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Spatial Risk Assessment Framework for Climate Change

A conceptual framework for linking ISO Risk Assessment methodology to a spatially explicitly foundation. Includes a case study for Central Coast NSW
by

Milos Pelikan

on 6 July 2013

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Transcript of Spatial Risk Assessment Framework for Climate Change

Define
a workflow that integrates disparate information into a information frameworks for evidence-based planning, analysis and communication
Climate Change
Risk Assessment
Framework
A workflow to
assess the vulnerability/impact
and risk associated with climate change.
Collate
SpatialLogic
"....80% of business
information is spatial..."
Spatial Risk Assessment Framework
for Climate Change
Concepts
Science

Issues
Concerns

Assessment
Process

What, Why,
Where & When

Plans
Actions

Communication
Knowledge

Climate Change
Spatial Risk Assessment
Case Study
Hunter & Coastal Councils, NSW
Define
Collate
Integrate
Assess
Visualise
Spatial Risk Assessment Framework for Climate Change
Collate
Assess
Visualise
Transform
Extract
Derive
Raw Data Library 25 Agencies
30+ Gb
5 Event-Criteria Libraries
1 Base data library
4+ Gb
75 Representation Rules
Integrate
Integration = Common Geography
Conceptual -> Criteria Definition
Assess = Summary information for workshops
Relative exposure/sensititivity of LGAs
E1
E5
E2
E3
E4
Single database/library = many products
Libraries - Rules - Organisation
Integrate
Assess
Visualise
TM
3 scenarios
26
Exposure
Criteria
49
Sensitivity
Criteria
Assets:
People
Infrastructure & Economy
Natural Systems
common geography =ABS Census geography
Event Criteria Library
Define
Define key spatial inputs, concepts and relationships.

The heart of the SpatialLogic process
Critical to the success and acceptance.
Create a common understanding
Collate source information from key agencies and transform data into assessment criteria.

A structured library is fundamental to transparency and repeatability.
Sound management practices = Quality Assurance.
Integrate criteria into common geography.

Integration of information facilitates more accessible query, analysis, visualisation and reporting.
Integration is the enabler of the Process.
Analysis may vary from data visualisation to exploring relationships to sophisticated statistical analysis.

An integrated database allows for analysis in the context of broader socio-demographic and locational information.
Visualisation supports communication of the Where, What, Why (and When) of climate change vulnerability/impact.

Effective visualisation supports the key
business drivers : communication of priorities and relative risk and common risk profiles.
Newcastle
Maitland
Lake Macquarie
Gloucester
Port Stephens
Greater Taree
Wyong
Gosford
Singleton
Cessnock
Musswellbrook
Dungog
Upper Hunter
Storm Surge
& Sea Level Rise

Context
Coastline Morphology
Extreme Rainfall
& Flooding

Exposed Infrastructure
Average & Extreme
Temperatures

Climate Zones
Fire Weather

Exposed Infrastructure
Average Rainfall
& Water Availability

Exposed Agriculture
Conceptual
Framework
MPelikan@globalskm.com
Contact Milos Pelikan....
establish
context
analyse
risks
integrate
Spatial Risk Assessment Framework
assess
visualise
collate
treat
risks
define
identify
risks
evaluate
risks
monitor & review
---------------
SpatialLogic
-------------
communicate & consult
-------------------------------------------
Risk Assessment
---------
Climate Change & Risk
Average &
Extreme
Temperatures
Average Rainfall
&
Water Availability
Fire Weather
Extreme Rainfall
&
Flooding
Sea-level Rise
&
Storm Surge
Events
Sensitivity
Exposure
Risk
Potential
Impacts
Events
Impacts & Scenarios
People &
Community
Services
Infrastructure
& Economy
Natural Systems
Scenario
Full transcript