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Future of health and social care 2013-2033

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The King's Fund

on 19 December 2013

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Transcript of Future of health and social care 2013-2033

2015
- expect health and
General election
care to be a hot topic for debate.
2016
Expect the majority of the population to
mobile devices.
access the web through
2017
Routine use of
electronic health
records
2018
It is expected that
2.9 million people
three or more
(1 million more than in 2008)
with an additional care cost of
£5 billion.
2019
Microchips likely to improve delivery of and compliance with medications.
2020
Possible
oversupply of 2,000
2021
Potential
shortfall of between 40,000
and 100,000 nurses
http://www.rcn.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/486175/FF_England_briefing_Nov_2012_LO.pdf
2022
Expect routine use of
teleconsultations
and remote monitoring.
2023
Regenerative medicine
likely to have
created new treatments for heart and
bone disease.
2024
Genetic profiling
to predict risk of
disease could be routine.
From TEDxMaastricht 2011: The Future of Health. Presentation from Daniel Kraft on what lies ahead for health care in the future.
2025
social care workforce in England
Adult
service patterns were to be maintained.
2026
1 million
£35 billion.
of nearly
2027
Robots
could be routinely used at home
and in care settings.
2028
Rise in global temperatures
environmental impact.
starting to have significant economic and
http://climatechange.worldbank.org/sites/default/files/Turn_Down_the_heat_Why_a_4_degree_centrigrade_warmer_world_must_be_avoided.pdf
2029
Around
help with daily living.
likely to need
4 million people
in England
2030
Number of people in Britain with expected to increase 100 per cent to
17 million.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-17995938
2031
2032
2033
4.8 million
people aged over 65, and
1.4 million
people aged over 85 expected
living on their own
It's time to think differently about the future of health and social care. This timeline picks out some of the key trends - from changes in population make-up to advances in technology - that will affect how health and social care is delivered over the next 20 years.
Source: Cisco VNI Mobile (2012)
in England.
in England.
1 million
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-15146053
Up to
of women in the UK are expected to be
Life expectancy at birth expected to be around
years for women and years for men.
to be
in England.
To read The King's Fund's comprehensive analysis of the trends that will influence the way health and social care is delivered in the future, go to
http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/trends
2013
patientslikeme.com and other websites continue to
connect and empower
One person household projections by age of household reference person, England, 2008-2033
Source: Communities and Local Government (2010). Report. Updating the Department for Communities and Local Government's household projections to a 2008 base: Final Report
2014
viability and sustainability of many health
and social care providers.
Mounting financial pressures
threaten
doctors
people in England expected
to have
could be
Article:
Microsoft Future Health Vision
Report:
Report:
Article:
http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/think
Future of health
and social care
2013-2033
Data sources: ONS, The King's Fund
Article:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-18610954
patients.
in most health and social
care settings is likely.
in England will have
long-term conditions
would need to grow by
if current
dementia
care costs
with estimated care
arthritis
obese.
46 per cent
41 per cent
of men and
87
83
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