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GPS (A)

GPA Series (1)
by

Young Sop Ahn

on 16 April 2015

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Transcript of GPS (A)

Global Power Shift (1)
2. Power Dimensions (Governance)
D1. Horizontal Move: Pax Romana, Britannica, Americana, East-West Row, South-North Gap
3. Power Dimensions (Utility - 1)
D1. Constructive: wellbeing, peace, security, etc.
4. Power Dimensions (Legitimacy)
D2. Inhumanity: corruption, tyranny, repression (ex. Gaddafi, Assad, hidden players of global corruption)
D1.
Hard power

(Geographically or internationally moving or shifting): Fire Power, GDP scale, Population, Land Size, etc.

D2. Soft power: Diplomacy, Eduction, Cultural Appeal, Sci & Tech, per capita GDP, QOL, Human Rights, Transparency & Openness (You get what you want without coercion or payments. Meritocracy, Affirmative action, Entitlements, etc.)
D1. Linear Duel (ex. West Gunfight)
1. Power Dimensions (Use of Force)
D2. Ground Warfare (ex. US Civil War)
D3. Modern Theater (ex. Air Strike)
D4. Cyber-Warfare (ex. Wikileaks)
D2. Vertical Move:
(1) Nation: Ruling vs. Ruled
(2) World: Global vs. National
British Empire
D2. Destructive: war, terror, trafficking, etc.
nuclear winter
nuclear power plant
D1. Humanity: universal values and appeal (ex. Malala Yousafzai, 16, Pakistani edu. activist, Doctors Without Borders)
5. Power dimensions (Hard vs. Soft Power)
1. Joseph Nye's narrative about soft & hard power
2. Sam Huntington predicts: America would not decline, partly thanks to soft power (education, cutting edges of sci & tech, appealing pop culture, freedom)
Upside & Downside of Horizontal & Vertical Power Transition (examples)
A. Horizontal

(bottom up)
Up: Active role of individuals, young or old, in shaping the future of society & social dynamism
Down: Terrorists without borders
B: Vertical (top down)
Up: Efficiency of governance, social stability
Down: Suppression of human potential & creativity, and static society
Power Diffusion
1. State to non-state actors
Examples of D1: Relative decline of US, Rise of Asia, esp., China, Japan, South Korea, etc. (transition from West to East)
2. Communicating transition from the rich to the poor: ex. commnications costs - 1000-fold drop between 1970 and now. (a car could cost 5 dollars.)
3. Oxfarm (Oxford Committee for Famine Relief) vs. ISIS(IS/ISIL), Exremist Militant Groups, Spontaneous Terrorists, Al Qaeda (non-state actor): 9/11 killed more people than Japan's Pearl Harbor attack in 1941)
Examples of D2:
How to create public goods, such as coping with climate change, drug trade, money laundering, financial instability, pandemics, etc.
3. Power Dimensions (Utility - 2)
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The interior of the courtroom of the Nuremberg War Crimes Trials in 1946 during the Trial of the Major War Criminals, prosecutin​g 24 government and civilian leaders of Nazi Germany. Visible here is Hermann Goering, former leader of the Luftwaffe, seated in the box at center right, wearing a gray jacket, headphones​, and dark glasses. Next to him sits Rudolf Hess, former Deputy Fuhrer of Germany, then Joachim von Ribbentrop​, former Nazi Minister of Foreign Affairs, Wilhelm Keitel, former leader of Germany's Supreme Command (blurry face), and Ernst Kaltenbrun​ner, the highest ranking surviving SS-leader. Goering, von Ribbentrop​, Keitel, and Kaltenbrun​ner were sentenced to death by hanging along with 8 others -- Goering committed suicide the night before the execution. Hess was sentenced to life imprisonme​nt, which he served at Spandau Prison, Berlin, where he died in 1987. (AP Photo/STF) #
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Decline school (2): Economic System Failure

Decline school (1): Economic Deterministic

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The interior of the courtroom of the Nuremberg War Crimes Trials in 1946 during the Trial of the Major War Criminals, prosecutin​g 24 government and civilian leaders of Nazi Germany. Visible here is Hermann Goering, former leader of the Luftwaffe, seated in the box at center right, wearing a gray jacket, headphones​, and dark glasses. Next to him sits Rudolf Hess, former Deputy Fuhrer of Germany, then Joachim von Ribbentrop​, former Nazi Minister of Foreign Affairs, Wilhelm Keitel, former leader of Germany's Supreme Command (blurry face), and Ernst Kaltenbrun​ner, the highest ranking surviving SS-leader. Goering, von Ribbentrop​, Keitel, and Kaltenbrun​ner were sentenced to death by hanging along with 8 others -- Goering committed suicide the night before the execution. Hess was sentenced to life imprisonme​nt, which he served at Spandau Prison, Berlin, where he died in 1987. (AP Photo/STF) #
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Decline school (2): Economic System Failure

Decline school (1): Economic Deterministic

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The interior of the courtroom of the Nuremberg War Crimes Trials in 1946 during the Trial of the Major War Criminals, prosecutin​g 24 government and civilian leaders of Nazi Germany. Visible here is Hermann Goering, former leader of the Luftwaffe, seated in the box at center right, wearing a gray jacket, headphones​, and dark glasses. Next to him sits Rudolf Hess, former Deputy Fuhrer of Germany, then Joachim von Ribbentrop​, former Nazi Minister of Foreign Affairs, Wilhelm Keitel, former leader of Germany's Supreme Command (blurry face), and Ernst Kaltenbrun​ner, the highest ranking surviving SS-leader. Goering, von Ribbentrop​, Keitel, and Kaltenbrun​ner were sentenced to death by hanging along with 8 others -- Goering committed suicide the night before the execution. Hess was sentenced to life imprisonme​nt, which he served at Spandau Prison, Berlin, where he died in 1987. (AP Photo/STF) #
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Decline school (1): Economic Deterministic

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Decline school (2): Economic System Failure

Decline school (1): Economic Deterministic

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The interior of the courtroom of the Nuremberg War Crimes Trials in 1946 during the Trial of the Major War Criminals, prosecutin​g 24 government and civilian leaders of Nazi Germany. Visible here is Hermann Goering, former leader of the Luftwaffe, seated in the box at center right, wearing a gray jacket, headphones​, and dark glasses. Next to him sits Rudolf Hess, former Deputy Fuhrer of Germany, then Joachim von Ribbentrop​, former Nazi Minister of Foreign Affairs, Wilhelm Keitel, former leader of Germany's Supreme Command (blurry face), and Ernst Kaltenbrun​ner, the highest ranking surviving SS-leader. Goering, von Ribbentrop​, Keitel, and Kaltenbrun​ner were sentenced to death by hanging along with 8 others -- Goering committed suicide the night before the execution. Hess was sentenced to life imprisonme​nt, which he served at Spandau Prison, Berlin, where he died in 1987. (AP Photo/STF) #
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t,

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Global Power Shift Copyright © Young Sop Ahn

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The interior of the courtroom of the Nuremberg War Crimes Trials in 1946 during the Trial of the Major War Criminals, prosecutin​g 24 government and civilian leaders of Nazi Germany. Visible here is Hermann Goering, former leader of the Luftwaffe, seated in the box at center right, wearing a gray jacket, headphones​, and dark glasses. Next to him sits Rudolf Hess, former Deputy Fuhrer of Germany, then Joachim von Ribbentrop​, former Nazi Minister of Foreign Affairs, Wilhelm Keitel, former leader of Germany's Supreme Command (blurry face), and Ernst Kaltenbrun​ner, the highest ranking surviving SS-leader. Goering, von Ribbentrop​, Keitel, and Kaltenbrun​ner were sentenced to death by hanging along with 8 others -- Goering committed suicide the night before the execution. Hess was sentenced to life imprisonme​nt, which he served at Spandau Prison, Berlin, where he died in 1987. (AP Photo/STF) #
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Decline school (2): Economic System Failure

Decline school (1): Economic Deterministic

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1. Wide-ranging Authority: Holy See (Vatican: The Smallest Country but Sweeping Spiritual Authority)
2. Fighters and Movements for a Better World (e.g., Nobel Peace Prize Winners)

PS Diemnsion: Individuality
1. Barack Obama, President, U.S.A. 52
2. Angela Merkel, Chancellor, Germany 59
3, Vladimir Putin, President, Russia 61
4. Bill Gates, Co-Chair, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation 57
5. Pope Benedict XVI, Pope, Roman Catholic Church 86
6. Ben Bernanke, Chairman, Federal Reserve, U.S.A. 59
7. Abdullah bin Abdul Aziz al Saud King, Saudi Arabia 89
8. Mario Draghi, President, EU Central Bank 66
9. Xi Jinping, General Secretary, Communist Party, China 60
10, David Cameron, Prime Minister, United Kingdom 47
(Forbes, 2010)
PS Diemnsion: Collectivity
1. Countries
2. International Bodies
3. Corporations
4. Religious Groups
5. Educational Institutes
6. Mass Media
7. Activist Groups (Good & Bad)
8. Financial Institutions
9. Military Alliances
10. Research Groups
11. Intelligence Agencies, etc.

http://www.forbes.com/powerful-people/
PS Dimension: Dynamic vs. Static
1. HDI: 186 Countries' Rankings UNDP 2013 Report (A: 1-47 B: 48-94 C: 95-141 D: 142-186: 1 Norway 2 Austl. 3 US 4. Neth. 5. Germany 6. New Zealand 10. Japan 12. S. Korea 13. Hongkong(Special Administrative Region of China) 55. Russia 85. Brazil 101. China 136. India (BRICs) + Worst NK+8
cf. http://hdr.undp.org/en/content/human-development-report-2013-media-toolkit
A comparative measure of life expectancy, literacy, education, standards of living, and quality of life
PS Dimension: Eqality vs. Inequality
Various types of politico-social inequality: Social - racial inequality, gender inequality, and wealth inequality; Political - voting rights, freedom of speech and assembly, etc.
A. Income inequality(136 From Worst to Best) 1.위Lesotho 17. Brazil 29. China 41.위US 51. S Korea위52. Russia 60. UK 76. Japan 78. India 136.위Sweden: CIA survey 1993-2012, 136국countries)
1. US 1% = 20% of total; B. Gates & W. Buffet income = bottom 40% (1.2 mil.)
2. US top 146개colleges admits 3% from the bottom 25% (M. Sandel, E-08)

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2172rank.html
Happiest Countries: 1 Denmark 2 Norway 3 Swi 4 Neth 5 Swe 16 Mexico (p.c. GDP $10,000) 17위US영22위UK 41 SK 43 Japan일68 Russ러93 China
Indicators: 1. p.c. GDP 2. healthy life expectancy 3. free life choices 4. perceived transparency 5. social generosity 6. social support - UN 2013 Report
PS Dimensions: Happiness
B. Gender gap: 1 Economic Participation and Opportunity 2 Educational Attainment 3 Health and Survival 4. Political Empowerment (WEF, 2013 Report)
(Rankings 1. Iceland 2. Finland 18. UK 23. US 61. Russia 62. Brazil 69. China 101. India 105. Japan 111. S Korea)

http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GenderGap_Report_2013.pdf
D5. Cutting-edge Tech Warfare (Human beings + Tech) -- Robotics, Drones, etc. Military robots' ability to make autonomous decisions. Q. Is "Hutechciety" (coined by Prof. YS Ahn) coming up?
Armed Predator Drone
Course Guidlines

1. Prezi: Main Points of Each Lecture
2.
URLs
of
Two Prezis will be sent to all students B4 Mid & Final.
3. All students should send to Prof. Ahn (anthonyyoung@naver.com)
their email address
4. Mid-term & Final Exam: 24-hour take-home(open book) test
(Answer: About 500 words)
5. Copying and Pasting of on-line articles provided by websites prohibited
6. Two Reports Before & After Mid-Term : Define (400-500 words)
[Concepts; e.g., Soft vs. Hard Power; G7 vs.E7 (Grade: Pass or Fail)]
7. One or two leaders for students (volunteers): Duty is not so demading.
Just for emergent situations only

Nature of the Course
1. Comprehensive (applies to all university settings)
2. Elusive (looks for clear definitions of the concepts involved)
3. Crucial (covers a wide range of sciences)
4. Interesting (addresses new fascinating views & facts)
5. Trouble-free (tries to explain in easy terms)
6. GPS is now a major concept/subject matter/course in global issues of almost all leading universities across the world

A Foreign Affairs Article Worth Reading
(July/August 2004 Issue)
Some key points of the article.
1. Failed imperialism of the twentieth century (Germany, Japan)
2. Rise of China and India
3. Strains of success
4. Flashpoints (the Middle East, North Korea, former USSR republics
5. US role in maintaining global stability
6. Need for global political and economic governance
7. Avoid unrestrained and unpredictable balance-of-power politics and free-for-all economic competition

URL: http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/59910/james-f-hoge-jr/a-global-power-shift-in-the-making

How to bring about a peaceful,
secure, stable, sustainable world
Global conference on sustainable world
End of GPS (A)
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