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Systems Thinking

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by

Marton Trencseni

on 21 May 2014

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Transcript of Systems Thinking

Systems Thinking at
Steal my job!
Come work at Prezi in
Where I heard about it
What it is
Systems Thinking at Prezi
inspiration -> Prezi business model

Marton Trencseni
Jedi Master of Data
Elon Musk
reasoning from first principles
systems thinking
"Boil things down to their fundamental truths and reason up from there, as opposed to reasoning by analogy."
what sets him apart?
model complexity by breaking it down into parts, connections and function
Donna Meadows
american environmental scientist
south african business magnate
https://gist.github.com/mtrencseni
system = interconnected set of elements organized to achieve some purpose
1. can you identify parts?
2. do the parts affect each other?
3. parts together produce a different effect?
4. persist in a variety of circumstances?
system traps: systems gone bad
policy resistance
tragedy of the commons
drift to low performance
escalation
success to the successful
shifting the burden to the intervenor
rule beating
seeking the wrong goal
D
A
T
A
ata
nalytics
eam
wesome
prezi.com/jobs
visitor
registered user
active user
paying user
(renewal rate)
prezi
trial
(retention curve)
(website conversion)
(trial enter distribution)
(show)
(prezi create)
months since registration
%
active
(trial-to-pay rate)
netizens
(marketing)
$59/year
$159/year
stock
feedback
What's a system?
element
element
interconnection
function / purpose
+ _________
more than sum of its parts
element purpose != system purpose
can change components
World3
Other examples
just differential equations?
how is this not bullshit?
systems thinking = meta observations about systems (predict, control, build)
non-linearity
limits of growth
bounded rationality
how systems surprise us:
why systems work so well?
resilience
self-organization
hierarchy
leverage points
delays
strength of feedback loops
rules of the system
goal of the system
parameters
size of buffers
structure of flows
Kate
Julcsi
Attila
Cucu
Maro
Zotya
Andras
?
World3 global computer model
(demo)
(demo)
See the full transcript