Technology evolves Technology Providers Enterprises Government Consumers Humans Society The basic needs of technology (from Kevin Kelly at TED) Ubiquity Diversity Specialization Complexity Socialization The evolutionary tree of an iPhone Photo by Jamadams on Flickr Platform as a Service Like an OS: Your code calls my API Like a computer: CPU, storage, network Infrastructure as a Service (Awkward question: is Amazon EC2 the reference implementation for IaaS clouds?) Compute (EC2) Object store (S3) Key-value store (simpleDB) CDN (Cloudfront) Payment service (FPS) Mapreduce If enterprises want a private cloud, they need more than virtual machines: they need a set of services and composed designs. Just sayin'. The roofrack problem A transparency paradox I want to differentiate my offering Virtualization is about transparent separation Ultimately, many layers of services Consider the coming deluge Online video is big (HD) Many concurrent devices Many views at once Moving back in time The telemetry behind it Web 1: Human-initiated pull Web 2: Machine-initiated push Web 3: Machine-to-machine (We've got information obesity.) (There's a reason they call it a feed.) Who gets the cloud mantle? Managed hosters? Systems integrators? Carriers? OS vendors? Big portals? Governments? Regulated utilities? Clouds are still baking No long-term stability Limited standardization Enterprises still getting hooked on gateway drug apps (Backpackphotography on Flickr) And the small matter of metadata But eventually... A spectrum of clouds Bare metal Privateclouds (Vapor) Virtual private clouds Public IaaS Public PaaS RESTful services 1940's Government IT Death & taxes (Artillery, Census) Locus of innovation is shifting 1970's Enterprise IT TPS reports (Accounting, ERP) 2000's Consumer IT Playing & finding (Search, social) Big Data is the new Cloud Tears down barriers to entry New models are possible Analytics trumps raw data More interactions with more people for less money From Sparkys on Flickr In Finland 4 out of 5 people believe web access is a basic right. They're passing legislation. If you knew every citizen was guaranteed access, what would you change about government? Australia is censoring what's on the web, blocking access to sites and content that the government considers objectionable or that might violate copyright laws. After FDR, you couldn't win without the radio. After Kennedy, you couldn't with without TV. After Obama, you can't win without the Web. Creating the tools we need Librarians are sexy Library 1.0 Find things in the card catalog Check your references & footnotes Quiet, please. Library 2.0 Millions of searches a day Hyperlinks are the new footnotes Talk amongst yourselves, constantly. Layer zero LAYER ZERO PROVIDER OPT-IN PRIVATE Layers live in clouds. A layered consciousness “I’m not ignoring you. We're just in different layers” Interesting at five The foundations of Ubicomp Pervasive access Portability Always on Many sensors Size Human factors Split computing Cellphones & wifi Legislation Battery Architecture Many interfaces Shared state Online agents Offline instrumentation Feedback loops humanity evolves Technology Providers Enterprises Consumers Humans Society Means new forms of Government Adopts and legislates Feedback & demand Control & regulation Research & develop Changes what it means to be
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