Profitably Greening The Built-Environment
Reframing the challenge Why? if only... leaks happen at the intersection of contracts Trust-based turnkey teams early collaboration built-in sustainability transformational leadership shared risk/reward more than visualization behavior change early adopters those fed up collaboration tool Q&A? Blurring the lines www.mindshiftwiki.com www.rexmiller.net mrexmiller@twitter.com Eroding margins Viewed as commodity Finding and keeping talent Rising costs Conflict & litigation Third parties Low bid procurment Risk & liability Little differentiation owners must drive change the secret to everything instead of squeezing margins can we all agree there is more to gain by attacking waste? 40% Growth 2050 2050 80% Reduction 2007 1st LEED Platinum Spec Built Conventional Wisdom $3/sqft < $300,000 Less 45% < Op Costs 21% > Rent 100% Pre-Leased AARDEX 2012 - 7% below 1990 2024 - 30% below 1990 2050 - 80% below 1990 60% in 2010 70% in 2015 80% in 2020 90% in 2025 Carbon-neutral in 2030 H.R. 2454: American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 in 2010, 30% below the baseline energy code in 2014-2015, 50% below the baseline energy code, and every three years after, out to 2029-2030, an additional 5% reduction Lessons: Merit badges create interest Legislation provides minimal stds Minimal stds are not enough Complexity creates inertia what is the real progress in the last 10 years? 10 year+ payback - new 15-20 year+ payback - retro 4.7 million buildings 78 billion square feet 6.7 million buildings 109 billion square feet 3.3 million new 55 billion sqft new 26,682 registered 5989 certified 90+% = new construction 1 out of 200,000 registered 1 out of 1 million certified 2010 - 390PPM 29 million metric tons Globally drop 10+% US must reduce 27% 1.75 million tons 1990 = 350PPM 2000 - 40 2001 - 211 2002 - 332 2004 - 812 2005 - 1,424 2006 - 1,695 2007 - 5,582 2008 - 7,577 2009 - 11,573 At this rate 2010 > 17,600 However at the current rate we'll be under 2,600! 6% cars Double gas mileage @ 10% reduction 48% buildings Half are offices 50% reduction in energy = 35% of our goal 90% 1 story < 25,000 sqft 86% privately owned 46% owner occupied making green retrofit good business 100,000+ LEED APs 20,000 Organizations a brown system can not produce a green solution The system causes good people to do bad things Narrow self-interest distrust inefficiency waste conflict dysfunction 9 keys trust-based turnkey teams Early Collaboration Built-in Sustainability Transformational Leadership Big BIM Integrating Project Delivery Shared Risk/Reward Incentives Leverage Offsite Fabrication Quality work environment = a High performing Building big BIM integrating project delivery offsite fabrication NY Times Green Retrofit? 2-5 year payback stimulates the economy (1.3 million jobs) Reduce the need for new construction 600,000 - 1,000,000 metric ton reduction Good design can cut an additional 3M buildings 3 million buildings another 2 million tons Below 1980 numbers Cut C02 by 50% achievable in 5-10 years self-selected teams based on qualifications involved at project conception tied to outcome based compensation obstacles Federal Govt - FARs State & local govt procurement Low bid practices Insurance Risk Natural adversaries REITs 3rd Party Representatives Haworth Metropolis Magazine $3M-$6M premium? low bid procurment linear sequential silo'd hierarchical adversarial ? Loss of old crutches No one to blame Taking on risk Increased accountability must have an ROI - not just a good conscience cut 50% of C02 in 5-10 years add 1.3 million jobs green roI what can you do?
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