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Transcript of FORG APSA
Increasing attention to unique features of rebel groups, including:
Connections to civilians & bases of support
Rebels emerge from a variety of entities
Some are parent-less, with no antecedent organization
Most begin their life as something else
How and why do rebel foundations matter?
Striking variation in the foundations of rebel groups
Increased data coverage
Delve into mechanisms
Proposed mechanisms & hypotheses
Parent type effects connections to civilians, and thus, resilience
Parent type effects perceptions of sustainable solutions to conflict
Rebel group parents
Foundations of Rebel Groups
J. M. Braithwaite & K. G. Cunningham
The effects of rebel origins
Rebels with social mvmt parent more likely to get concessions
Rebels with political party parents less likely to get concessions
Organizational foundations matter for concessions
Predicting concessions to rebels
African rebel groups from 1989 - 2012
Concessions data from Jakana Thomas 2014