conVerge 2010. The future of e-learning - 10 to 20 years from now...

I was recently asked to predict what e-learning might look like in 10 to 20 years time. When I'd stopped laughing I put together a few ideas... »
Peter Shanks

Computing power 
per dollar has been doubling 
every two years since 1959

Created by Peter Shanks,  http://bluemountains.net

Credits & References...

Image: 'The Wizard'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/52798669@N00/3248483447

Moore's Law: http://www.intel.com/technology/mooreslaw/
http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:Wgsimon

Image: 'Robot Joe'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/flysi/183272970/#

Image: 'Blue Gene / P'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/35734278@N05/3323018571

Image: 'Wheel of Friendship'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/44124348109@N01/2234378275

Image: 'Back to the Future'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/85494010@N00/54246114

BMW Augmented Reality
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P9KPJlA5yds

Twice the power
every 2 years
By 1971 computers
had 64 times the power
of their 1959 ancestors
by 2008 they were
2 BILLION times
more powerful
Doubled 10 more times (2030) computers will have the processing power of a human brain...
our students might not be human
Even if they don't become sentient
These machines will change the way we live
when a supercomputer
fits in the palm of your hand
is GPS enabled and wirelessly networked with a billion others like it
voice activated and able to scan and read any document aloud
will our notion of literacy be different?  
When you've got a real time, 3D, virtual world projected over what you hear and see
You might not need a classroom
Your employer might provide specialised, on-the-job training...
but what if your employer doesn't offer training?
in 2010 it doubled again:
4 billion times the power
What if you're:
 looking for work,
 a change of career...
 or edutainment?

On a global network
where information can
be reproduced
and transmitted 
for next to nothing
there will be plenty of information out there
training material
could be free and open source
Training providers might charge
for guidance and assessment,

but their content will be free...
...attracting students from around the world
?
how will RTOs
create free, game 
based, interactive
content in 3D
virtual worlds
students,
& trainers
business
working together
to create new worlds

Image: 'Keller Hall'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/28861891@N07/4689697241

Image: 'ABB Assembly Line Robot'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/28695713@N00/445073590

Image: 'FrostSun by z.iza'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/39688964@N00/4300636452

Creative Commons
http://creativecommons.org/

Image: 'Digitage Web 2.0'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/89488115@N00/315385916

Image: 'Global Player'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/29487767@N02/3574392846

Image: 'helena's tamagotchi'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/35034347804@N01/747579688

Image: 'Day 279: Blooming Life'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/56695083@N00/4402284820

Image: 'Kitten'
http://www.flickr.com/photos/34745138@N00/3485925929
collaboration
so.....
what about
the robots?
lucky for them...
babies & kittens;
even software...

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