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Elko Presentation 9/12

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on 7 October 2016

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Transcript of Elko Presentation 9/12

Today's Outcomes
Commercial Service Trends
The Master Planning Process...
Key Features
Planning is not prejudicial or constrained-
no predetermined outcomes
Plan must be based on current conditions, community input, FAA design standards, and forecasts
Project Timeline

Public Outreach
Airport Advisory Board meetings
Focus Groups
Community meetings
Elected Officials briefings
FAA/NDOT collaboration
Work-to-Date...


Completed:
Draft of introduction, inventory and forecast draft chapters
Online survey of tenants and users
Focus group meetings with
Tenants and users
Agencies and stakeholders
General Aviation pilot community
Underway:
Initiated Cultural Resource Inventory
Currently reviewing draft Industry, Market, and Feasibility Analyses evaluating commerical non-aeronautical development

User and business surveys
Executive summary
Project website
Media releases
Social media updates
Civic & local government outreach

Knowledge of the purpose and objectives of the Master Plan
An overview of EKO's inventory and existing conditions
An awareness of current aviation trends
An understanding of EKO's 20 year aviation demand forecasts
Agreement on next steps



Purpose:


T
he study will focus on aeronautical forecasts, need and justification for development and a staged plan for the recommended development designed to result in a
safe, efficient, economical and environmentally acceptable
air transportation facility. In addition, the study will evaluate opportunities for non-aviation related development.

Our inventory of existing conditions
includes:

Airfield Facilities
Runways, taxiways, lighting
Landside Facilities
Terminal building, hangars, aprons, tiedowns, cargo/other operations, Air Traffic Control Tower (ATCT), snow removal equipment (SRE), airfield maintenance, fuel farm, access roadways and parking, etc.
Airspace Systems
Air Traffic service area, communications, airspace, navigational aids, airspace surfaces
Airport setting
Socioeconomic, land use, future development initiatives, area geopolitical topics
Environmental setting
Air quality, noise, biological resources, cultural resources, etc.
Other data
Operational data, financial data


Airline industry has transformed from a boom-to-bust cycle to one of sustainable profits

• U.S. carrier passenger growth over the next 20 years to average 2.2 percent per year

• Much of the growth in profitability of airlines is the low cost of fuel

• Regional airlines are moving away from 50-seat regional jets to larger versions of RJ aircraft to reduce seat-mile costs

• Major airlines are not focused on turboprop/small community market

• Turboprop passenger aircraft excel at fuel efficiency

• Aviation industry is projected to remain competitive and profitable, characterized by increasing demand for air travel and airfares growing more slowly than inflation
EKO's Market Area
Aviation Forecasts

Considers the following forecasts and methodologies:
FAA Terminal Area Forecast (2016)
EKO Airport Master Plan (2004)
EKO ALP Update Narrative (2013)
FAA Aerospace Forecast (2016)
National Trend Projections
Airport Market Area Demographic and Socioeconomic Projections; population, employment, per captia income


Pilot shortage
Changing fleet mix
Pilot scope clauses
Airline mergers
Market demand
Airline service strategies
Regional/Turboprop service
Emerging operators
Changing demographics
Scenario #2
SLC-EKO
Scenario #3
SLC-EKO-RNO
Scenario #4
LAS-EKO
TURBOPROP VS REGIONAL JET AIRCRAFT DELIVERIES, 1990-2015
TOTAL POPULATION AND NUMBER EMPLOYED IN ELKO COUNTRY
TOP FIVE INDUSTRIES IN NEVADA
PRICE OF GOLD IMPACT MINING EMPLOYEES AND AIRCRAFT OPERATIONS, 2000-2014
CURRENT AND HISTORICAL INCOME PER CAPITA
There are several factors impacting small community commercial service markets:
Next Steps...

Monitor & gather sub-consultant work effort
Input public feedback on draft Chapters 1, 2 and 3
Initiate work on Chapter 4, Facility Requirements and Chapter 5, Alternatives
All documents, presentations and project information are online at
www.flyelkonevada.com
Scenario #1
EKO-DEN or other major hub
Air Service Scenarios

• Active general aviation fleet is forecasted to increase 0.2 percent a year between 2015 and 2036 with corporate aviation being the strongest segment in the general aviation market

• General aviation hours flown is projected to increase an average of 1.2 percent per year through 2036, as growth in turbine, rotorcraft, and experimental hours offset a decline in fixed-wing piston hours

General Aviation Trends
Full transcript