CJUS - P295 Initial Draft of Slides

Hello Dr Meyer.

This is my presentation of the final research portfolio.

The research topic that I am tackling is are publicly

available databases of sexual offenders and sexual predators effective at

preventing future crimes.

Sexual crimes in general, for me, specifically, child molestation, are

some of the most serious crimes we have in our

criminal justice system.

They have lasting effects on the victims that is well

documented to be anywhere from very minor mental effects to

very major affects such as suicide.

It is a very serious topic that if at all

possible we need to have stopped a sex offender is

defined as any person who has been convicted of rape,

rape of a child.

Child molestation, sexual misconduct with a minor sexual violation of

human remains incest, communication with a minor for immoral purposes

or a felony with a finding of sexual motivation.

While that is a lot to sum it up, a

sex offender is essentially anyone who commits and is convicted

of a crime involving sex or where sex is the

crime itself.

Okay. A little bit of background in it.

As a fall of 2019, there were approximately 752,000 people

put on sex offender registries.

It was in 1970.

For that states began to require people to register for

the sex offender databases.

California was the first state to enact this law.

This is a sharp That shows the distribution of the

amount of sex offenders per state, the lowest being Washington

D. C.

which is at 1,068 offenders in the highest being Texas

which is at 94,469 offenders.

Yeah, when it comes when it comes to the timeline

and the acts that have been put in against sex

offenders and toward the sex offender registry.

The first act was placed in 1994.

It was the Wetterling crimes against Children and sexually violent

offenders registration Act.

Since then, The most recent act was in 2016.

It was the international Megan's law of all the acts

that have been provided and put into effect.

The most important one, I believe would be Megan's law,

which essentially made it a requirement for people who are

considered sex offenders to put their information on a registry

after they have gotten out of jail.

And the international Megan's law, which is the most recent

law put into place, actually makes it so that sex

offenders receive a separate passport.

It looks generally the same, but it is, it states

on it that the person has been convicted of a

sexually sexual offense within the United States.

The current status of sex offender databases uh, since 2016,

that was the international Megan's law.

There haven't been any more recent changes.

The biggest overall change would just be in my mind

would be public perception and media influence were in a

day and age now to where people are taking their

legal status and their status and the perception of convicted

offenders, whether it be sexual or any other offense much

more seriously.

And I believe that people want certain who want to

become much more aware of who is in the, the

places around them.

And this is due to just generally, I think mostly

due to media, but also just general evolution of american

society. Yeah, when it comes to my expectations of this,

I expected that the publicly available databases on sexual offenders

and sexual predators would be effective at preventing future crimes.

I believe this because for me, I believe psychologically a

person would see that they are on a list, which

means their information is out there, where they live is

out there.

I would believe that they would feel like they would

be more likely to get caught if they re offend

and commit recidivism.

I chose this, chose this research question because sexual crimes

are an extremely serious matter personally.

I hope to be a dad sometime in the not

necessarily recent future, but you know, sometime in the near

future and when I have a child, I know this

is something the sex offender databases or something that I

am going to be looking at.

Because I want to know who is in my general

vicinity and who to keep my Children away from.

So I feel like that is something extremely important and

that was my overall Goldberg tackling this topic.

The biggest bias which having these expectations and the one

for it to be true creates a bias.

I want this to be true.

Very, I want sex offender database is to reduce the

recidivism of sexual offenders.

Having that one creates a bias to avoid this, I

have to put my emotions aside, analyze the data and

treat everything as straight line and as flat as I

can. That is the only way to eliminate the bias

as it is something that is more mental than it

is physical.

Okay from a literary review.

The five important Yeah.

Research studies that I used.

The first one was by fun doc.

The article is the entire is my entire question.

In a microcosm funding does a study in which he

analyzes a group of sex offenders that are on the

sex offender databases and a group of sex offenders that

are not on the databases and compares their recidivism rates

and then calculates whether there is any correlation between those

rates summed up pretty well.

That is my research question Then the next one.

Car by car is essentially the same thing for mm

For all my literal review.

And for this topic specifically, I needed many different studies

to see if they all aligned properly.

So that's why Car and a couple others are here

in this study so that I can see whether or

not it is correlated that sex offender databases either reduce

recidivism and sex offenders or they do not.

For Q Bella's, I use this as a way to

give me ideas and the issues that sex offender databases

have and how law enforcement individuals who are much more

close to both sex offenders and understanding of the sex

offender database to understand their views on it.

Mhm. For Jennings, it gave me a longitudinal analysis of

recidivism trajectories and collateral consequences.

Basically, it took the same as the 1st 2.

Mhm. But slightly different.

It took many different studies of recidivism rates and people

who are on sex offender databases and those who are

not on sex offender databases and that.

And then did an analysis of all of them to

see if the recidivism trajectory trajectories were consistent or not.

And then when it comes to Tewksbury this is all

this is another data mine for sex offender correlation and

whether or not register his work when it comes to

theory psychology being on a list.

So psychologically being on a list for me would make

the individual think that they are more likely to be

caught. While this is what I think it is not

necessarily true.

But it seems like for me it would make sense.

I also believe that having being on the database and

people being aware that you are a sex offender would

give you less targets to commit recidivism because those individuals

are going to want to avoid you.

Yeah, When it comes two microcosms, this is the data

that I found in my in my different studies.

For example, on fun doc.

The sample he used was 1,985 registered sex offenders from

a period of 1991 2016.

He compared those individuals two individuals that were not on

the sex offender database.

He came out, they came to a conclusion that there

is no statistical significance and sex offender recidivism rates before

or after sex offender registry implementation.

This essentially means that the sex offender registry did not

change the rates at which sex offenders commit recidivism.

And while this is sad, it is the consensus between

all of the different studies that have been that I

have done, all of the different studies have found that

there is not any statistical significance that sex offender databases

have on sex offender recidivism.

This is some general things that I found is this

occurs because it is very easy to lie on the

sex offender registry.

You can put wrong addresses, you can put old addresses,

you can even put a false name while it is

a violation of different probation and different other things.

Many sex offenders do it, especially if they are going

to go out and commit another sexual act.

But yeah, every single study came to the same thing.

There was Basically zero correlation at all.

It's quite sad for methodology.

My theory.

I I believe that the rational choice theory best fits

this study due to the fact that rational choice theory

emphasizes the expected reward for committing a crime.

Well, when committing a sexual sexual crime, you don't get

any sort of material reward.

The individual would get one of two things either pleasure

or they would get power over the victim's emotional state,

But it is not any material reward.

So I believe that the rational choice theory best fits

this. The other theory that could apply is the routine

active routine activities theory, which states that a crime occurs

when three elements are available.

It's an available target, a motivated offender and a lack

of guardians.

This theory fits most different crimes, but it definitely fits

here. For my research design.

I chose the interrupted time series design.

I chose this because it's you It's the only real

option. All sex offenders nowadays are required to be to

register for sex offender databases whenever they get out of

jail or prison.

Due to that fact, there is no, there is no

independent group.

Currently, the only way to get a group of individuals

that are not on the sex offender registry, you have

to go and grab that data from back in time.

Due to this, the interrupted time serious design is the

only one that makes sense to complete this study.

I analyzed multiple different studies of whether or not sex

offender registries reduced recidivism rates than found the correlation coefficients

and whether or not there was any statistical significant data

that suggested sex offender database is reduced restive recidivism and

all the data came back and said that there is

no statistical significance for the sample.

The type of sample I chose was macro the population

is sex offenders.

The frame for this sample is a comparison of sexual

offenders that are not on sex offender registries compared to

sex offenders that are on the sex offender registries.

By doing this, you're able to determine if their recidivism

rates or any different or if they are the same,

the elements to this, or whether or not the offenders

or on the registry, and whether or not they have

committed recidivism.

All right, and I am running out of time, so

I have to put everything else on the next video.

CJUS - P295 Initial Draft of Slides

Chapters

Audio TranscriptAuto-generated