The future of clouds

Ubicomp slide deck from Cloud Connect 2010 »
Alistair Croll

Technology
evolves
Technology
Providers
Enterprises
Government
Consumers
Humans
Society
The basic needs of technology
(from Kevin Kelly at TED)
Ubiquity
Diversity
Specialization
Complexity
Socialization
The evolutionary tree of an iPhone
Photo by Jamadams on Flickr
Platform as a Service
Like an OS: Your code calls my API
Like a computer: CPU, storage, network
Infrastructure as a Service
(Awkward question: is Amazon EC2 the reference implementation for IaaS clouds?)
Compute (EC2)
Object store (S3)
Key-value store (simpleDB)
CDN (Cloudfront)
Payment service (FPS)
Mapreduce
If enterprises want a private cloud, they need more than virtual machines: they need a set of services and composed designs.

Just sayin'.
The roofrack problem
A transparency paradox
I want to differentiate my offering
Virtualization is about transparent separation
Ultimately, many layers of services
Consider the coming deluge
Online video is big (HD)
Many concurrent devices
Many views at once
Moving back in time
The telemetry behind it
Web 1:
Human-initiated pull
Web 2:
Machine-initiated push
Web 3:
Machine-to-machine
(We've got information obesity.)
(There's a reason they call it a feed.)
Who gets the cloud mantle?
Managed hosters?
Systems integrators?
Carriers?
OS vendors?
Big portals?
Governments?
Regulated utilities?
Clouds are still baking
No long-term stability
Limited standardization
Enterprises still getting hooked on gateway drug apps
(Backpackphotography on Flickr)
And the small matter of metadata
But eventually...
A spectrum of clouds
Bare
metal
Privateclouds
(Vapor)
Virtual
private
clouds
Public
IaaS
Public
PaaS
RESTful
services
1940's
Government IT
Death & taxes
(Artillery, Census)
Locus of innovation is shifting
1970's
Enterprise IT
TPS reports
(Accounting, ERP)
2000's
Consumer IT
Playing & finding
(Search, social)
Big Data
is the new Cloud
Tears down barriers to entry
New models are possible
Analytics trumps raw data
More interactions with more people for less money
From Sparkys on Flickr
In Finland 4 out of 5 people believe web access is a basic right.

They're passing legislation.

If you knew every citizen was guaranteed access, what would you change about government?
Australia is censoring what's on the web, blocking access to sites and content that the government considers objectionable or that might violate copyright laws.
After FDR, you couldn't win without the radio.
After Kennedy, you couldn't with without TV.
After Obama, you can't win without the Web.
Creating the tools we need
Librarians are sexy
Library 1.0
Find things in the card catalog
Check your references & footnotes
Quiet, please.
Library 2.0
Millions of searches a day
Hyperlinks are the new footnotes
Talk amongst yourselves, constantly.
Layer zero
LAYER ZERO
PROVIDER
OPT-IN
PRIVATE
Layers live in clouds.
A layered consciousness
“I’m not ignoring you. We're just in different layers”
Interesting at five
The foundations
of Ubicomp
Pervasive access
Portability
Always on
Many sensors
Size
Human factors
Split computing
Cellphones & wifi
Legislation
Battery
Architecture
Many interfaces
Shared state
Online agents
Offline instrumentation
Feedback loops
humanity
evolves
Technology
Providers
Enterprises
Consumers
Humans
Society
Means new forms of
Government
Adopts and legislates
Feedback & demand
Control & regulation
Research & develop
Changes what it means to be

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