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Copy of Futures_Thinking

prediction/forecasting
by

john sweeney

on 4 March 2015

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Transcript of Copy of Futures_Thinking

What is
Futures
Thinking?

academic

consulting

images

theories

methods

trends

emerging
issues

foresight

policy
"The" future does not exist...
There are futures
Futures is not History in reverse...
prediction
forecasting
time
place
"the future ain't what it used to be!"
alternative images of the future(s)
utopia vs. dystopia
eutopia
"preferred futures"
"We shape our tools and
thereafter our tools shape us."
"Any useful idea about the future(s) should appear to be ridiculous."
- Dator's 2nd Law of the Future(s)
Dhubai
Rio de Janeiro
structure matters!
3. Every challenge is an opportunity and vice versa.
questions?
2. Beware the tyranny of the present!
1975
16k memory $8,975
IBM 7090 - 1960
$2.9 million
iPhone
$599 in 2007
"If I had asked people what they wanted, they
would have said faster horses." -Henry Ford
Have you ever taken
a history class?
"If we do not learn from history, we shall be compelled to relive it. True. But if we do not change the future, we shall be compelled to
endure it. And that could be worse."
- Alvin Toffler
Marshall McLuhan
Any guess why the US House of Representatives has 435 members?
aiglatson
Gabriel Fackre
(nostalgia backwards)
"The best way to predict the future is to invent it."
- Alan Kay
Guiding principles

Make that
future
your present!
Hungry for the unknown?
Potentially hazardous near-Earth objects
From science fiction to science figuring-it-out
1993
2013
Australia, Dubai, France, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Spain, Sri Lanka, U.S.
Futurists actively working as policy analysts
3 Circles
£250,000 patty
in-vitro meat
McHealthy?
bee-pocalypse
John A. Sweeney
john.sweeney@hawaii.edu
futures.hawaii.edu
cppfs.eastwest.edu
Full transcript