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Unemployment
JM
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Jennifer Marmo
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Updated Apr 29, 2020
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00:01 - 00:03
I'm Jenny Marmo, and this is my presentation on unemployment.
00:06 - 00:10
The workforce People not in the workforce are not included
00:10 - 00:10
in unemployment.
00:12 - 00:16
The workforce includes people ages 16 and over, not full
00:16 - 00:18
time students not discouraged workers.
00:19 - 00:22
So people still actively looking for a job and able
00:23 - 00:25
workers, people who do not have an injury and are
00:25 - 00:26
physically able to work.
00:28 - 00:31
The natural rate of unemployment is 4% to fash percent,
00:32 - 00:35
and it is not zero because of two types of
00:35 - 00:37
unemployment we will look at in the next slide.
00:40 - 00:42
There are three types of unemployment frictional unemployment.
00:43 - 00:45
People are temporarily between jobs.
00:45 - 00:48
Quit one job to find another or have just graduated
00:48 - 00:49
from high school or college.
00:50 - 00:52
And since these people are no longer full time students,
00:53 - 00:55
they can be in the workforce and they can be
00:55 - 01:00
unemployed. Cyclical unemployment, people who are not needed in the
01:00 - 01:02
workforce. There is a lack of demand in the labour
01:03 - 01:05
market due to the business cycle, which we will look
01:06 - 01:06
at in a few slides.
01:08 - 01:09
Structural unemployment.
01:09 - 01:13
People who lack skills do not have enough education for
01:13 - 01:13
current job openings.
01:14 - 01:19
In the labor market, there is always frictional and structural
01:20 - 01:23
unemployment because people are always looking for new jobs and
01:23 - 01:24
the structure of the economy is always changing.
01:25 - 01:29
Uh, advancements in technology, for example, can change the structure
01:29 - 01:30
of an economy.
01:31 - 01:35
Cyclical unemployment will occur or not based on where the
01:35 - 01:37
current economy is in the business cycle.
01:39 - 01:42
This is the business cycle, and on the Y axis
01:43 - 01:45
we have a real GDP.
01:46 - 01:48
And on the X axis we have time.
01:49 - 01:53
So first there's another upward curve, but then it goes
01:54 - 01:58
down and it goes back up in the expansionary curve.
01:59 - 02:02
The real output in the economy or the Judy P
02:02 - 02:05
in the economy is increasing and the unemployment rate is
02:05 - 02:10
declining. As the economic expansion continues, inflation may begin to
02:10 - 02:14
accelerate the early part of an expansionary phases, also called
02:14 - 02:15
recovery phase.
02:16 - 02:19
Now that expansion will lead to a peak where the
02:19 - 02:22
real GDP is at the highest point of the business
02:22 - 02:26
cycle. Now, from that peak, it will begin to curve
02:26 - 02:30
downwards into a recession or a contractionary curve.
02:31 - 02:34
That is, when viewed, GDP in the economy is decreasing
02:35 - 02:36
and the unemployment rate is rising.
02:37 - 02:41
As a contraction continues, inflationary pressures subside.
02:42 - 02:43
The later stage of the contraction, or face is also
02:44 - 02:47
called a recession, as I mentioned, and then that curve
02:48 - 02:50
will lead to a trough, which is the lowest point
02:50 - 02:50
of real GDP.
02:54 - 02:57
If it is particularly deep is called the Depression, and
02:57 - 03:00
that is an economic situation where the level of output
03:00 - 03:04
falls to extremely low levels and unemployment climbs to very
03:05 - 03:05
high levels.
03:06 - 03:09
There is no precise decline in output at which a
03:09 - 03:10
serious recession becomes a depression.
03:12 - 03:16
Um, most business cycles do not end in depression, but
03:16 - 03:17
it has happened before.
03:19 - 03:24
Um, the line that has that goes through the entire
03:25 - 03:29
business cycle is, um, could the full employment line.
03:30 - 03:34
So that is when it is that, UM, 4% or
03:34 - 03:40
5% the unemployment rate formula.
03:41 - 03:45
The U equals unemployed people divided by the labor force
03:46 - 03:50
times 100 the unemployed or people looking for work on
03:50 - 03:54
the labor force are people working plus people looking for
03:54 - 03:59
work. So, for example, uh, if there are 100 unemployed
04:00 - 04:07
people and there were 200 people who were working, then
04:07 - 04:12
you take 100 divided by, um 300 which is 100
04:13 - 04:17
plus 200 which is the only re force in that
04:17 - 04:22
equals 0.33 of repeating as a decimal, and then you
04:22 - 04:29
times that by 100 which is 33.3% and that is
04:29 - 04:34
the unemployment rate formula, and that is the end of
04:34 - 04:34
my presentation.
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