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Laws of the Future

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john sweeney

on 4 March 2015

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Transcript of Laws of the Future

“The future” cannot be studied because 'the' future does not exist!" (Dator 2009, 3).
2) “The future” cannot be “predicted,” but “alternative futures” can and should be “forecast.”
3) There is no such thing as a “best case scenario” or a “worst case scenario.”
4) What is often popularly, or even professionally, considered to be "the most likely future" is, in all probability, one of the least likely futures.
5) "The future" cannot be "predicted," but "preferred futures" can and should be envisioned, invented, implemented, continuously evaluated, revised, and re-envisioned.
6) Any useful idea about the future should appear to be ridiculous.
7) If futurists expect to be useful, they should expect to be ridiculed and for their ideas initially to be rejected.
The Manoa School
futures.hawaii.edu
FUTURES
& SOLUTIONS
30-50+ years
'images' of
the future
dystopia
utopia
eutopia

Collapse
Disciplined
Growth
Transform
4
"The challenge of futures studies, thus, is to keep open the option of a plurality of dissent, too, partly by articulating it in a language that will not be fully comprehensible on the other side of the global fence of academic respectability"
- Ashis Nandy
Spatial- temporal
"“Thus the assumption that an exhaustive enumeration of the futuribles can be given leads to the untenable consequence that there is a progressive reduction of uncertainty in general. We must conclude, therefore, that there is no time at which we can enumerate the futuribles exhaustively "
- Bertrand de Jouvenel
""If we do not learn from history, we shall be compelled to relive it. True. But if we do not change the future, we shall be compelled to endure it. And that could be worse"
- Alvin Toffler

change is relative
perspective
Full transcript