07
not flying cars as well as virtual personal assistants and
05:07 - 05:09
even autonomous weapons.
05:10 - 05:13
But this barely scratches the surface of a eyes potential,
05:14 - 05:18
which is likely to produce societal, economic and political transformations
05:19 - 05:21
that we cannot yet fully comprehend.
05:22 - 05:24
A. I will not become a new industry.
05:25 - 05:30
It will penetrate and permanently alter every industry in existence.
05:31 - 05:33
Hey, I will not change human life.
05:34 - 05:37
It will change the boundaries and meaning of being human
05:39 - 05:42
how and when the trend this transformation will happen and
05:43 - 05:47
how to manage its far reaching effects are questions that
05:47 - 05:49
keep scholars and policymakers up a night.
05:50 - 05:55
Expectations for the A I era range from visions of
05:55 - 05:58
paradise, in which all of humanity's problems have been solved
05:59 - 06:03
to fears of dystopia in which our creation becomes an
06:03 - 06:04
exist inal threat.
06:07 - 06:11
Making predictions about scientific breakthroughs is notoriously difficult.
06:12 - 06:17
On September 11th, 1933 the famed nuclear physicist Lord Rutherford
06:18 - 06:22
told a large audience, Anyone who looks for a source
06:22 - 06:25
of power in the transformation of the atoms is talking
06:26 - 06:33
moonshine. The next morning, Leo Szilard hypothesized the idea of
06:33 - 06:36
a neutron induced nuclear chain reaction.
06:37 - 06:40
Soon thereafter, he patented the nuclear reactor.
06:42 - 06:45
The problem for some is Theus Sumption that new technology,
06:46 - 06:51
new technological breakthroughs are incompatible to those In the past,
06:52 - 06:57
many scholars, pundits and practitioners would agree with Alphabet Executive
06:57 - 07:03
Chairman Eric Schmidt that technological phenomena have their own intrinsic
07:04 - 07:08
properties, which humans don't understand and should not mess with.
07:10 - 07:14
Others may be making the opposite mistake, placing too much
07:14 - 07:16
stock in historical analogies.
07:17 - 07:23
The technology writer and researcher Virginie more rose off, among
07:24 - 07:29
others, expect some degree of path dependence with current discourse
07:30 - 07:33
is shaping our thinking about the future of technology, thereby
07:34 - 07:35
influencing technologies development.
07:37 - 07:42
Future technologies could subsequently impact our narratives, creating a sort
07:42 - 07:48
of self reinforcing loop To think about a technological breakthrough
07:49 - 07:52
like a I, we must find a balance between these
07:53 - 07:59
approaches. We must adopt an interdisciplinary perspective, underpinned by an
07:59 - 08:02
agreed vocabulary and a common conceptual framework.
08:03 - 08:07
We also need policies that address the interconnections among technology,
08:08 - 08:09
governance and ethics.
08:10 - 08:15
Recent initiatives, such as Partnership on Ai Ai or Ethics
08:16 - 08:19
and governance of A I Fund, are a step in
08:19 - 08:23
the right direction but lack the necessary government involvement.
08:24 - 08:27
These steps are necessary to answer some fundamental questions.
08:28 - 08:30
What makes humans human?
08:31 - 08:35
Is it the pursuit of hyper efficiency, the Silicon Valley
08:35 - 08:41
mindset? Or is it irrationality, imperfection and doubt traits beyond
08:41 - 08:43
the reach of any non biological entity?
08:45 - 08:48
Onley. By answering such questions, can we determine which values
08:49 - 08:52
we must protect and preserve in the coming A.
08:52 - 08:56
I age, as we re think, the basic concepts in
08:56 - 09:00
terms of our social contracts, including the national and international
09:01 - 09:06
institutions that have allowed inequality and any insecurity to proliferate
09:08 - 09:12
in a context of far reaching transformation brought about by
09:12 - 09:15
the rise of a I, we may be able to
09:15 - 09:19
reshape the status quo so that it ensures greater security
09:20 - 09:20
and fairness.
09:22 - 09:24
One of the keys to creating um or Egal egalitarian
09:26 - 09:29
future relates to data progress in A.
09:30 - 09:34
I relies on the availability and analysis of large sets
09:34 - 09:38
of data on human activity online and offline to distinguish
09:39 - 09:42
patterns of behavior that could be used to guide machine
09:43 - 09:47
behavior and cognition, empowering all people in the age of
09:47 - 09:52
A I will require each individual, not major companies, to
09:52 - 09:53
own the data they create.
09:55 - 09:58
With the right approach, we could ensure that a I
09:58 - 10:01
empowers people on an unprecedented scale.
10:02 - 10:06
Though abundant historical evidence cast doubt on such an outcome,
10:07 - 10:10
Perhaps doubt is the key.
10:11 - 10:18
As the late sociologists Zaid Damonte Baumann put it, questioning
10:19 - 10:23
the ostensibly unquestionable premises of our way of life is
10:23 - 10:27
arguably the most urgent of service is we owe our
10:27 - 10:36
fellow humans and ourselves okay, very interesting article on dhe.
10:36 - 10:39
I think you might notice some stylistic things just really
10:39 - 10:41
briefly here that are interesting.
10:41 - 10:46
You might notice that this author ah, from the public
10:46 - 10:51
policy. Hey, says he's a public policy scholar at the
10:51 - 10:52
University of Oxford.
10:52 - 10:57
So he's an academic, Um, you might notice.
10:57 - 11:02
Stylistically, this author likes to present things in threes.
11:04 - 11:06
You might go through the article and look at that.
11:06 - 11:07
How the Arctic.
11:07 - 11:10
The writer likes to say it could be this this
11:10 - 11:13
or this or it adds to or it increases.
11:14 - 11:15
This this and this.
11:16 - 11:19
That three part kind of answer or three part kind
11:19 - 11:23
of evidence or support is a very academic thing to
11:23 - 11:27
Dio. When you give three examples that that is kind
11:27 - 11:30
of considered the minimum when you're trying to make something
11:30 - 11:34
seem credible, you give three examples, and that shows that
11:34 - 11:37
there is enough to prove what you're you're saying.
11:37 - 11:40
But it doesn't give too many that that kind of
11:40 - 11:44
implies that you're listing all there is, which seems to
11:44 - 11:45
you know, which would have the opposite effect.
11:46 - 11:48
It seems like there's not much evidence if you list
11:48 - 11:52
456 things anyway, this author does that a lot.
11:53 - 11:57
You probably also noticed that PayPal is listed here with,
11:57 - 12:00
with Peter Thiel as the co founder, and I think
12:00 - 12:03
I mentioned that earlier in our warm up activity that
12:04 - 12:08
that Peter Thiel was the co founder, along with Elon
12:08 - 12:10
Musk, who started PayPal.
12:10 - 12:12
That's why I mentioned that because of the reference here,
12:13 - 12:18
and that's a better pronunciation of his name.
12:19 - 12:21
Here at the end is a is a very famous
12:21 - 12:25
source that you, you might wanna look more up might
12:25 - 12:28
wanna look up mawr if you're interested in the topic
12:29 - 12:33
of the idea of how humans interact with each other
12:33 - 12:35
and and in the future with technology.
12:36 - 12:39
So there's some very interesting things that we're going to
12:39 - 12:40
talk about that the quotations use.
12:41 - 12:44
And again, the let me back up a little bit
12:45 - 12:47
more. We're gonna talk about the quotations use and the
12:48 - 12:50
particularly the use of dichotomies and framing.
12:51 - 12:54
Okay. But I hope you have from my reading I
12:54 - 12:56
hope that I've helped you a little bit.
12:56 - 13:00
Thio, you know, T to pinpoint what the authors main
13:00 - 13:04
points are, and to either verify or, you know, Thio
13:04 - 13:07
confirm the guesses that you've made or that or the
13:08 - 13:12
inferences that you believe are true based on some of
13:12 - 13:15
the evidence in the title or in the picture.
13:16 - 13:19
So I so now you you you should question your
13:19 - 13:20
own purpose at this point.
13:20 - 13:23
You know the purpose that you wrote last week At
13:23 - 13:25
the end of last week before really studying this article,
13:26 - 13:28
you should start to be questioning that now to see
13:29 - 13:29
if you got the answer, right.
13:30 - 13:31
Do you think the purpose is correct?
13:32 - 13:35
Okay, I'm going to leave that for you, especially as
13:35 - 13:36
we get into the questions.
13:37 - 13:41
But let's focus on our second, uh, second main area
13:41 - 13:45
of of of skills for this article.
13:47 - 13:48
Dichotomies and framing.
13:49 - 13:50
Um, a dichotomy.
13:50 - 13:54
As you see here, a dichotomy is when there are
13:54 - 13:55
two sides.
13:56 - 14:00
That's why again, the word the prefects die at the
14:00 - 14:04
beginning there refers to to a dichotomy is when there
14:04 - 14:07
are two sides are options that are opposite or significantly
14:08 - 14:11
different. Okay, so there's we say, their separation.
14:12 - 14:18
If you conceptual 82 things, they're different enough that you
14:18 - 14:21
can put them into two different categories rather than just,
14:21 - 14:23
you know, a different kind of the same thing.
14:24 - 14:27
When you could do that, then we say that you
14:27 - 14:29
have done you've made a dichotomy.
14:29 - 14:34
You've said these two things are significantly different enough and
14:34 - 14:36
often we're gonna put a word in the middle t
14:36 - 14:37
separate those two.
14:38 - 14:40
And of course, you can put and you can put
14:40 - 14:43
But But what's a common one in terms of dichotomies
14:44 - 14:47
is to use the word war again to point out
14:48 - 14:51
that these two are different and we need to consider
14:51 - 14:55
both of them separately because they are uniquely different enough,
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